Week 16 NFL Player Prop Picks: Two Best Bets of the Week
Week 16 NFL Player Prop Picks: Two Best Bets of the Week
Holiday football is some of the best football a person can bet on. That's just a fact. Now even though these bets aren't exactly Christmas Day bets since the games are being played the day after, they can still be called holiday bets. There's no chance your holiday decorations will be down when these games are being played so just go with me here. We need at least two for the 1:00 pm ET games, so that's what I'm doing here.
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Tyler Boyd Over 20.5 longest reception (-115)
Line available at DraftKings
The only shop available for this bet right now is DraftKings, but I'm guessing the others will be along soon. When they post, they'll likely be in line with this one so when you are reading this, do yourself a favor and check. I like it at 20.5 -115 so I just went with it.
Boyd is kind of the forgotten man in Cincinnati these days with Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins getting all the shine. Those guys are good so it's not like anything nefarious is happening. The thing is, he's still getting his.
I wanted to go with his receiving yards at 47 but longest reception seems more like the move. First, the bet is just fun, and second, Boyd has cleared this in each of his last three games. He also did it the first time these teams played each other so there's that too.
Speaking of Baltimore, I bet you didn't even know that no team in the NFL has given up more 20+ yard receptions than they have this season. That's not only crazy, it's also true. The Ravens have given up 61 of them this season. I bet they forget about Boyd while trying to cover Chase and Higgens and he gets free at least once.
Click here for complete Week 16 NFL betting odds
Van Jefferson Over 21.5 longest reception (-110)
Line is at BetMGM
This one is available at DraftKings and BetMGM but I went with BetMGM. They have it at -110 while DraftKings has -115. I know it's not much of a difference but every penny counts in this economy. Call me cheap if you want, but I think it's the way.
Jefferson has only done this once in the last three weeks but it was a sweet 52-yarder against the Arizona Cardinals. The thing is, he had an 18-yarder and a 19-yarder the weeks he didn't get home so it's not like he's far off. He just needs the right opponent and game script.
I don't know about the game script but he's got the right opponent in the Minnesota Vikings. Like the Ravens, these guys give up the 20+ ball like it's their job. On the season, they've given up 51 of them, which is only 10 off the league worst. This game could turn into a weird shootout giving us the perfect recipe for a Jefferson deep shot.
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Article Author
John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.