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San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers prediction and pick for their NFC Divisional Round game this weekend. Lightning Locks is expecting a fast start from the home team in this one.
ANALYSIS

San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers Prediction: Expect Hot Start From Packers at Lambeau

Get in, Get out, enjoy the rest of the game. 

The best weekend of the year is here as we have 4 evenly-matched games in the NFL should know everything we need to know about the final 4 teams after these games end. These are the best 8 teams this year, and it would be hard to disagree. But, injuries, health, travel will all come into play today so let's get to the game. 

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San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers Prediction

Green Bay-San Francisco. Two legendary teams. Green Bay has been to 5 Super Bowls and won 4 of them. San Fran has been to 6 Super Bowls and won 5 them.

It has been a LONG time for both to be in the Super Bowl and clearly one will have an even longer drought, after today. The 49ers beat Dallas in Dallas in a controversial ending last week. SF was our best play last weekend so not controversial in our opinion but even if they had a second, they weren't getting the touchdown, so let's end that now.

SF has some issues this week. First, let's just look at the travel. This is their 7th road game since November 21, 2021 (7 out of 10 total) and third in a row. I don't care what anyone says, that takes a toll on your body, going from the warmth of LA to the dome in Dallas and now to the frigid frozen tundra of Green Bay, where it will be below 20 degrees (SF will be in the 60's on Saturday).

This isn't a Katy Perry song. Green Bay likes the cold and SF is not a fan of it and was lucky not to really have to play in the cold all year. San Francisco also has an injured QB, who will play but isn't 100%. Also, 2 of their best defensive players will probably play but haven't practiced all week (Fred Warner and Nick Bosa).

On the other side, we have Green Bay relaxing for a week and a half. They get back WR Randall Cobb, a Rodgers favorite, David Bakhtiari, one of their best OL, and 2 key players on defense in Zadarius Smith and Jaire Alexander. Healthier, well-rested and the better team at home sounds good to us so far.

These teams have already played back in September in San Francisco and the Packers won a close game 30-28 (17-7 halftime for our purposes) but it really wasn't that close the whole game. 

In that game, San Francisco didn't have RB Elijah Mitchell yet, as they had had Trey Sermon and hadn't found Deebo Samuel as a running back/quarterback/wide receiver combo yet. He has been amazing this year and that loss did lead them to a 4-game losing skid. But, this is the playoffs, and this is a different team from September, and everything changes so we say GET in - GET out with a first-half play here.

We saw how the 49ers ended the regular season. They got down 17-0 at half and came back and beat the Rams. Then did the opposite against Dallas, so we have a lot of  hit or miss. Meanwhile, GB was 8-0 at home this season and 7-1 ATS. This team likes to get a lead and then cruise with the bruising AJ Dillon and the all-purpose Aaron Jones. The 1H line is -3. Why sit around and see if SF will play the comeback game or get a backdoor? Why wait for this 3 to go to 3.5, because it won't go to 2.5? We bite the bullet. 

We have the best team in the NFC, in their home, in the cold, as healthy as they have been all year, facing a beat-up road team who barely escaped to make it here. We also have a bad situational spot for an underdog wild card team, playing back-to-back road games where it has only won one time in the last decade. 

One last time GET in GET out with the Packers -3 first half and enjoy the rest of the game. 

San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers Prediction

PICK: Packers 1H -3 @ -120 (Bet $100 to win $83.33)

San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers Line Movement

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