NFL Player Props Week 12: Top Anytime TD Scorer Bets
NFL Player Props Week 12: Top Anytime TD Scorer Bets
Welcome back! I hope everyone had a great Thanksgiving! We had another profitable day Thursday and it kicked off with the excitement of smashing Josh Reynolds priced over +600. Followed that up with Dalton Schultz and Dawson Knox late. I even gave out a recommendation of a sprinkle on Sean McKeon at +1200. I'm here looking to continue to increase our profit on the season as we move into Week 12 this Sunday!
Not sure if many of you remember the last time I went tight end crazy. Well, we went bananas hitting for over 19 units of profit that week. While I hope we get that same outcome this Sunday those expectations should be tempered. After diving in this isn't my favorite week of the year as we only have 8 picks but we've still dug up some good value. This is another week where there is tremendous value at the tight end position and we are ready to capitalize.
The weather will not be much of a factor in any game which is a huge bonus given that it's late November. As long as the wind holds off we should see minimal effects. Let's stay hot here in Week 12 and keep cooking.
Even better than my picks is the OddscheckerUS website compares odds from every sportsbook for every NFL game. This includes odds for anytime touchdown scorers and we find where you can get the best price for your bet.
With Week 12 of the NFL here I'm looking for a strong week of anytime touchdown picks and trying to continue to build our profit this season. Best of luck if you tail!
Week 12 Top Anytime TD Bets
Rob Gronkowski (+190)
With Gronk returning last week and coming out without any added injury we can confidently invest in him here in Week 12. These odds are way off given the volume Gronk is getting and the matchup this week. The Colts have allowed the third-most receptions to tight ends and are tied for the third-most scores to the position. He scored four touchdowns in the first two weeks and was second on the team in targets behind Mike Evans. The Colts have allowed the league-worst 72 percent completion rate in the end zone. Do you know who Tom Brady's best friend is near the goal line? With the highest total set for this Sunday, we should get at least one Gronk spike in Indy. This might be my favorite pick of the day.
Chase Claypool (+240)
Claypool caught nine of 15 targets for 96 yards against the Bengals earlier this season. He goes up against Eli Apple who he faced off with back in Week 3. He's playing nearly every play opposite Diontae Johnson and he is locked in as Big Ben's No. 2 option with JuJu Smith-Schuster out for the season. Despite the added looks, he has just one touchdown in nine appearances following his impressive 11-score rookie campaign a season ago. Many people will probably be on the rookie tight end here Pat Freiermuth but I'm opting for Claypool at identical odds. Claypool has 6 targets in the end zone compared to Freiermuth's 5. Claypool is due.
Evan Engram (+290)
This one is simple. Insert the tight end facing the Eagles. The Giants vs. Eagles game is projected to be the fastest on Sunday with the most total plays combined. Now to trust either one of these sides, particularly the Giants, is risky. The Eagles have allowed at least 75 yards or a touchdown to a tight end in nine straight games. The Eagles are tied with the Chargers with a league-high 9 scores to the position. Engram played 90 percent of the snaps Monday night in Tampa, the most of any Giants pass catcher. The team struggled and Engram wasn't able to get much going after scoring a touchdown in both of his previous two games. Kyle Rudolph is doubtful leaving less competition for Engram this Sunday I like Engram to make it three out of his last four games with a touchdown in Week 12.
Noah Fant (+255)
Yup, you guessed it! Following the worst team defending tight ends, we're moving to the second-worst team defending tight ends! Like I just mentioned the Chargers are tied with the Eagles with the most touchdowns allowed to the position. Fant leads the Broncos in red-zone targets and end zone targets. If you're still not convinced there's this. The Chargers have allowed multiple touchdowns to tight ends in each of their past two games, while Fant has a red zone target in eight of his 10 games this season. So, despite seeing a dip in his snaps before the bye I like Fant to get back on track here in Week 12 and find paydirt for us.
Josiah Deguara (+800)
Deguara only got a couple of opportunities in Week 11, but he capitalized with them hauling in a 25-yard pass into the end zone. He has just 10 receptions this season, but the 2020 third-rounder has been entrusted more by the Packers since the loss of Robert Tonyan. He has caught two passes and seen his snap-count percentage increase in four straight games. His 27 snaps Sunday led Packers tight ends and were 10 more than Marcedes Lewis. If Allen Lazard returns I would tread lightly here as the sample size is too small still but the Rams have struggled to defend tight ends and for a guy that catches passes from Aaron Rodgers and is on the field as much as Deguara at these odds we can't pass this up.
Brandon Aiyuk (+190)
Since Week 8, Aiyuk has led the 49ers with 26 targets and 111 routes run. Last week he had 85 yards and a touchdown against the Jaguars despite the fact that the 49ers ran the football 42 times. There's no doubt that Aiyuk has gotten out of the doghouse. This week he faces the Minnesota Vikings defense that is tied for the third-most scores to receivers. Minnesota is allowing a touchdown on 28.6 percent of drives which is bottom five in the league over the past four weeks. He has now scored in two out of the last three weeks. He has a target share of at least 20 percent in four straight games and an end-zone target in three of those. This week Aiyuk faces a Vikings defense that allows the third-most YAC per reception. Let's make it three out of his last four for Aiyuk!
Laviska Shenault (+265)
I continue to chase a Viska touchdown and I've yet to learn my lesson. Let's hope our luck is about to change though in Week 12. Urban Meyer is talking about creating more explosive offensive plays and he mentions the idea of getting Shenualt some touches out of the backfield. James Robinson received 100 percent of all touches last week out of the backfield keep in mind. Jamal Agnew was just placed on Injured Reserve and he was averaging 6.3 targets per game over the last six. Shenault had 50 yards against the 49ers last week, his most since Week 6. His move to the slot was unexpected with Agnew going down but Shenault ran 20 routes and was targeted five times. This season, Shenault has caught 20 of 29 targets for 191 yards in the slot. The Jags face the Falcons this week, who are tied for the second-most touchdowns allowed to receivers. It's now or never for Laviska and I lean towards the now!
Rex Burkhead (+290)
At this price and this matchup, it would be irresponsible to not be on Sexy-Rexy. Oh, wait, wrong Rex. This just feels gross writing but here we are. The Texans just cut Phillip Lindsay and Burkhead received 18 carries last week. It was an abysmal showing, as he turned that into just 40 rushing yards but this week the Texans face the Jets which is a welcome sight for any backfield. The Jets have allowed a league-high 21 scores to opposing backs. Based on the volume we saw a week ago it would just be irresponsible to not be rooting for Rex this week to find paydirt.
Week 12 Anytime Touchdown Picks
- Rob Gronkowski (+190)
- Chase Claypool (+240)
- Evan Engram (+290)
- Noah Fant (+255)
- Josiah Deguara (+800)
- Brandon Aiyuk (+190)
- Laviska Shenault (+265)
- Rex Burkhead (+290)
Tom Viera is an experienced betting and fantasy sports writer. Tom brings a vast knowledge of all things NFL, NBA, MLB and soccer to the OddsChecker stable of handicappers.