NFL Player Props Week 18: Top Anytime TD Scorer Bets
NFL Player Props Week 18: Top Anytime TD Scorer Bets
If you've been here from the start of the season or are joining us for the first time this week I want to thank you for your continued support. What a journey this season has been. We have one last Sunday of the NFL regular season to nail our anytime touchdown scorer bets. We've managed a sizeable profit and we're here to keep on building! Don't be sad it's over be grateful that it happened. It doesn't stop this Sunday don't worry! I'll be supplying winning anytime touchdown picks throughout the NFL playoffs as well! Just think, in a little less than two months from now we'll be begging for NFL action so we need to continue to push on right now.
We will have our most anytime touchdown picks ever this week surpassing our Week 17 picks! More good news is, I've narrowed down the best options for anytime touchdown scorers for you here for Week 18. When we started this season I stated how the analysis I've done will always support our anytime touchdown picks. We're not just throwing noodles at the wall and seeing if they stick! Let's get to the best anytime touchdown picks for Sunday! Best of luck if you tail!
Even better than my picks is the OddscheckerUS website compares odds from every sportsbook for every NFL game. This includes odds for anytime touchdown scorers and we find where you can get the best price for your bet.
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Week 18 Top Anytime TD Bets
AJ Brown (+140)
We have to close out the regular season with a BANKER right? Well here it is. Houston is allowing 3.9 red zone drives and 11.3 yards per completion, ranking third- and fourth-most in the NFL. Since returning from the injured reserve, Brown has logged 21 targets and 13 catches on 46 routes over the last two weeks. A Week 18 win for the Titans in Houston earns Tennessee the AFC bye, so Brown will see his usual high complement of snaps this week, assuming the Chiefs win their game on Saturday against the Broncos. The Texans don't have a cornerback capable of stopping Brown for an entire game. Maybe this is the week Julio Jones and Brown both go nuclear but we can only trust AJB11 at this point in time.
Diontae Johnson (+175)
Johnson leads the team with 1,100 receiving yards on 100 catches. He also has eight receiving touchdowns, including two the last time the Steelers faced the Ravens. Johnson put up an 8-105-2 receiving line on 11 targets in the Week 13 matchup against the Ravens. You'll see a trend here of picking on the Baltimore secondary.
Pat Freiermuth (+333)
The Ravens have the league's worst pass defense, allowing an average of 8.2 yards per attempt and 30 passing touchdowns. Tight ends have gone bananas against them all season long. The rookie tight end is second on the Steelers with 7 touchdowns on the season trailing Diontae Johnson. The Ravens are bottom-five in the NFL in catches, yards, and scores allowed to tight ends.
KJ Osborn (+220)
With Adam Thielen out for the season, Osborn has become the Vikings' No. 2 wide receiver and has played very well over his past five games, as he has at a touchdown in four out of five of them. The Bears have allowed the second-most touchdowns to wide receivers this season. Osborn has some vertical ability down the field that leads to a greater chance for explosive plays and should be on the field plenty this weekend for the possibility of another touchdown.
Cole Kmet (+450)
It's time to make back those units we dropped on Kmet this season here with one last chance in Week 18 to make things right. Despite having more than five targets in five straight games, Kmet hasn't been able to convert that into touchdown success. Jimmy Graham's red zone performance, which has seen him score three touchdowns in the past six games, stealing the spotlight from Kmet. In Week 15, he caught six of nine targets for 71 yards against the Vikings. He has averaged 7.5 targets in games that Andy Dalton has started this season. Kmet has the potential to reel in his first touchdown of the year in Week 18.
Taysom Hill (+160)
The rushing touchdown potential is better this week than any week for Hill. The Falcons defense is poor, even with rushing quarterbacks (Trevor Lawrence 5/39, Cam Newton 10/47/1, and Josh Allen 15/81/2) in the past five games. Mark Ingram seems likely to miss this game again and the Saints need to win this week and a 49ers loss to make the playoffs. He's had at least 11 carries in his four starts this season and the Falcons have allowed sixth-most rushing scores on the season.
Mike Evans (+130)
Mike Evans has 27 touchdowns in his last 35 games and that's the reason we're here. Antonio Brown is no longer with the Buccaneers and we're getting Tom Brady's top receiving weapon at +130!? That's ridiculous. He will be due for a huge number of targets from this point and into the playoffs. Panthers cornerback Stephon Gillmore was placed on the COVID-list and if he remains out, Evans should eat this Sunday while putting food on our plates too!
Cyril Grayson (+550)
The Bucs are all of a sudden in need of wide receivers after a few weeks ago having arguably the best trio at the position the NFL has ever seen. Grayson, a former college track star who didn't even play football at LSU, has stepped up over the past couple of weeks and has nine catches on 11 targets. He was on the receiving end of Brady's game-winning touchdown pass last week against the Jets. Tom Brady has already expressed his trust in the speedster to head coach Bruce Arians, Grayson could be in for a significant role in Week 18. I love taking a guy that Tom Brady trusts at this price!
