Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop: Patrick Mahomes is Still Good

When looking at this Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs matchup, John Hyslop is all over Patrick Mahomes.
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Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop: Patrick Mahomes is Still Good

If you don't bet the Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs game Sunday evening, then I don't know what to tell you. This is quite possibly the best game the NFL will put out this season. You can't responsibly sit this one out knowing that. Nobody wants to be the person who didn't have action on the best game of the season (possibly even all-time). So with that being said, we have to bet it. We're built for this. Luckily for us, I have the perfect way to play it. I've done so many mental simulations in the last few days and this has been the easiest one. The same thing happens every time.

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Patrick Mahomes 300+ Passing Yards (+140) (Bet $100 to win $140)

*Line available at FanDuel at time of publishing*

I'm at FanDuel because DraftKings got a little too crazy for me on this one. For starters, they don't even give an escalator. You have to do Patrick Mahomes 375+ and 3+ pass touchdowns. That could happen but let's not get carried away here. Neither Barstool or BetMGM let you do escalators that I know of so FanDuel it is.

We now live in a world where the books will give you plus money to take Patrick Mahomes to go over 300 passing yards in a playoff game with a total of 54. I get that he has only gone over 300 passing yards three times in his nine career playoff starts but still. He's coming off a playoff game where he hung 400+ so that's good news. On top of that, he went for 325 in last season's playoff matchup with this same Buffalo Bills team.

Now the haters are going to say that the Bills clowned Mahomes a bit earlier this season and they are borderline right. The thing is, he threw for 272 that game and he looked awful doing it. But that was months ago and the Bills no longer have Tre'Davious White roaming the secondary. On top of that, they haven't seen an NFL quarterback since Week 14 when they allowed Tom Brady to big boy them for 363 yards.

At the end of the day you have to ask yourself, would I even consider taking the under here? God no. That's the answer to that question. We could get here just on Mahomes being awesome or we have game script that I didn't even bring up yet. What if the Bills start scoring on Kansas City early? He'll end up in the 400s if that happens. I'm being conservative with this move and we're still getting +140. What a world.

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ROI 27%
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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

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