Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers Player Prop Picks: Deebo Runs Wild Again
Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers Player Prop Picks: Deebo Runs Wild Again
This the last great full weekend of football. It's a bittersweet feeling, but one that can easily be made better by gambling. Gotta be about that action this weekend people. It's all we really have left. Next week we have two games on Sunday and then it's pretty much over. That's why when the San Francisco 49ers visit the Green Bay Packers, we need to get down on something. Not just anything though. Something that has a 0% chance of losing. Something like Deebo Samuel's rushing yards.
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Deebo Samuel Over 34.5 Rushing Yards (-110) (Bet $110 to Win $100)
*Odds Available at BetMGM at Time of Publishing*
You can play this one at BetMGM for the best number and price at 34.5 for -110. DraftKings has 34.5 at -115 which isn't bad so that's always an option as well. One note about FanDuel is I put in a few escalators and their number shot up to 38.5 (-114). For that reason, I would stay away from them on this one unless you are looking to YOLO a little.
So Deebo is pretty much a running back now and I bet he stays one for this game. In the last two weeks, he's seen at least eight carries in each game and even saw 10 last game. Both times he went over 35 yards easily.
The thing now is that Jimmy G has thumb and shoulder issues so the 49ers will likely keep it on the ground for as long as possible. I've seen tweets from 49ers' beat writers about how good Garoppolo has looked this week and they always do that when he doesn't look good. That's just how these things work. Basically, if they want Deebo to have the ball (they do), they'll have to hand it to him.
That's bad for the Green Bay Packers because their run defense is as fake as can be. Sure they've given up the sixth-fewest rushing yards to opposing running backs this season but they've also seen the third-fewest carries. On a per-carry basis that makes them the second-worst unit in the NFL. I think Deebo will get carries Saturday night and when he does, he'll turn them into yards.
Obviously, you can James Bond this one at FanDuel if you want. They are offering 50+ for +168, 60+ for +280 and 70+ for (+400). It all looks good to me but you can access your risk tolerance however you want. Keep in mind, this is the playoffs we're talking here. There is no tomorrow for some of these guys.
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Packers vs. 49ers Line Movement
John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.