3 NFL Parlay Picks for Week 14 Late Sunday Afternoon Games

Matt O'Leary shares his three parlays for the late window of games for Week 14 of the NFL season.
Matt O'Leary |
Fri, December 10, 9:14 AM EST | 4 min read
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3 NFL Parlay Picks for Week 14 Late Sunday Afternoon Games

This week, we’re blessed with four games in the late window to play with. There’s two that should likely be blowouts (looking at you Chargers vs Giants and Broncos vs Lions) and two games that should be fun ones on paper. The two fun ones are Bengals vs 49ers and Buccaneers vs Bills.

With the Bucs and the Bills before the season started some picked this as a Super Bowl matchup. Right now, at 7-5, the Bills have a lot to prove before they’ll be in that conversation again so this is a big game. For the Bengals and 49ers, each team has had their streaks but ultimately are somewhere in the middle of the pack with the Bengals at 7-5 and the 49ers at 6-6.

Today, we’ll be looking at three parlays for you to try your luck on this week for the late window of games. Here’s what I cooked up.

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ML Parlay: Chargers, Broncos, Bengals, Buccaneers (+390)

Another week, another moneyline parlay. Starting with the Chargers, they’re heavy favorites against the New York Giants who have to travel west and it’s easy to see why. The G-Men will likely start Jake Fromm which for an already struggling offense doesn’t seem like it’ll do the trick. Over the last three weeks, they’ve combined for just 32 points and have finished with under 20 points in seven games already this year. They won’t be able to keep pace with the Chargers.

Last week, the Lions had an emotional last-second win for their first of the season. Now they’re being asked to go on the road to Denver. It took just about everything out of that team and I think they come out flat on the road against a good Denver defense. The Broncos have allowed the third-fewest points in the NFL this season.

I’m the least confident in my Bengals pick as they’ve been a mixed bag all year long but I just don’t trust Jimmy Garoppolo who had a two-pick game against the Seahawks last week. At the end of the day I’m going with the quarterback that I prefer in Joe Burrow as the Bengals will likely win a close one.

As for the Bucs, this is more of an anti-Bills pick more than anything. Buffalo going on the road into Tampa and beating Tom Brady who has owned them for the entirety of his career? Sorry, I just don’t see it.

Alternate Spreads: Broncos -7.5, Chargers -9.5, Buccaneers -2.5 (+470)

As I mentioned above, I’m least confident in the Bengals and 49ers matchup so I’ll just be parlaying the Broncos, Chargers, and Buccaneers here with a spread. For Denver I’m using 7.5, as the Broncos are 3-3 against the spread as a home team this year. For me, this is just a very difficult spot for the Lions, who essentially had their Super Bowl last week, to go on the road and be competitive against a very good defensive coach. The inability for Denver to score scared me slightly off 9.5 points so I gave myself a little more wiggle room with buying the extra two points.

I don’t need any wiggle room with the Chargers. This one has the potential to get ugly and quick with one of Jake Fromm or Mike Glennon starting for the Giants. Heck, even when Daniel Jones was healthy this Giants offense has been brutal. They won’t score enough to keep pace with this Chargers offense that looks like they’re starting to figure it out.

Finally, for Tampa Bay, I'm using 2.5 points so that even a field goal would cover. Right now, Tampa Bay is just significantly better. The Bills have all the potential in the world but a wise man once said "You are what your record says you are."

Chargers vs Giants SGP: Chargers 1st half + Giants under 17.5 + Chargers race to 25 points (+195)

We’re going to close out with a same-game parlay here for this Giants vs Chargers matchup. The first part, Chargers at the half, should be obvious. The Giants are averaging 5.3 first-half points over their last three games. If the Chargers get to 10 points there’s no doubt in my mind that they’ll go into this game with a lead at the half.

Next up is a point total under, I even went a little conservative here with 17.5. The G-Men haven’t come close to 17 points the last three weeks and have only gone over that number twice since Week 6. Expect the Giants to finish somewhere around 13 points this week.

Can the Chargers get to 25? That’s the question because New York won’t even get to 20 let alone 25. They’ve cracked 40 in two of the last three weeks and have gone over 25 six times this year. Considering the Giants’ offensive issues, my guess is the Chargers will have the ball a ton which should lead to points as a result.

Matt O'Leary
@MattOLearyNY

OddsChecker sports writer Matt O'Leary brings experience sports betting advice to the OC staff. You may recognize Matt from his popular New York Jets youtube channel, but his vast knowledge of sports and betting goes well past the boundaries of New York.

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