NFL Division Round Sunday Player Props: Top Anytime TD Scorer Bets
NFL Division Round Sunday Player Props: Top Anytime TD Scorer Bets
The Division-Round weekend continues with two more matchups on Sunday and we're here to cash more anytime touchdown picks for all of the action. With the NFL playoffs in full motion, we have plenty of more opportunities to keep cashing in anytime touchdown winners! With a full season of information to digest we have plenty of firepower to back up our anytime touchdown bets. We capped off Wild Card weekend with some good wins and we nailed our banker pick of the weekend.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Los Angeles Rams at 3:00 pm ET and on Sunday night we have an AFC matchup in primetime when the Buffalo Bills battle the Kansas City Chiefs at 6:30 pm ET. I've narrowed down the best options for anytime touchdown scorers for you here for the two NFL Division round games on Sunday. When we started this season I stated how the analysis I've done will always support our anytime touchdown picks. We're not just throwing noodles at the wall and seeing if they stick! Let's get to the best anytime touchdown picks for the Division-Round Sunday games! Best of luck if you tail!
Even better than my picks is the OddscheckerUS website compares odds from every sportsbook for every NFL game. This includes odds for anytime touchdown scorers and we find where you can get the best price for your bet.
Division Round Sunday Top Anytime TD Bets
Tyler Higbee (+260)
This Buccaneers vs. Rams game is a tough nut to crack. I've still managed to narrow down the best touchdown scorers. A league-high 80% of the Rams' touchdowns have been on passes. For what it's worth Higbee scored against the Bucs back in Week 3. Tampa was tied for the sixth-most catches allowed to tight ends. Higbee should see a return to his usual six-plus targets in a game the Rams are expected to be passing a ton in. In the three weeks prior to the playoffs, he was targeted on 26.3% of his routes, compared to the 16.1% target rate he'd managed up to that point this season. Tampa Bay allows a league-high 40.2 passing attempts per game. He had four red zone targets over his last four games. He played 100 percent of the snaps in the Wild Card game and there's no competition for looks from his position.
Cyril Grayson (+800)
In hopes that he suits up on Sunday, this guy is a playmaker. He hinted at a return on Twitter this Friday but he's still listed as questionable at the time of writing this. Grayson, a former college track star who didn't even play football at LSU, stepped up over the last couple of weeks after Chris Godwin's injury and Antonio Brown quitting in Week 17. He had nine catches on 11 targets. He was on the receiving end of Brady's game-winning touchdown pass in Week 17 against the Jets. Tom Brady has already expressed his trust in the speedster to head coach Bruce Arians, Grayson could be in for a significant role if he is deemed healthy. I love taking a guy that Tom Brady trusts at this price! Mike Evans will be dealing with Jalen Ramsey, Breshad Perriman is out, and Brady will need more playmakers at his disposal. If he isn't activated I will have an addition to the card I'll tweet out. Let's hope Grayson is cleared though!
Sony Michel (+250)
I understand that Cam Akers return has some weary of this choice but Michel should be the goal-line back for the Rams this week still. Sony Michel handled 91.5% of Los Angeles’ backfield touches in the five games leading up to Cam Akers’ return. In the two games with Akers available, he has gone from 73.% Week 18 to 39.3% in the Wild Card. I understand the cause for concern but it was a blowout. I think the Rams won't push Akers to the max quite yet. The Buccaneers run defense is known for being elite, but it hasn't been as strong in recent weeks, only 18th in weighted DVOA. This is great value for a Rams running back. Michel should still be around 40-50 percent of snaps and is the bigger back. I love these odds!
Dawson Knox (+200)
If you've been following along my picks this season you would remember that I said whenever we can get Dawson Knox at or over +200 we will be all over it. Here we are again. Even in the playoffs, the second week in a row the books are being generous! Dawson Knox led the team in routes run during the Wild Card game and he has in the majority of games when healthy. He finished with team-leading reception, receiving yardage, and target totals in the first playoff game. That's why it's incredible that we're getting +200 on him. The Chief's defense finished middle of the pack defending tight ends but they also didn't face many elite ones this season. Knox scored back in Week 5 against the Chiefs. We cashed once again on him last week and we're going to do it again on Sunday night!
Gabriel Davis (+300)
Before I move any further I want to tell you all this important nugget. The Chiefs have allowed an average of just 16.2 PPG over their last 11 games. However, they really only faced two upper-tier Quarterbacks in this span, Joe Burrow and Justin Herbert. The Chiefs allowed 28 and 34 points in those games. This is rather significant and something to keep in mind when considering the side for Sunday's game. Josh Allen and the Bills scored 38 on them in Week 5. This is a list of the other quarterbacks the Chiefs faced during that stretch: Daniel Jones., Jordan Love, Derek Carr, Dak Prescott without Cooper and Lamb, Teddy Bridgewater, Ben Roethlisberger, and Drew Lock. Do you get my point?
Buffalo won in Kansas City earlier this year and won't be intimidated by what Arrowhead Stadium offers in the postseason, having experienced that during last year's AFC Championship Game. They are out for revenge. These are the Bills wide receiver routes run with all healthy during the Wild Card game on 31 dropbacks: Stefon Diggs 24, Gabriel Davis 20, Emmanuel Sanders 17, Isaiah McKenzie 12, Cole Beasley 9. I will remind you that Dawson Knox led the team in routes run and that's why it's incredible that we're getting +200 on him. The Bills have had three-plus receivers on the field 88% of the time. the third-highest rate in the NFL. There's no reason all three Buffalo picks don't score on Sunday night, but Davis finished third on the team in red zone targets. In the Wild Card game he played 71% of snaps compared to Emmanuel Sanders who played 46%. With such a high expected total these odds are a gift!
Stefon Diggs (+140)
The Chiefs play more man-coverage and if you don't know, Diggs is one of the best route runners in the league and easily burns man-coverage. The Chiefs allow the fourth-most yards after the catch, which is the worst among remaining playoff teams. The Bills spread the ball around last week in their domination of the Patriots, resulting in him not having a huge day. Diggs saw three end zone targets in each of the final three games of the regular season. Diggs is Josh Allen's number one target, he scored a career-high 10 touchdowns this season. All 10 of those scores came from in the red zone so surprisingly Diggs' production wasn't reliant on the big play. Josh Allen has thrown at least two touchdown passes in 14 of his 18 games this season. That includes five of his past six. He was limited to one in the windy game against New England in Week 13 but tossed three against the Patriots in Week 16 and then five last week! The Chiefs allow 7.2 yards per pass, which is the worst among the remaining playoff teams. The Kansas City defense has allowed tons of big plays all season making for a perfect scenario for the Bills downfield pass attack! This is close to a BANKER for me!
Division Round Sunday Anytime TD Picks
- Tyler Higbee (+260) (Bet $100 to Win $260)
- Cyril Grayson (+800) (Bet $100 to Win $800)
- Sony Michel (+250) (Bet $100 to Win $250)
- Dawson Knox (+200) (Bet $100 to Win $200)
- Gabriel Davis (+300) (Bet $100 to Win $300)
- Stefon Diggs (+140) (Bet $100 to Win $140)
Tom Viera is an experienced betting and fantasy sports writer. Tom brings a vast knowledge of all things NFL, NBA, MLB and soccer to the OddsChecker stable of handicappers.