Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction: Expect Fireworks Between These Juggernaut Offenses

The Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs come into Week 17 red hot. NFL expert Mike Spector is here with his prediction and breakdown of this Week 17 AFC clash.
Mike Spector |
Tue, December 28, 3:55 PM EST | 5 min read
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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction: Expect Fireworks Between These Juggernaut Offenses

There is no bigger game on the Week 17 slate than the matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Cincinnati Bengals, the week's only game between two division leaders. The Chiefs clinched the AFC West for the sixth consecutive season but look to inch closer to nailing down the AFC's No. 1 seed. The Bengals would clinch the AFC North title with a win. Is there a clear advantage on either side of the point spread, or is a play on the total the safer bet between these two AFC powerhouses?

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

Date: Sunday, January 2

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET

Where to Watch: CBS

Click Here For Bengals vs Chiefs Odds

Bengals vs. Chiefs INJURY REPORT

Chiefs

Questionable: RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire, TE Travis Kelce, S Tyrann Mathieu

Out: OT Lucas Niang, LB Nick Bolton

Bengals

Questionable: DE Cam Sample

Out: OT D.J. Reader, LB Logan Wilson, CB Darius Phillips, QB Brandon Allen, OT Fred Johnson

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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

Kansas City is the hottest team in football, entering this week on an eight-game winning streak. The Chiefs have been dominant on both sides of the ball of late. Their defense has allowed 12.9 points per game during the winning streak, while the offense has scored 34 or more points in three straight games. In addition, their turnover margin in the eight-game span is +13.

Last week, Patrick Mahomes had his seventh game this season with at least three passing touchdowns, the second-most in the league. Kansas City's 26-point win over Pittsburgh was significant, as it was the sixth-worst loss for the Steelers in a game started by Ben Roethlisberger. With the win, the Chiefs became the only AFC team to clinch a playoff berth thus far.

Have a day, Joe Burrow. Cincinnati quarterback threw for 525 yards in a win over Baltimore, and he set the Bengals franchise record for most passing yards in a game that Boomer Esiason had previously held. In fact, Burrow's 525 yards were the fourth-most by a quarterback in a game all-time.

Cincinnati entered last week with 35 plays of 20+ yards in their previous eight games, which ranked third in the NFL in that span. The Bengals were full of big plays against a ravaged Ravens secondary, and they swept the season series from the Ravens for the first time since 2015. Tee Higgins has emerged as Burrow's favorite target, and he had a career-high 194 receiving yards and two touchdowns in last week's win. It was Higgins' fourth 100-yard game in the previous five weeks.

One of the most impressive things about Kansas City's win over Pittsburgh was that they scored 36 points playing without Travis Kelce and with Tyreek Hill finishing with only two catches for 19 yards. The Chiefs offense is clicking on all cylinders, and we do not expect them to slow down, even though running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire is week-to-week with a bruised shoulder. Darrel Williams and Derrick Gore are more than capable fill-ins, as they totaled 98 yards combined on the ground and 91 yards receiving last week.

While Kansas City's offense is humming, it is hard to be down on Cincinnati's offense after their 41-point barrage and 575 yards of offense. Even if Kansas City's stout defense has success against Burrow, the Bengals are balanced with Joe Mixon, who became the third player in franchise history with 16 or more touchdowns in a season after his two-touchdown performance last week. 

The Bengals rank sixth in the league in sacks but are 29th in passing yards per game allowed (252.8). Thus, that spells doom when going against a Patrick Mahomes-led offense. 

The over is 5-1 in Kansas City's last six January games and is 4-1 in their previous five games against AFC opponents. The over has also cashed in Cincinnati's previous five games following a straight-up win and four of their last five home games overall. Thus, we expect another shootout in this one. 

Bengals vs. Chiefs Pick

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs Over/Under Movement

Mike Spector
@MikeSpector01

Mike Spector brings unmatched knowledge and insight into the game of football, and more importantly the process of betting on NFL football. Mike is the #2 ranked expert in FantasyPros' NFL betting contest

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