NFL Thanksgiving Player Props: Top Anytime TD Scorer Bets
Happy Thanksgiving everyone! There's tons of football for us to comb through for Thursday! There are three games on the slate and each one of the six teams in action lost last week. The amazing tradition of football on Thanksgiving began back in 1934 when the Detroit Lions and later joined by the Dallas Cowboys became annual hosts on the day when the Super Bowl era was beginning. The winless Lions take on the Chicago Bears to kick off our tripleheader!
There's plenty of injuries affecting these games so there's plenty to be considered when breaking these possible anytime touchdown picks down. So as we all stuff our faces and recognize what we're grateful for I'm here to help us stuff our wallets with more anytime touchdown winners!
Thanksgiving means football, turkey and also.. huge betting promos from the sportsbooks. We cover the best ones available right here.
Even better than my picks is the OddscheckerUS website compares odds from every sportsbook for every NFL game. This includes odds for anytime touchdown scorers and we find where you can get the best price for your bet.
With Week 12 of the NFL here I'm looking for a strong week of anytime touchdown picks and trying to continue to build our profit this season. Best of luck if you tail!
Thanksgiving Top Anytime TD Bets
Josh Reynolds (+650)
I will start by saying this in bold: This is an official play only if Jared Goff starts. In some odd way, I think this Lions vs. Bears game has sneaky potential for points. Although oddsmakers completely disagree pinning the first matchup of the entire day with the lowest total of Week 12. Former Los Angeles Ram Jared Goff is battling an oblique injury but reports are leaning towards him starting. Former Los Angeles Ram Josh Reynolds has quickly established himself atop the Lions wide receiver depth chart playing 89 percent of the teams' snaps and running 22 routes tied for the most on the team with TJ Hockenson. The arrow is pointing upwards if Goff returns. The Bears have allowed the seventh-most yards and are tied with the fourth-most touchdowns to wide receivers in 2021. A guy playing this many snaps and running this many routes should never be priced in this range! Did you get the part where Reynolds and Goff were both Los Angeles Rams together in the past? I'm reminding you of that again!
Darnell Mooney (+180)
Here's another pick where I will highlight in bold: This is an official play if Allen Robinson sits. Andy Dalton will start for the Bears and no matter how much you love Justin Fields, Dalton is still an upgrade for the Bears passing game. Darnell Mooney has reeled off consecutive great weeks. Mooney's massive 28 percent target share has been eye-opening and he'll be an even stronger play if Allen Robinson II remains out. The Lions allow a league-high 4.3 deep completions per game, and Mooney saw seven deep targets last week. He's scored in back-to-back games now and we should ride the hot streak while Robinson and Fields are both out.
Dalton Schultz (+170)
Another note in bold: Wait for Ceedee Lamb news before placing this one. Most books have Cowboys touchdown scorers priced as though Lamb will miss this game. All reports seem to suggest otherwise though. We should know earlier than the regular 90 minutes before kick-off of Lambs status. If he plays these odds will lengthen a bit so I will wait for his status. Dallas is already without Amari Cooper helping our chances with Schultz. The Raiders use man-coverage at the third-lowest rate in the league. This means they are a heavy zone team which in turn equals tremendous numbers from opposing tight ends i.e. the Philadelphia Eagles in 2021. The Raiders are tied for the third-most touchdowns to the position and he ran a season-high 43 routes last week. He has caught at least five passes in six games. He hasn't found the end zone since Week 4 but in a game with the second-highest total of Week 12 against this Raiders defense, I think Schultz will find the end zone at some point. If you're just here for longshots I don't hate taking a stab at the Cowboys now backup tight end Sean McKeon at +1200 odds.
Ezekiel Elliott to Score 2 Touchdowns (+390)
I'm going to go out on a limb here and go against the grain. So much chatter is going on about Tony Pollard this week and I will admit it's with good reason. Pollard is a playmaker with the ball in his hand but Zeke is still the guy. Even more important news for the Cowboys is Tyron Smith will play in this one and in games with Tyron, Zeke's rushing average goes from 80 yards a game to just 59 yards per game when Smith is out. The Cowboys record with Smith is 79-61 and without is 14-16 in his career. There may not be a more important man on that roster not named Dak. There's a chance the Cowboys scale back Zeke's workload here on a short week but history tells us otherwise. Throw away last year's Thanksgiving game against Washington and Zeke shows up and shows out on this day in Dallas. He has had three games this season already scoring multiple touchdowns. One of the reasons I'm not so high on Pollard is so far he has just 1 rush inside the 5-yard line to Zeke's 10 attempts. Like I mentioned earlier, this game has one of the highest totals of the entire week so there should be scoring opportunities. The Raiders boast a bottom seven defense defending running backs and are tied with the fourth-most scores allowed to the position so far in 2021 adding to Zeke's appeal here on Thanksgiving.
Cole Beasley (+260)
The Bills should really come out strong here on Thanksgiving night and put it to the Saints. Stefon Diggs will receive somewhat of a shadow treatment from Marshon Lattimore. This in turn should open up opportunities for Beasley in the slot. The Saints are allowing the third-most yards and the fifth-most catches out of the slot so far in 2021. The Saints are getting trounced by receivers as only four teams have allowed more yards to the position. Beasley is second on the Bills in red-zone targets trailing only Diggs. He has been battling a rib injury but he played close to his normal snap share in last weeks loss to the Colts increasing our confidence Thursday night.
Dawson Knox (+305)
The fact that we are getting Knox at this price is a crime. No one on the Bills has played more snaps besides Josh Allen over the last two weeks. Knox was a touchdown scoring machine the first half of the season. He is fully recovered from the hand injury he suffered. More importantly, he led the Bills in a season-high in targets last week with 10. Knox hasn't found the end zone since Week 5 after scoring five touchdowns through five games to start the season but that scoring drought won't last much longer if Knox's involvement last week is any indication of his upcoming usage.
Thanksgiving Anytime TD Picks
- Josh Reynolds (+650)
- Darnell Mooney (+180)
- Dalton Schultz (+170)
- Ezekiel Elliott to Score 2 Touchdowns (+390)
- Cole Beasley (+260)
- Dawson Knox (+305)