SNF Player Prop Picks for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: Freiermuth Goes Wild

Player Prop Specialist John Hyslop is here with the top NFL player prop to bet for the Sunday Night Football, AFC Wild Card matchup between the Chiefs vs. Steelers.
John Hyslop |
Sat, January 15, 11:00 AM EST | 3 min read
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Steelers Pat Freiermuth

SNF Player Prop Picks for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: Freiermuth Goes Wild

I'm not the kind of guy that will call a bet the greatest bet in the history of bets. I'm just not into that type of hyperbole. It's just not my style. With that in mind, this is the greatest bet in the history of bets. I literally can't call it anything else because that would make me a liar and I'm not the kind of guy that lies (on purpose). What's even better is this bet happens to be on the Sunday night game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Kansas City Chiefs. If you get into trouble during the day, you have this in your back pocket. And if it goes south, you can just go to bed. It's perfect.

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Pat Freiermuth Over 3.5 Receptions (-110) (Bet $110 to Win $100)

*Line Available at DraftKings at Time of Publishing*

I bet this one at DraftKings but BetMGM has the exact same move for the exact same price. You can just bet there if DraftKings doesn't service your area. If you have to play at FanDuel, they have 3.5 at -114. That's fine too. The only one of the big four books that has no line for this guy is Barstool. I bet they get something out on him before the game though so check there too.

This line makes absolutely no sense. We have way too much working for us. The obvious thing is the fact that the Steelers are going to get waxed. You know it, I know it, the Steelers know it. Since that is happening, Pittsburgh will be throwing. Even if they aren't losing the whole time somehow, this is Big Ben's last game so there is a 100% chance he throws the ball 50+ times anyway. We're clean here people.

Big Ben is completely washed so even though he's throwing all day he can't throw it very far. All we have to do is find a guy that's close to the line of scrimmage and bam, we get paid. That guy is Pat Freiermuth. The kid has a 5.29 ADOT. He's literally right there when Big Ben looks up. He was targeted nine times last week for God's sake (caught six of them).

We should usually care about the opponent for bets like this but I don't think it really matters. The Chiefs are right in the middle of the pack in terms of tight end production so it's not like they're stopping the position. I don't think there is any chance this kid catches fewer than four passes Sunday night.

Chiefs vs. Steelers Betting Line Movement

John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

Record DateWinsLossesPushROI
January 202234230175.80%


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