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Player prop expert Josh Gayle is here with a bet that has surprising odds. It's a prop that has been hitting very frequently and it’s lining up to do so again in the Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers NFC Divisional Round playoff game.

Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers Player Prop Pick: You Can’t Spell Davante Without a T and D

Davante Adams is a touchdown magnet, he just is. He has 31 touchdowns in his last 32 games which doesn’t sound like a real stat but I promise it is. He has caught a TD in 4 of his last 5 and the only miss was against the Lions in Week 18 when the outcome truly didn’t matter for seeding. When facing San Francisco earlier in the season he caught one which is a great sign. Rodgers really looks his way in the red zone and even when he’s covered he’s so shifty and finds openings that other receivers fail to find.

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Davante Adams Anytime TD Scorer (-120) (Bet $120 to Win $100)

*Odds Available at BetMGM at Time of Publishing*

Let's talk about the matchup. So we know Adams had a touchdown against the Niners earlier in the year but how often does San Fran allow this to top wideouts? In the past 6 weeks, they have allowed touchdowns to Amari Cooper, Ja’Marr Chase, Brandin Cooks, Russell Gage, Adam Thielen, and AJ Brown. Outside of Thielen, these are all WR1’s, and Theilen in most offenses would be one as well but when you play with Justin Jefferson that's tough. Clearly, the Niners haven’t figured out the whole “stop the top target” thing. I don't expect them to figure out against the most dangerous QB to WR pairing in the NFL. 

This game has a 47 point total and Green Bay is 5 point favorites. This pretty much projects the Pack to have at least 3 touchdowns and if that's the case it’s difficult to imagine Adams not being 1 of them. Rodgers to Adams might not be a thing much longer as the status of both of them to remain with Green Bay are up in the air. With that being well known and them being great friends with one another I know they would love to both have great postseasons and what better way to do that than connecting on some touchdowns and making us some money in the process.

If you read my articles frequently you know what I’m about to talk about, the weather forecast. Weatherman TGB sees this game projected at under 10 degrees but with no real wind to hurt Rodger's accuracy. M.r Discount Double Check is more than accustomed to playing in these weather conditions and I don’t see it playing any factor in Adams finding paydirt. This is one of those bets that should be -180 or higher and getting this at -120 is wild, I would play it up to -150 probably. Let's cash this one early so we can enjoy the rest of the game sweat-free.

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Packers vs. 49ers Line Movement

Article Author


Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.


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