3 NFL Parlay Picks for Week 12 Late Sunday Afternoon Games

With three games in the late window, Matt O'Leary shares his three favorite parlays for those games in Week 12 of the NFL season.
Matt O'Leary |
Fri, November 26, 1:18 PM EST | 4 min read
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3 NFL Parlay Picks for Week 12 Late Sunday Afternoon Games

This week, there are three games in the late afternoon slate for us to take a look at. First is an AFC West matchup between the Denver Broncos and the Los Angeles Chargers. The Chargers are coming off a win over Pittsburgh last week while Denver has lost five of their last seven after starting 3-0.

In the NFC, the Green Bay Packers hosting the Los Angeles Rams should be a fun one. The Rams are coming out of a bye week but previously dropped two in a row before they had Week 11 off. Green Bay is coming off a surprise loss in Week 11 to the Vikings 34-31.

Then finally there is Minnesota vs San Francisco. Will Minnesota be able to build off of their big win last week or are the 49ers finally stabilized after winning two in a row over Los Angeles and Jacksonville?

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The ML Parlay: Chargers, Packers, and 49ers ML (+458)

Outside of their big performance against Dallas in Week 9, the Denver Broncos offense has struggled a lot. During their last seven-game stretch they’ve gone over 20 points just twice. When looking at what the Chargers can do on offense with Justin Herbert in the MVP race, it will likely be hard for the Broncos to keep up offensively. In Denver’s last four home games, they have just one win which came 17-10 over Washington.

The Packers as an underdog outright winner is a little risky. This will likely be the best game on the slate and it’s a coin flip game but Aaron Rodgers at home is very difficult to pick against. Outside of last week, the Packers defense has been very good as they’ve allowed the fifth-fewest points against. The Rams offense has sputtered, coming out of the bye they may look more on track but I’m riding with Rodgers and the Packers defense this week.

Finally, there’s the 49ers and the Vikings. Sure the 34-31 win over the Packers was impressive last week but they’re just 2-3 on the road with wins coming over the Chargers and the Sam Darnold-led Panthers. I’m banking on the 49ers figuring it out rather than the Vikings winning three in a row. They seem too inconsistent for me to continue to ride out.

Packers and Rams offense: Matthew Stafford 255+ passing yards and Aaron Rodgers 255+ passing yards (+125)

The expectation for me in this game is a shootout which likely means a lot of passing. Aaron Rodgers has gone over 255 yards each of the last two weeks and in three of the last four. His season average is a touch over the 255 mark at 257.1. The Los Angeles defense on average allows quarterbacks to throw for 241.7 yards on the season.

As for Matthew Stafford, his season average per game is 301.4. In eight of 10 games so far this year he’s come in over this number. He didn’t the last time out against San Francisco in what was his worse performance on the season and then he missed it by four yards when he was pulled early in their blowout win over the Giants. On average Green Bay is only allowing 213.2 pass yards per game.

RB TD Scorers: Dalvin Cook and Elijah Mitchell Anytime TD Scorers (+210)

In back-to-back weeks, Dalvin Cook has found his way into the endzone. He’s been good for Minnesota going for 75 yards or more since returning from injury. San Francisco has struggled against the run this year allowing running backs to get into the endzone nine times already on the year. With the Vikings offensive game plan, expect Dalvin to be utilized early and often.

As for Elijah Mitchell, he’s been good for San Francisco this year. He has three touchdowns in seven games played this year. Also, he hasn’t gotten into the endzone in the 49ers last two games which may mean that he’s due for a trip for six. In 10 games this year, the Vikings have allowed seven rushing touchdowns and three receiving touchdowns to running backs on the season. If Mitchell is involved, which all signs point to, then I don’t see how he doesn’t get in the endzone this week.

Matt O'Leary
@MattOLearyNY

OddsChecker sports writer Matt O'Leary brings experience sports betting advice to the OC staff. You may recognize Matt from his popular New York Jets youtube channel, but his vast knowledge of sports and betting goes well past the boundaries of New York.

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