SNF Player Prop Picks: The Best Bet for Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings

Player Prop Specialist John Hyslop is here with the top NFL player prop to bet for Week 17 Sunday Night Football matchup between the Packers and Vikings.
John Hyslop |
Sun, January 2, 11:05 AM EST | 4 min read
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Packers AJ Dillon

SNF Player Prop Picks: The Best Bet for Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings

When God made AJ Dillon I'm pretty sure he made him specifically for a game like tonight. Scratch that, not a game like tonight's, but specificaly tonight's game. It's going to be cold tonight in Green Bay. We're talking like close to zero degrees people. Not a lot of wind and no precipitation, but definitely ridiculously cold. It's the kind of night where the fans that have no shirts on could actually die. If I was in charge, I'd do one thing all night long.

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AJ Dillon Over 53.5 Rushing Yards (-113)

Line Available at Fanduel at Time of Publishing

I'm at FanDuel here since nobody else wants to play the AJ Dillon game. DraftKings has nothing yet but only for him. They have most of the other players. BetMGM and Barstool don't even have one player prop posted for this game which is pretty weak. They'll be along soon I'm sure, but we need action now. FanDuel it is people.

AJ Dillon is not a guy you want to tackle on a night like tonight. I wouldn't want to tackle him on any night but especially when it's five degrees outside. No thanks. He's 6' tall and 247 pounds. His quads are like tree trunks and he runs a 4.53 40-yard dash. The Packers got made fun of for drafting him in the second round of the 2020 NFL Draft but they are definitely getting the last laugh now. This kid is an absolute tank.

We could get game script love here or we could get flat-out dominance. It's all deadly really but as far as the game script is concerned, we should be gold. The Vikings will start Sean Mannion tonight since Kirk Cousins is out with Covid. This kid isn't ready for this. It's not hard to imagine the Packers building a lead and skewing heavy run in the later stages of the game.

Even if Mannion turns into Fran Tarkenton tonight, the Vikings still have a pretty soft run defense. Only four teams in the entire NFL allow more rushing yards per attempt on the season. If Dillon sees double-digit carries in what figures to be a beatdown, it's hard to imagine he doesn't run for at least 54 yards. I know I wouldn't bet against it.

* If you want to James Bond this thing, FanDuel lets you take 70+ for +194. He did it a couple of weeks ago against the Chicago Bears. This isn't that crazy.

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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

Record DateWinsLossesPushROI
January 202234230175.80%

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