New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Same-Game Parlay Picks: Will the Pats Go Run Heavy Again?

When looking at the New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills matchup, Jason Radowitz looks at a same-game parlay featuring heavy attention on the run.
Jason Radowitz |
Wed, January 12, 4:18 PM EST | 4 min read
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New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Same-Game Parlay Picks: Will the Pats Go Run Heavy Again?

It's round three between the New England Patriots and the Buffalo Bills. The Patriots, of course, won the first game in freezing cold weather while the Bills ended up snagging the second game between the two teams. It looks like it'll be freezing cold again when these two teams meet in Buffalo, yet again, for the AFC Wild Card. Does this mean you should bet on the Patriots to run the ball? Here’s our favorite Same-Game Parlay for the AFC Wild Card game between the New England Patriots and the Buffalo Bills.

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New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Same-Game Parlay Picks

Leg 1: Patriots +4 (-110)

I'm not so sure that the Patriots will only throw it three times in this game. But I wouldn't be shocked. The Patriots have shown, at times, that they're not comfortable allowing Jones to throw the ball in tight games when the weather isn't great.

But if we get a lot of rushing in this game, the clock will run out and the score will more than likely conclude as a one-score game. As long as the Patriots get stops in the red zone again, the Patriots will win this game. You can play it safe with the points, like me, or you can get risky and add the Patriots on the moneyline.

Leg 2: Mac Jones Under 207.5 Passing Yards (-114)

I'm not expecting Jones to drop back all that much in this game. In the first game between these two teams, Jones only dropped back three times to pass.

In the second game between the two, Jones only had 145 yards passing with two interceptions while completing 14 passes on 32 attempts.

The Patriots are going to do whatever they can to keep this game close and run the football.

Leg 3: Damien Harris Over 58.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

The Patriots want to run the football in this game and keep Mac Jones out of trouble. Harris rushed for 103 yards and three touchdowns in a loss against the Bills earlier this year. Then in the game where Jones didn't pass, Harris, again, rushed for 111 yards and a touchdown on just 10 carries. I would think Harris could see the rock nearly 20 times in this game. All he'll need is about three yards per carry if that stands true.

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills SAME-GAME PARLAY Picks

3-Leg Same Game Parlay (+397) (Risk $100 to win $397.17)

  • Patriots +4 (-114)
  • Mac Jones Under 207.5 Yards Passing (-114)
  • Damien Harris Over 58.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Want to build your own parlay? Check out OddsChecker's parlay calculator to see what kind of odds your parlay will net!

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Jason Radowitz
@Jason_Radowitz

Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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