Monday Night Football Predictions Week 14: Our Staff's Best Bets for Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams

Week 14 of the 2021 NFL season caps off with a divisional bout between the Arizona Cardinals and Los Angeles Rams. Here are our staff's favorite bets for MNF.
Elisha Twerski |
Mon, December 13, 4:04 PM EST | 4 min read
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Monday Night Football Predictions Week 14: Our Staff's Best Bets for Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams

Thirteen games have already taken place in Week 13, and just one remains -- the Monday Night Football divisional matchup between the Arizona Cardinals and Los Angeles Rams.

This week has been an absolute monster slate for chalk plays -- favorites have gone 11-2 against the spread (ATS) while the over has gone 9-3-1. The result? The worst weekend of the year for books.

Tonight's matchup features two teams vying for the top spot in the NFC -- the 10-2 Arizona Cardinals and the 8-4 Los Angeles Rams.

In addition to an ever-growing abundance of top-notch content, our staff will be providing us with their favorite overall plays each week of the season.

For this piece, our staff will be covering whatever bets they feel strongest about for the Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams matchup -- no limitations. Let’s get to it!

Click here for complete Cardinals vs. Rams betting odds

Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams Picks

Los Angeles Rams +3.0 (+100)

This is a gift of a line as the Rams and Cardinals meet in Arizona tonight. The first time these teams played this season, the Cardinals won in a blowout in LA and revenge will be on the minds of this Rams team as they're playing with a chance to get back in the race to win the NFC West. I believe the game plan from Sean Mcvay will be top tier tonight and the Rams offense dominates this game led by Matthew Stafford. This is a no-brainer for me as getting the points in a game like this is a gift! Give the Rams all day and sprinkle them on the moneyline.

-- Matt McCuen (@DeadPresPicks)

Arizona Cardinals -3.0 (-108)

In looking at this game in a smaller sample size, it's Cards or nothing for me. Since starting 3-0, it feels like the Rams have been trending in the wrong direction, with wins against Seattle, the Giants, Houston, Detroit, and Jacksonville not anything to write home about. A 10-2 team is being underappreciated at home at the moment.

-- Geoff Fienberg (@gfienberg17)

Total: Under 52 (-122)

I think we see a low-scoring game here between two division rivals meeting for the second time this year. Sure, these teams combined for 57 points in Week 4, and the over has cashed in three of their last four meetings. But Murray and Hopkins are still not 100% healthy, and Matthew Stafford has struggled against elite competition.

-- Mike Spector (@MikeSpector01)

Total: Over 51 (+100)

When looking at this game, I've gone back countless times between who I wanted to take between the Rams and the Cardinals. In the midst of my internal struggle, I found the point total set at 51 and jumped for joy. Seriously, I jumped out of my chair and went to my book faster than Aaron Donald can get to the quarterback. The Cardinals have put up 30 or more points a whopping eight times already this year. Now, I know the Cardinals have this incredible defense and have allowed the fourth-fewest points in the NFL, but this is Sean McVay we're talking about. All Los Angeles would have to do is get to 22 points, something they've done seven times this year. Give me all the points tonight.

-- Matt O’Leary (@MattOLearyNY)

Kyler Murray OVER 27.5 Rushing Yards (+100)

Kyler Murray returned from a high ankle sprain last week and wasted no time pushing the limits on his ankles. He ran a season-high 10 times for 59 yards against the Chicago Bears who, up until that game, had not allowed a quarterback to rush for more than 40 yards. The Los Angeles Rams defense is very balanced. They have been solid against wide receivers and running backs this season. The last time Kyler Murray played the Rams, he ran 6 times for 39 yards. This is a high-stakes divisional game against a tough opponent. This is the type of game Murray will have to utilize all of his assets to win and that includes his mobility. I'd be shocked if Kyler Murray doesn't rush for more than 30 yards tonight. I'm slamming the over on his rushing yards.

-- Nate Hamilton (@DomiNateFF)

Sony Michel Over 68.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Darrell Henderson has been ruled out for tonight’s contest, which gives Sony Michel a terrific opportunity to repeat his outstanding performance from last Sunday. Michel took 24 carries for 121 yards in a win over the Jaguars last week. And, there were a few things that really stood out about this performance from Sony. Primarily, he played an incredible 97% of LA’s offensive snaps, ceding only two plays to backup running back Mekhi Sargent. And, these two snaps came at the very end of the Rams’ win after other starters like Matthew Stafford and Cooper Kupp had already been pulled out of the game.

The Rams also deployed a sixth offensive lineman in about a third of their offensive plays last week, and the LA Times’ Gary Klein reported on Thursday that the team plans to continue doing so against Arizona on Monday Night Football. The Cardinals give up the third-highest yards per carry average in the NFL this season, and present a great matchup for Los Angeles to take advantage of on the ground. Darrell Henderson turned 14 carries into 89 rushing yards last time these two teams faced off.

The Rams average 21.1 running back carries per game and we can safely project Michel for at least 90% of LA’s backfield work tonight. Look for Sony to rack up 18-20 carries and finish near 100 rushing yards in a huge road game in Arizona tonight.

-- Gray Gutfreund (@PropBetGuru)

Sony Michel Anytime Touchdown (+110)

Michel became the Rams' first 100-yard rusher of the season last week against the Jaguars when he ran for 121 yards. He ran downhill and passed the eye test if you ask me. With Darrell Henderson set to sit out at least one more week, the Rams backfield solely belongs to Michel. He played on 97 percent of the snaps and racked up 24 carries and four targets last week. The Arizona defense ranks tied for the second-most receptions allowed to running backs since Week 10. The Cardinals defense has allowed 4.7 yards per carry so far this season, which is tied for the second-worst in the entire NFL.

Most teams have to abandon the run to try to keep up with the Cardinals offense but the Rams can easily match Arizona. Sean McVay has always leaned on the run in goal-to-go situations. The Cardinals defend the deep ball extremely well which is a big part of the Rams game plan weekly. Therefore, I think they will lean even more heavily on Sony this Monday night! With tonight projected to be the fastest-paced game of all of Week 14, I think we have to trust the volume and opportunities for Sony. I’m even on him to score twice tonight at +500 with my anytime touchdown picks tonight you can read here. Best of luck if you tail!

-- Tom Viera (@Tom_Viera)

Elisha Twerski
@ElishaTwerski

The Senior Editor at OddsChecker, Elisha is an experienced fantasy and betting analyst. According to BettingPros, he was was one of the most accurate betting experts in 2019, ranking second in moneyline picks and 13th against the spread. Originally from Milwaukee, Wisconsin, his best skill is his ability to spell "Antetokounmpo" without looking. You can follow Elisha on Twitter at @ElishaTwerski.

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