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In the season finale between the Indianapolis Colts and Jacksonville Jaguars expect Jonathan Taylor to go off.
ANALYSIS

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction: Feed Jonathan Taylor

The Colts clinch this game with a win. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to predict how this game is going to go. One team is projected to have the number 1 pick in the draft and the other is playing for a chance to keep their season alive. I found a bet so easy to take it feels illegal.

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Jonathan Taylor o21.5 rush attempts (+100 @ DK)

Taylor will be heavily relied on in this one. It’s win and you get in. Hand the ball to the best player on your team and let him take you to the promise land. Getting this at + odds feels like a late Christmas gift that got lost in the mail and finally came. For regular human beings, 21.5 rushing attempts is absurd. For unicorns like Jonathan Taylor that's just another Sunday in the books.

Last time out vs Jacksonville we saw Taylor “only” get 21 handoffs so we actually would have gotten hooked. In a Week 18 game with so much on the line I see them spamming running plays enough to have him improve on that number. Last time out the Colts only won by six points. This game comes in with a 15 point spread and the game outcome should essentially be known by halftime. Some people may think that if the Colts go up by enough they could bench Taylor to rest him for the playoffs. I don't think that's an impossibility but I see them letting him add to his historic season and assuring their dominance heading into the postseason. Jacksonville allows the 6th most rushing attempts in the NFL and have been especially bad lately. We have seen Sony Michel run 24 times against this same defense and Taylor is much more of a bell cow. I see projections that have Taylors penciled in around 24 handoffs and I can’t say I disagree. There’s a chance that yardage hits before rush attempts but I feel like Jacksonville will load the box and prevent Taylor from his regular efficiency. 

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Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.

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