Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction: Can We Expect an Offensive Output?

The Tennessee Titans take on the Jacksonville Jaguars in a Week 14 AFC South battle. Can the Jaguars cash the upset? NFL expert Mike Spector gives his pick here.
Mike Spector |
Wed, December 8, 4:10 PM EST | 4 min read
Share to Facebook
Share to Twitter
Copy Link
r-nfl-titans-tannehill-030120.jpg

Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction: Can We Expect an Offensive Output?

The Jacksonville Jaguars and Tennessee Titans meet in their second of two matchups this season after Tennessee won their first meeting 37-19 in Week 5. A lot has changed since then, most notably that Derrick Henry is injured. However, Tennessee remains in the hunt for the No. 1 overall seed in the AFC, while Jacksonville is simply trying to end a long road losing streak. So who has the edge in this AFC South battle?

Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: Sunday, December 12, 2021
  • Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
  • Where To Watch: CBS

Click Here For Titans vs Jaguars Odds

Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Injury Report

Jaguars

Questionable: CB Shaquill Griffin, DT DaVon Hamilton, C Brandon Linder, CB Tyson CampbellOut: TE Dan Arnold

Titans

Questionabale: WR Julio Jones, DT Teair Tart, LB David Long Jr., CB Greg MabinOut: LB Monty Rice

Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Over/Under Movement

Titans vs. Jaguars Prediction

Jacksonville enters this matchup on a four-game losing streak, which is their second losing streak this season of at least four games. The Jaguars have averaged 12 PPG during this current losing streak, and rookie quarterback Trevor Lawrence has 11 consecutive games with one touchdown pass or fewer. Jacksonville’s 37-7 loss to the Rams last week was their 16th consecutive loss to NFC opponents. In addition, the Jaguars have now lost 14 straight road games dating back to last year, and they are 0-5 on the road this season.

Tennessee enters this game on a two-game losing streak, which follows a string of six consecutive wins. While there is no shame in losing at New England in their last game, the Titans suffered a surprising loss against the Texans to start the losing streak. Tennessee hopes the bye week last week helps them get back to the team that won five consecutive games against playoff teams from a year ago.

Including their Week 5 win earlier this season, the Titans have beaten the Jaguars four consecutive times, and only one of those games was decided by one possession. Tennessee’s average margin of victory in their four-game winning streak over Jacksonville is 16 PPG, and they have scored at least 31 points in each matchup.

The apparent difference in this matchup is the absence of Derrick Henry, who has torched the Jaguars in their previous matchups. Tennessee experimented with Adrian Peterson in their backfield for a few games but are currently using a tandem of D’Onta Foreman and Dontrell Hilliard. Foreman showed signs that he could reinvigorate Tennessee’s running game, as he ran for 109 yards and 5.7 yards per carry in their last loss to the Patriots. However, that performance is more likely an outlier, as he combined for 18 rushing attempts and 55 yards (3.1 YPC) in the two games prior.

Without Henry and with Julio Jones and A.J. Brown on IR for the last couple of weeks, quarterback Ryan Tannehill has struggled with a shortage of weapons around him. Tannehill has one or fewer touchdown passes in eight of his previous nine games, and he has posted a QBR of less than 60 in each of his last four.

For as poorly as the Jaguars have played all season, their defense has shown up against some quality opponents. They held Buffalo to a season-low six points, and their defense also gave them a chance to beat Indianapolis four games ago, as they outgained the Colts 331-295 in that game. However, Jacksonville’s offense has been so inept that it feels like their defense has to play at a superhuman level to win a game.

It is fair to question a poor team’s motivation level this late in the season, as perhaps some in the front office even have one eye to the draft. That makes a wager on the point spread a more risky proposition, especially in a game between two division rivals. Therefore, the much safer play is the under, given Tennessee’s injuries to skill position players and Jacksonville’s inability to consistently move the ball.

The under has cashed in each of Jacksonville’s last seven games. Despite the over cashing in five of the previous six meetings between these teams in Tennessee, these two offenses are not primed for another shootout this week.

Titans vs. Jaguars Pick

Mike Spector
@MikeSpector01

Mike Spector brings unmatched knowledge and insight into the game of football, and more importantly the process of betting on NFL football. Mike is the #2 ranked expert in FantasyPros' NFL betting contest

0Betslip

Almost there!

We are loading your bets, and they will be here in a second.

Bonus Bets
Bet $10, Win $200Bet $10, Win $200 If Your Team Scores on Wild Card WeekendCLAIM OFFER