Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins Player Prop Picks: Fade the Miami Passing Game

The Tennessee Titans are hosting the Miami Dolphins in a Week 17 AFC clash. Here's a player prop pick that you don't want to miss out on for it.
Josh Gayle |
Sat, January 1, 2:40 PM EST | 4 min read
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Dolphins Devante Parker

Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins Player Prop Picks: Fade the Miami Passing Game

We're placing money on a game on two teams with winning records, is this real life? The red-hot Dolphins take on the ten-win Titans in what should be a fun one. I'm on a player who I think could be severely overlooked.

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Devante Parker Under 51.5 receiving yards (-115)

Line Available at Caesars at Time of Publishing

He may not be getting headlines like Jaylen Waddle, but Devante Parker has been having a quietly very productive season. With that being said, we have to fade him here. This isn't an overreaction to his donut last week, either. Before that rough game, Parker has hit 62 or more yards in four straight, but there is one key element that makes me think this goes under.

Last week will be overreacted to. When Marshon Lattimore is defending you, then bad things will happen. That's not what we're doing here, though. Even though Parker is in the ultimate get-right spot, this game is projected to have wild weather. We are expected to see snow/rain and heavy winds. Tennesee allows the most yards to wide receivers, but if Tua can't get a good grip on the ball and throw an accurate pass, that doesn't matter. Dolphins are slight underdogs in this one, so I see them passing throughout all four quarters at times, but I see both teams relying heavily on their run game in these conditions.

Jaylen Waddle has been more talked about and will receive more attention, but that shouldn't matter. When Miami throws in the wind, they're more likely to throw short high percentage passes. Jaylen Waddle is the more sure-handed possession guy of the two. Whenever there are weather concerns, I usually go with a rushing prop, but then they load the box, and the game ends 6-3. I will learn from my past mistakes and instead take a receiving under. Winds of 15-20 mph with rain will limit Tua. I see Gesicki and Waddle involved in the short game and another week of Parker struggling to get involved.

Josh Gayle
@ThatGuyBets

Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.

Record DateWinsLossesPushROI
NFL 2021-222012016.42%

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