NFL Player Props Week 13: Top Anytime TD Scorer Bets
NFL Player Props Week 13: Top Anytime TD Scorer Bets
There's no sugar-coating what happened in Week 12. It didn't go the way I thought it would, it's that simple. The analysis was spot on but our picks just didn't find the end zone. That's part of this game. Betting on touchdown scorers has such a high variance sometimes things just don't go our way. As we enter the fourth month of the NFL season injuries are rampant throughout the league. Evaluating teams and possible scoring opportunities get more challenging as the injuries pile up. I've narrowed down the best options for anytime touchdown scorers here.
The weather will not be much of a factor across the country which is something that we need to take into consideration. There's light rain expected in Chicago and Cincinnati but as long as the wind holds off we should see minimal effects.
Even better than my picks is the OddscheckerUS website compares odds from every sportsbook for every NFL game. This includes odds for anytime touchdown scorers and we find where you can get the best price for your bet.
The good news is I've narrowed down the best anytime touchdown picks. With Week 13 of the NFL here I'm looking for a strong week of anytime touchdown picks and trying to continue to build our profit this season. Let's stay hot and keep things rolling! Best of luck if you tail!
Week 13 Top Anytime TD Bets
Chris Godwin (+130)
This is my BANKER for Week 13. We've hit Godwin once already this season as BANKER and we're going back to him once again. Throw away last week's performance against the Colts in what was a great matchup as Tampa turned to its running game in the win. I'm expecting a revert back to the norm here in Week 13 against the Falcons that Tom Brady has tormented since joining Tampa. Tampa doesn't follow traditional game scripts and has the highest pass rate when playing with a lead, throwing the ball 66 percent of the time. Week 12 was an outlier with the four rushing scores. Brady has thrown for 11 touchdowns in 3 games against the Falcons. Atlanta isn't that bad in the secondary as they have AJ Terrell who is among the highest graded corners in the NFL. The reason I love Godwin here is he lines up in the slot 83 percent of the time allowing him to avoid Terrell most often. They have been torched recently out of the slot. Atlanta allows touchdown passes at the fourth-highest rate this season, while Brady leads all quarterbacks in red-zone pass attempts per game. Godwin is second in the NFL in red-zone targets this season behind only Cooper Kupp. In what is projected to be the highest total and what everyone expects to be a Buccaneers rout I love Godwin this week.
Rob Gronkowski (+150)
This isn't rocket science. Last week Gronk was my favorite pick to score and he led the Bucs in targets, catches, and yards but failed to find the end zone as we watched Fournette and Ronald Jones combine for five touchdowns. Well, I don't expect that to be the case again in Week 13 and we're turning towards Gronk again here. Gronk is targeted more than any other tight end on a per route basis in the NFL. Atlanta allows touchdown passes at the fourth-highest rate this season, while Brady leads all quarterbacks in red-zone pass attempts-uhh I already said that above with Godwin. In a game that is tied for the highest total in Week 13, Brady should torch the Falcons, just like he did in Week 2 when he threw five touchdowns against them and Gronk was on the receiving end of two of those.
Boston Scott (+235)
Scott and the Eagles get the friendliest matchup for running backs in 2021 as they stay in Metlife and face the Jets. Last week Jordan Howard was out and he will miss Week 13 again, Scott led the Eagles in snaps and routes run out of the backfield. We will note that Miles Sanders left the game due to an ankle injury and he is planning to play Sunday. Scott missed practice this week due to an illness but if he suits up at these odds we can't ignore him after he found the endzone last week and was on the field so often.
Josh Reynolds (+650)
That's right! Our Thanksgiving Day hero is priced at the same odds again and we're going back. This isn’t just chasing his Thanksgiving performance. It’s a good matchup with the Vikings. Reynolds showed the chemistry he and Jared Goff had on the Rams that we were hoping for. He was second in snaps and first in routes in Week 11, not catching any of his three targets while Goff was out. Things clicked in Week 12, when he was second in snaps, third in routes, and first in targets (five), going 3/70/1. The Vikings have struggled mightily against wide receivers this season. Minnesota has allowed the second-most yards after the catch (6.13) and the fourth-most overall yards per reception (11.5), the fifth-most yards, and tied for the fourth-most scores to wide receivers. During their first game back together, Reynolds and Goff hit the ground running. Reynolds is well-positioned to continue this trend and I don't want to miss out on it!
