Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers Prediction: Which Team Is a Better Value Play?

Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers prediction and pick for Sunday's NFC showdown at Lambeau Field. Matt McCuen breaks down his picks
Matt McCuen
Tue, November 23, 3:19 PM EST

Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers Prediction: Which Team Is a Better Value Play?

This Sunday features two of the best teams in the NFC for a showdown at Lambeau Field. The Los Angeles Rams travel into Green Bay to face the Packers in what we expect to be one of the NFL regular season's best games.

The Packers are coming off a hard-fought loss to their rival, the Minnesota Vikings, last week in Minnesota. Meanwhile, the Rams come into Sunday's game coming off back-to-back losses and a bye week.

The Rams looked to be the team to beat in the NFC, but they have struggled the last few weeks, losing as favorites multiple times. The Rams dropped a Sunday night game to the Tennesee Titans despite the Titans missing their best playmaker in Derek Henry. LA followed that loss up with another loss to their divisional rival, the San Fransico 49ers.

This Sunday, Matthew Stafford and the Rams will be tasked with picking up their first win since Halloween day. The off-the-field moves have been the main headlines for the Rams the last few weeks despite their woes on the field.

Von Miller was acquired from Denver, bringing in a future Hall of Famer to help their defense. The Rams also made headlines when they signed former All-Pro wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. They will look for those off-the-field moves to pay off this week in a tough spot facing Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay.

The Packers come into this football game as a slight favorite, currently sitting at -1.0. This is a rare spot for each of these teams. It's rare to see the Rams as a dog to any team, while it is also just as rare to see the Packers just a one-point favorite at home coming off a loss.

Prior to last week, the Packers' defense was a top-five unit in terms of scoring over the past month. This is a much-improved defense from years past, and this team has become more balanced this season, not relying solely on the services of Aaron Rodgers.

This Packers defense ranks number seven in yards allowed this season while ranking No. 5 in total points allowed per game. This is one of the league's best defenses, despite the fact that you don't hear a whole lot about them. The Packers will always be a top-tier offense when number 12 is their quarterback and he is throwing to Davante Adams.

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Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers Pick

This Rams defense has been beatable through the air this season, allowing north of 240 yards per game and ranking number 16 in the NFL in passing defense. This is a favorable matchup for this Packers this Sunday at home, facing a team who has been struggling the past month.

I believe Aaron Rodgers will have his way against this Rams secondary while the Packers' defense continues to be one of the league's best defenses and limits Los Angeles' offense. This is a bounceback spot for the Packers, who lost to the Vikings a week ago. The Packers at home are too good to pass up at this price for me. I will be backing the short home favorite with the better defense and quarterback play.

  • PICK: Packers ML @ -115
Matt McCuen
@DeadPresPicks
Matt McCuen is a native of Delco, PA. He has been working in the sports gambling industry and creating content for the last few years. He is an expert in numerous different sports, including the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, and collegiate sports. You can follow Matt on Twitter at @DeadPresPicks.
Nov 2021
Record
Wins
38
Losses
21
Push
1
ROI
70.40%
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