NFL Thanksgiving Predictions: Three Delicious Player Prop Picks

Player Prop Specialist John Hyslop breaks down his top NFL player props to bet across all of the Thanksgiving day games in Week 12.
John Hyslop
Wed, November 24, 4:15 PM EST

NFL Thanksgiving Predictions: Three Delicious Player Prop Picks

Thursday will be a day we will never forget. Obviously, it is Thanksgiving, but I'm talking about gambling. It's a great day for that. We have three standalone NFL games, which is a bettors' paradise. It's unbeatable, really. We'll be watching football for 12 hours. Since we'll be doing that, we'll need action on every game. It's the only way to approach a day like Thanksgiving. Here are three bets that are sure to give us all something to be thankful for.

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Thanksgiving NFL Player Props

Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 31.5 Receiving Yards (-113)

Line available at FanDuel at time of publishing.

This bet is designed to make you look like an absolute genius. It's hanging at FanDuel right now, but if you have to play at DraftKings, they have 32.5 for -115. It's all deadly, really people. So play this wherever you want. Even with your uncle Tony if that's your only out.

I can guarantee you that your family has never heard of this kid. But they should have. He's special. What we learned last week is that he's Tim Boyle and Jared Goff-proof. I know he only had 18 receiving yards last week, but he still caught four balls. The key is the fact that he's involved.

He'll be facing the Chicago Bears, who prove every week that they can't cover wide receivers. On the season, only six teams have given up more receiving yards to the wideout position than the Bears. St. Brown already got them for 70 in their first meeting this season, so even if Tim Boyle is starting, this kid can go over 31.5. Your family is going to think you're a genius for this one.

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Josh Jacobs Over 3.5 receptions (+110)

Line available at DraftKings at time of publishing.

The Las Vegas Raiders will visit the Dallas Cowboys at 4:30 pm ET Thursday. I will have eaten Thanksgiving dinner (twice) by then, so this is the best game for me to have action. I'll be full, likely enjoying an IPA or two, and ready to pay attention. I need this bet to win, which is why I went with DraftKings since they had the best price.

Josh Jacobs is an animal. We knew that when he was in Alabama. He can run through walls if asked, but one thing people don't know is that he can catch too. The Raiders definitely know because they've been targeting him out of the backfield like crazy recently. We're talking 16 targets in the last three weeks, people.

Not only is he getting targeted, but he's catching these balls too. In fact, he's had at least four catches in each of his last three games. I expect the Raiders to never sit on the ball Thursday, which should create an environment that sees the Raiders needing to throw. The Cowboys have given up 53 receptions to the running back position this season, so they can be attacked there. This is a good bet.

Gabriel Davis Over 22.5 receiving yards (-114)

Line available at FanDuel at time of publishing.

Thanksgiving night is for sneaky NFL player prop bets. That's just a little scientific fact. Luckily for us, FanDuel has posted what I think might be the sneakiest bet of all time. I know I've never seen one sneakier than this one in any sport, not just football.

The haters are going to say that this guy doesn't play that much. What can I say? The haters are right. He doesn't play that much. Only 34 percent of the snaps last week. That's why we only need him to go over 22.5 receiving yards. If he played full-time, then we would need him to go over a bigger number. That's just how sports betting works. And life in general.

The thing is, the Saints are really good against the run, which means teams go to the air against them. They call that strategy. Only four teams in the entire NFL have given up more receiving yards to the wide receiver position than New Orleans. The strategy works.

The thing with Davis is he flies under the radar. He's gone over 23 receiving yards in four of his last five games, and you didn't even know it until I just told you. So my guess is he gets this number on one catch, and nobody even notices.

Thanksgiving NFL Player Props

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 31.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
  • Josh Jacobs Over 3.5 Receptions (+110)
  • Gabriel Davis Over 22.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

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John Hyslop
@sloprules
John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.
Nov 2021
Record
Wins
5
Losses
2
Push
0
ROI
50.53%
0Betslip

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