Brevin Jordan (+1600)
Yes, you read that correctly. With the Texans making Jordan Akins a healthy inactive the last two games, Jordan has taken on a larger role. The rookie was inactive the first seven games but has been the Texans most productive tight end the last four weeks. That includes two touchdown receptions and a position-high three red-zone targets.. Jordan was given a season-high 60 percent snap share last week and goes up against the Colts defense allowing the second-most yards and receptions, and is tied for the fourth-most scores to tight ends this season.
Logan Thomas (+275)
The Raiders have allowed the fourth-most catches, fifth-most yards, and second-most scores to tight ends. That could mean a big game from Logan Thomas. He scored a touchdown last week on Monday night! (pause) I'm sorry? It was overturned! But the rule is it has to be "clear and obvious" to overturn. They took five minutes to look at the replay. If it's clear and obvious, why did it take so long to overturn? We'll get that one back here on Sunday! Thomas racked up six targets while on the field for 31 of 36 passing plays. Let's find paydirt!
Foster Moreau (+200)
staying in Vegas we're going for the Raiders starting tight end in Week 13. The last time Darren Waller missed a game (Week 7), Moreau was on the field for 100 percent of snaps, running just three fewer routes than the team leader (Bryan Edwards 33). Moreau was also second in targets (6) to Hunter Renfrow (7) with a line of 6/60/1. Derek Carr has a great matchup too. The Washington Football Team allows touchdown passes at the highest rate this season. Even when the WFT won last week, there was still a blown coverage or two for Russell Wilson to capitalize on. The Vegas running game might struggle as, over the past four weeks, they boast the No. 1 rush defense in the NFL. The WFT has given up just one running back rushing touchdown over its past five games. Therefore I really like this Raiders passing game to be very active making Moreau a direct beneficiary.
CJ Uzomah (+310)
Uzomah's breakout surge of three receptions for 91 yards and two touchdowns was over a month ago. The matchup against the Chargers this week provides perfect conditions for another outburst. This season, no team has allowed more touchdowns to tight ends than the Chargers. The only issue I have with this Bengals team is they are the third-slowest team on offense in the NFL. They just simply don't run many plays. They still find ways to score though every week so I want a piece of this game and I'll gladly take that with the best matchup of any individual player in this one.
George Kittle (+160)
These odds are just disrespectful given the usage Kittle is about to receive. With Deebo Samuel out Brandon Aiyuk has been a popular name all week long. Kittle scored in three straight weeks before last week's dud against the Vikings. This season Kittle has 25 percent targets per route run versus zone coverage. The Seahawks are the third-heaviest zone team (77%). Last week we just mentioned how Seattle got away with allowing a score to Logan Thomas on a questionable call. The Seahawks have allowed the sixth-most receptions to the tight end position setting up Kittle for a big day.
Van Jefferson (+140)
The Rams and Jaguars face off in what is projected to be the fastest matchup of the week. Meaning more plays, and more scoring opportunities. Though this one is expected to be lopsided. The Rams offense has issues but Matthew Stafford got back to hitting some big plays to his outside receivers last week. This downfield passing game is set up even better against the Jaguars bottom-seven defense in yards per attempt and explosive pass play rate allowed on balls thrown at least 20 yards. Van Jefferson has as many end zone targets over the past five games as Ja'Marr Chase. Jefferson also has five straight games with at least six targets, including a season-high nine last week. Despite Odell Beckham's expanded role last week, Jefferson continued to be a focal point. He played on the same number of snaps as Beckham (60) with one more route run (41). Since Beckham's availability is uncertain because of a hip injury, Jefferson's ceiling could be even higher this week. Shoutout to fantasy managers like myself who dropped Jefferson upon the signing of OBJ to learn later that day of Robert Woods torn ACL. Pour one out for us, Van will be the man this week alongside Cooper Kupp.
Week 13 Anytime Touchdown Picks
- Chris Godwin (+130) - BANKER
- Rob Gronkowski (+150)
- Boston Scott (+235)
- Josh Reynolds (+650)
- Brevin Jordan (+1600)
- Logan Thomas (+275)
- Foster Moreau (+200)
- CJ Uzomah (+310)
- George Kittle (+160)
- Van Jefferson (+140)
Tom Viera is an experienced betting and fantasy sports writer. Tom brings a vast knowledge of all things NFL, NBA, MLB and soccer to the OddsChecker stable of handicappers.