Super NFL Wild Card Sunday Best Bet: A 7-Point Teaser With Insane Value

LightningLocks is here with their best bet for the Sunday NFC Wild Card matchups and they are eyeing a 7-point teaser across the two games. We break it down here.
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Super NFL Wild Card Sunday Best Bet: A 7-Point Teaser With Insane Value

Better to be safe than sorry, we always say. We like both teams today to win, but why not take advantage of an extra touchdown that the books are willing to give us and tease them for that bread.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Philadelphia Eagles Line Movement

We get to take the defending Super Bowl Champs -0.5 at home. All they have to do is win at home against a team that, first of all, they already beat this year in Philadelphia 28-22. They completely dominated that game, holding Jalen Hurts to 115 yards passing and dominating the clock, keeping it almost 40 minutes. The Bucs were a touchdown favorite on the road, and now we are getting them to win by one at home.

This is the same Eagles team that just gave up 51 to Dallas and has had all the luck in the world, ending the season with the Jets, Giants, and Washington three bad teams all playing backup Quarterbacks or Rookie Quarterbacks. They haven't impressed anyone, as they have just gotten a lucky schedule. Nevertheless, we are confident that the GOAT can win a home wild-card playoff game, and that's all we need for the first part to win.

Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers Line Movement

The 49ers are a team that you could tell was dangerous, and then the injuries showed up and covid slowed them down. This team changed things up, and we think they are better because of it. This team is different with Jimmy G at Quarterback even if he does make a lot of mistakes, but he is still a winner and the reason this team is here. Deebo Samuel has become the new slash as he is a Quarterback, Running Back, and Wide Receiver and has helped the running game tremendously as they have had so many guys this year. Currently, Elijah Mitchell has been a find a 6th round pick who has been amazing, averaging almost 5 yards a game, and the 49ers get their best OT back in Trent Williams, which will be huge as well.

The key is we saw the 49ers heart last week down 17-0 and a chance to not make the playoffs. They stepped it up and won in LA, and they have played tight games a lot recently and found a way to pull it off. This team is also 7-0 ATS in January, while Dallas is 1-7 ATS last 8. The Cowboys are just too up and down as we saw them forget to score against KC, lose to Denver and the Raiders and then blow out the WFT and the Eagles, but we are not impressed by the NFC east as you can tell we are fading both teams today.

The 49ers have played close games all year, with nine games being decided by one score or less this year, and let's not forget Jimmy G was out for three games, and even with rookie Trey Lance they played in one-score games and beat up the Texans. We are getting one score already with the 3.5 point line, but we have a chance to make it 10.5 and get the touchdown added to that field goal. We can't pass it up. The 49ers will run the ball down the Cowboys' throat as the Dallas defense is not that good. They were middle of the pack in rushing and, even worse, passing. Deebo is a huge addition and something Dallas hasn't seen this year, and the 49er's defense has been very physical, and we just don't think the Cowboys will like that. The defending Super Bowl Champs win, and the 49ers can win or lose by 3-7- or 10. We are teasing Tampa Bay to -0.5 and San Fran to +10.5, and we feel confident that both of these teams will easily cover. So let's tease the books and take advantage of the extra touchdown.

Sunday NFL Wild Card Best Bet

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