NFL Predictions Week 14: Our Staff's Locks of the Week

It's Week 14 of the NFL season, and our staff shares their favorite plays from this Sunday's slate of games.
Matt O'Leary |
Fri, December 10, 5:00 PM EST | 4 min read
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NFL Predictions Week 14: Our Staff's Locks of the Week

The NFL season rolls on to Week 14 after we had ourselves an entertaining Week 13. The Detroit Lions got in the win column, Bill Belichick set back the NFL 50 years, it was everything you’d imagine it was, and more.

Now this week, there are some good matchups on the slate, like Arizona vs Los Angeles, Baltimore vs Cleveland, and some other good ones. Some of our guys liked those good games while others, well they wanted to pick on some bottom feeders.

Here’s our staff’s best bets for Week 14 of the NFL season.

Click Here For Week 14 NFL Odds

Cleveland -2.5 (-115)

Cleveland is my favorite pick this week. 80% of this league is about "spot games" and the schedule makers have set up the perfect spot game for the Brownies but it comes at the expense of the Ravens who are the bad end of the most egregious scheduling I have ever seen. In week 12 the Browns and Ravens played on Sunday night (Ravens won), in week 14 the Ravens played Pittsburgh in what is widely regarded as arguably the most physical game on the NFL calendar each year, while the Browns enjoyed a bye week. So for the Browns, it's been Ravens/bye/Ravens. They will essentially be able to gameplan a familiar opponent for practically an entire month. Fingers crossed Baker’s healthier than he's been in months off the bye week.

-- Geoff Fienberg (@gfienberg17)

This is a great spot for Cleveland to get back into legitimate playoff contention. They are at home. They are coming off a bye. They are well-rested. They are healthy. This is the closest thing to a must-win game for them with still a month left in the regular season. The Browns cannot lose to the same team in consecutive games. The game script should be to lean heavily on their rushing attack and make the Ravens defense have to tackle. It's always scary backing Baker Mayfield, but all we need from him is sufficient game management in this one. I don't think he has to go for 300+ and 4 TDs in this game for the Browns to win.

-- Analytics Capper (@AnalyticsCapper)

Alvin Kamara Anytime TD (-125)

I know the value here isn’t great but a winning bet is a winning bet. My most confident bet this week is Alvin Kamara getting into the endzone. The New York Jets have allowed the most rushing touchdowns in the NFL and the fourth-most rushing yards in the league. They can’t stop anybody and with Taysom Hill’s inability to throw the football my guess would be that Sean Payton is going to run the offesne through his star running back. In fact, he should do the Bill Belichick game plan from Monday Night Football last week and just run it all but three plays. If you want to get nuts, Kamara to get in the endzone twice is at +350.

-- Matt O’Leary (@MattOLearyNY)

The fact we are getting this line is downright criminal. This is a steal and whoever posted this at Bet365, I'm worried about their job security come Monday morning. The point of this pick is for it be a lock. I wouldn't normally suggest putting money on a touchdown scorer at such a juicy price but all signs point to this one cashing for us. Most books have this juiced up to above -170. This is a huge reminder of why you should shop for the best price and why the oddschecker grid is the place to do it. Kamara is coming off an injury after he missed the last month with a sprained MCL. The Saints brought in Mark Ingram but he will miss this game due to a positive Covid-19 test. Taysom Hill is the starter for the Saints and he's battling a pinky injury, very similar to the one that Russell Wilson suffered. So there's an even higher probability of the Saints running the ball more. In Hill's four starts in 2020 Kamara scored in three. Before his injury, Kamara scored in four straight games and in six out of eight games this season. It's no secret how bad the Jets are. If you don't know and are new to this, the Jets have allowed a league high 22 touchdowns to opposing running backs this season. Let's cash this one in the first half! Best of luck if you tail!

-- Tom Viera (@Tom_Viera)

Matt O'Leary
@MattOLearyNY

OddsChecker sports writer Matt O'Leary brings experience sports betting advice to the OC staff. You may recognize Matt from his popular New York Jets youtube channel, but his vast knowledge of sports and betting goes well past the boundaries of New York.

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