TNF Player Prop Picks: The Best Bet for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers player prop pick and prediction from handicapper John Hyslop. See which player John has his eyes on for TNF
John Hyslop |
Wed, December 15, 4:41 PM EST | 4 min read
Share to Facebook
Share to Twitter
Copy Link
r-nfl-chiefs-darrell-williams-270121.jpg

TNF Player Prop Picks: The Best Bet for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers

The Thursday night game between the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers is what Thursday Night Football should always be. This is not some BS game that we'll watch just because we have money on it. It's a legit good game that means a lot. Obviously, we'll have money on it, I'm just saying it's a good game. There are always a million angles to dissect and plenty of mental simulations to run but after going over all of them, I found what we were looking for. Here's what we're betting Thursday night.

Chiefs vs. Chargers odds for Thursday Night Football

Darrel Williams Over 17.5 receiving yards (-117)

Line available at Barstool at time of publishing.

I found this one at Barstool and it's one yard lower than the other shops. Both DraftKings and FanDuel are showing 18.5 which is playable but obviously if we can get 17.5 we want to play that. For some reason BetMGM has yet to post anything on Williams yet but I'm sure they'll be in the same range.

Darrel Williams started the season as the guy behind the guy. In Week One he played only 22% of the snaps as Clyde Edwards-Helaire was given every opportunity to lead the backfield this season. But it's hard to keep a good man down and week after week, Williams kept getting more and more work. Aided by an injury to CEH, we are now seeing a pretty even split in snaps for the two backs.

Williams looks to be more of the receiving back of the two and his targets this season have reflected that. On the year he's seen 46 targets to CEH's 18. Williams isn't just getting targeted though, he's turning these targets into production as he's gone over 17.5 receiving yards in seven of his last nine games.

Only two teams in the NFL have given up less receiving yards to running backs than the Chargers so that's bad. I think it's only because teams can run all over them so they don't get into the "throw to the running back" bag of tricks. I don't think that will be the case in this one for the Chiefs. Williams caught two balls for 11 yards the first time these teams met and he barely played. This is a pretty low bar to clear this time around.

John Hyslop
@sloprules

John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

Record DateWinsLossesPushROI
December 20212415025.23%

0Betslip

Almost there!

We are loading your bets, and they will be here in a second.