Zach Ertz (+187)
Ertz comes into Week 18 with an absurd 27% target share in the three games since DeAndre Hopkins went down. Christian Kirk at 24%. The Seahawks have allowed the third-most YAC this season and Ertz has seen four straight games with a red-zone target. While Ertz has not scored any recent touchdowns, his volume and yards gained point towards that changing here in Week 18. Only four players in the NFL have seen more targets than Ertz over the last month, and that list is ELITE. Cooper Kupp, Justin Jefferson, Davante Adams, and Amon-Ra St. Brown. The Seahawks defense has allowed the fourth-most touchdowns to tight ends and I expect Ertz to increase that number in Week 18. The Cardinals can still win the NFC West with a victory and a Rams loss to the 49ers. Although they can't drop below the No. 5 seed, securing even just one home game in the postseason is motivation enough to play to win.
Christian Kirk (+200)
The Seahawks are one of only five defenses to allow at least 130 receptions to slot receivers this season. Kirk has stepped up in the absence of D-Hop, with 8.8 targets per game over the last four games. Kirk also had at least one deep reception in three of those four games. Seattle allows a league-high 11.5 passing attempts to the slot -- a place where Kirk lines up often, logging 22 slot targets over his last four games. Additionally, four of his five touchdown receptions this season have come while being lined up in the slot. The Seahawks have allowed at least three deep completions in nine different games this season. In what projects to be one of the faster-paced games of Week 18 we can expect no shortage of offense in this one from either side.
DK Metcalf (+220)
I repeat DK Metcalf at +220! Sign me up please! I just told you how this game has one of the highest projected totals and fastest paces projected for Week 18. The Cardinals' secondary has been just flat-out awful of late. They have now allowed the most touchdowns to wide receivers this season in the entire NFL. He's back to being a touchdown beast, evidenced by four scores on his eight catches over the last two games. This is possibly Russell Wilson's final game in a Seahawk uniform and I expect them to go out in style if it is. I'll take this price all day, every day!
Devin Singletary (+110)
As you can see with our next three picks I'm expecting the Bills to go all out here in Week 18 and I see the value in each of these picks. These are the Bills running back touches the last three weeks: Devin Singletary 63, Zach Moss 9, Matt Breida 1. The Bills have plenty of motivation this week and by the looks of it, they finally have their favorite choice at running back. Week 18 brings us to the last stop on the play running backs against the Jets train for this season. The Bills are playing at home and favored by 17 points. Singletary is coming off three straight weeks where he has seen 90%-plus of the running back snaps and touches. The Jets allow 114.6 rushing yards per game and 2.7 points per drive, 8.4% worse than any other defense. Singletary's being hoisted into Buffalo's lead-back role has led to four touchdowns over the last three weeks and 20.7 touches per game in that span. Last week we hit on him at +210 and even at this price I LOVE this bet once again!
Dawson Knox (+210)
The Jets have allowed the second-most yards per pass and a league-high 4.4 red zone drives per game. Knox has five games this season with multiple red-zone targets and last week snapped a six-game streak of games with either five-plus targets or a touchdown. The Jets have now allowed the second-most yards, sixth-most catches, and are tied with the fifth-most scores to tight ends. Knox has been a touchdown machine all season and getting him at this price is a no-brainer!
Gabriel Davis (+220)
Now I'm well aware of the expected weather in Buffalo on Sunday evening but if any quarterback is able to throw the ball through sustained 20 MPH wind it's Josh Allen. Davis was only targeted three times against the Falcons, even as he led the Bills in snap percentage (86%), receiving yards (40), and routes run (26). Davis could explode again against a terrible Jets defense with Emmanuel Sanders ruled out for Week 18. There is a possibility that the Bills will phase out Cole Beasley. The veteran receiver's production has fallen off of late. The Bills have plenty of motivation, with the AFC East title -- and with it a first-round home game -- on the line.
Week 18 Anytime Touchdown Picks
- AJ Brown (+140) - BANKER
- Diontae Johnson (+175)
- Pat Freiermuth (+333)
- KJ Osborn (+220)
- Cole Kmet (+450)
- Taysom Hill (+160)
- Mike Evans (+130)
- Cyril Grayson (+550)
- Zach Ertz (+187)
- Christian Kirk (+200)
- DK Metcalf (+220)
- Devin Singletary (+110)
- Dawson Knox (+210)
- Gabriel Davis (+220)
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Tom Viera is an experienced betting and fantasy sports writer. Tom brings a vast knowledge of all things NFL, NBA, MLB and soccer to the OddsChecker stable of handicappers.