Monday Night Football Predictions Week 16: Our Staff's Best Bets For New Orleans Saints vs Miami Dolphins

The OddsChecker crew shares their favorite picks from the Monday Night Football matchup between the Miami Dolphins and New Orleans Saints.
Matt O'Leary |
Mon, December 27, 4:10 PM EST | 3 min read
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Ian Book Saints QB

Monday Night Football Predictions Week 16: Our Staff's Best Bets For New Orleans Saints vs Miami Dolphins

There's one more game in Week 16 before we put a bow on it. Miami heads down to New Orleans to take on the New Orleans Saints who are down to their fourth-string quarterback this week.

Ian Book, a late-round pick from this past draft, gets the nod for the Saints at home this week. Sure, they still have that great defense but will it be enough to stop the red-hot Dolphins?

Check out our staff's favorite plays from this week's Monday Night Football matchup.

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Saints +3.5 (-117)

Great spot for the dog at home tonight. The Saints come into this game needing a win to keep their playoff hopes alive. The reason the Saints are a big dog in this game is due to the fact they are on their fourth quarterback of the season in Ian Book. Book a rookie from Norte Dame will have to step up in this spot tonight and I believe will be good enough to get a cover and win tonight. The Dolphins have not been challenged during this win streak and they will be challenged big-time tonight! Give me the dog in this spot!

-- Matt McCuen (@DeadPresPicks)

Saints +3 (+100)

Both teams are sitting at 7-7, but the Miami Dolphins are riding high. They are winners of 5 straight games and come into New Orleans looking for another victory to extend the streak. However, when you dive deeper into the teams Miami has beaten during this run, I believe they are a bit overvalued by the books and by the public. They still only average a tad over 20 points per game on average which is extremely mediocre, and young QB Tagovailoa is still not a game changer. The Saints possess an elite defense that just shut Tom Brady down and will have the energy of the home crowd behind them. I think the Saints get it done tonight and keep this game within a field goal. -- Albert Nguyen (@AnalyticsCapper)

It seems like everyone wants to go against Ian Book and the Saints. At the end of the day, the Saints defense has allowed just nine points in their last two games and look dominant on the defensive end. Book isn't the best quarterback option, but he will fit the Saints and their scheme. Plus it doesn't hurt to have Alvin Kamara on the field next to you. Take the Saints at home.

-- Jason Radowitz (@Jason_Radowitz)

Dolphins -3.5 (+100)

Ian Book is Notre Dame's winningest quarterback in program history, but this MNF stage for his first professional start will be too bright for him. The Jets benched Mike White (who was playing well at the time) for Joe Flacco earlier in the season out of fear that Miami's blitzing defense would be too much for a young quarterback to handle. Book and the Saints are in for a world of trouble tonight against a Miami team looking for their seventh straight victory.

-- Mike Spector (@MikeSpector01)

The hottest team in football, the Miami Dolphins! They've won six in a row and their young quarterback is playing great football right now. The offense has put up 30 or more points in two of their last three games and defensively they've only allowed more than 20 points once during this stretch of the ball and they're going against Ian Book this week. Don't expect much offense from the Saints this week, Miami should cover fairly easily.

-- Matt O’Leary (@MattOLearyNY)

Mark Ingram Over 7.5 Rushing Attempts (-125)

Alvin Kamara is one of the NFL’s most talented offensive players. However, the New Orleans Saints have made it clear they want to limit his touches and avoid running him into the ground. As a result, Mark Ingram has been quite involved in the offense lately. Ingram has 9+ carries in each of his last five games, averaging 15.2 touches per game during this stretch. He shared the field with Kamara in only two of these games, but Sean Payton and the Saints’ coaching staff have shown their trust in Ingram. He’s in his ninth season with the Saints (and in Payton’s system) and is one of the NFL’s more consistent veteran ball carriers. Ingram played 49% of New Orleans’ snaps in last week’s win over the Buccaneers, and we can expect around a 40% snap share tonight. He’ll likely be a key factor in their game plan due to fourth-string QB Ian Book drawing the start against Miami. Look for the Saints to make an effort to control possession with their run game and get Ingram the ball 10+ times in a pivotal late-season matchup.

-- Gray Gutfreund (@PropBetGuru)

Matt O'Leary
@MattOLearyNY

OddsChecker sports writer Matt O'Leary brings experience sports betting advice to the OC staff. You may recognize Matt from his popular New York Jets youtube channel, but his vast knowledge of sports and betting goes well past the boundaries of New York.

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