Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets Player Prop Picks: Roll With Albert Wilson

Player Prop Specialist John Hyslop takes a look at the top NFL player prop to bet for the Week 15 matchup between the Dolphins vs. Jets.
John Hyslop |
Sun, December 19, 9:59 AM EST | 4 min read
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Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets Player Prop Picks: Roll With Albert Wilson

There's absolute chaos in the NFL streets at the moment, but one thing I've learned over time, you still have to bet. Does it matter that we don't even know who's playing? No. Does it matter that we've never even heard of the guys who are playing? No. As a guy who bet during the 1987 strike (I didn't, but only because I was 10), the show still goes on. The people still need action, and as long as there is football on our televisions, we're going to bet on it. That's just how being a gambler works.

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Albert Wilson Over 3.5 receptions (+120)

Line available at DraftKings at time of publishing.

This one is hanging at DraftKings right now, and it's glorious. The only +120 for four measly receptions is a move I love to see (+115 at BetMGM). If you have to use FanDuel, they have +108 over there, so that's an option. Barstool is only offering +104, but plus money is plus money.

A lot of people don't know this, but Albert grew up in Ft. Pierce/Port St. Lucie, Florida, just like I did. But unlike me, Albert went to Port St. Lucie High School, which was a no-go in my day. They stunk at football, and no true football player with a brain would ever suit up for them. However, that must have changed after I left the area because I heard he was pretty good.

Fast forward to now, and Wilson is in the NFL playing wide receiver for the Miami Dolphins, and he could be in line for more work today. Jaylen Waddle has Covid, so he's out, which will open up more than 20% of the target share. Obviously, the big dogs, DeVante Parker and Mike Gesicki will get some of that, but it helps Wilson too.

It helps because Wilson has slowly wormed his way into this offense recently (like a true PSL High grad). Over the last four weeks, he's been playing no less than 47% of the snaps. What's beautiful is that his ADOT is only 1.56 yards. Do you even realize how easy it is for an NFL player to catch a ball that's thrown to them less than two yards beyond the line of scrimmage? He's also been targeted 23 times in those four weeks. That's almost six per game if you're familiar with math.

The biggest issue we have is the New York Jets stink and might be the only team in the NFL the Dolphins can run against. That could cause fewer opportunities for the pass catchers, but I'm not scared. The Dolphins smoked the New York Giants just last week, and Tua Tagovailoa still threw the ball 41 times. We just need four catches here, people. That's not that hard.

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John Hyslop
@sloprules

John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

Record DateWinsLossesPushROI
December 20212415025.23%

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