Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers: Deebo Gets His in the NFC Wild Card

Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers player prop pick and best bet from handicapper John Hyslop. Don't miss John's best player prop picks for this NFC Wild Card matchup.
John Hyslop |
Sat, January 15, 11:15 AM EST | 3 min read
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Deebo Samuel 49ers

Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers: Deebo Gets His in the NFC Wild Card

I wanted to go with a nice fun plus moneyline move for this one. Kyle Juszcyk is just hanging around at +140 for over 1.5 catches. Why would he not get that? Especially since we have the best bet I've ever seen in my life coming up in the game after this one. We can afford to take chances people. But as soon as I was about to smash the bet button, it hit me. Why not just take Deebo Samuel's receiving yards over and call it a day? The people want wins so why not just give them one. It makes perfect sense when you think about it.

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Deebo Samuel Over 60.5 Receiving Yards (-130) (Bet $130 to Win $100)

*Odds Available at BetMGM at Time of Publishing*

This number is only at BetMGM so I went there. If we're being honest, you can always go with 64.5 at DraftKings or FanDuel for -110 if you're not looking to drop -130 on a move. It's a gamble but one that's not crazy. If you can play at Barstool, Deebo is sitting at 63.5 -112 so that's a deal as well.

Here's the thing about this one. This number should be in the 80s but it's not because this guy was playing running back for a few weeks. Even though he's still getting carries, he's getting looks in the pass game. He's turned those looks into at least 63 yards in each of the last three games. This guy is filthy.

My guess is the 49ers won't totally stop the Cowboys' offense. In other words, they'll be in a position where they may have to throw the ball more than they want. If that happens, Deebo is a likely candidate to get home on this ridiculously low number. It's almost an offensive line given that the 49ers will feed this guy no matter what.

The last couple times the 49ers saw negative game scripts, Deebo went for 95 yards against the Rams and 159 against the Titans. That means we can YOLO this guy people. Right now at FanDuel, they're giving out Deebo 70+ at +120, 80+ at +182, 90+ at +270, 100+ at +390, 110+ at +550 and 125+ at +880. He's gone over 125 yards four times this season. Why can't he do it again and get us all paid in the meantime?

Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers Line Movement

John Hyslop
@sloprules

John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

Record DateWinsLossesPushROI
December 20212415025.23%

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