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Packers vs. 49ers player prop picks and predictions from handicapper Stuart Durst. MonotoneFootball tells us which player he has his eyes on for Saturday's Divisional Round nightcap. You may not be surprised that he's backing the best wide receiver in the NFL to go off.
ANALYSIS

Packers vs. 49ers Player Prop Picks: Trust in Davante Adams on Saturday

This is 100% my most-anticipated football game of the week. While many are calling the Bills vs. Chiefs the “Super Bowl of the Divisional Round”, I think this game is gonna surprise a lot of people. While Kyle Shanahan and  Matt LaFleur were once lowly Washington Redskins assistants, they are now two of the best coaching minds in football.

There has been plenty of line movement in this game since it opened at -3 to -4 in most spots and has made it up all the way up to -6 or -6.5 at different times of the week. The 49ers are coming off an impressive win against the Cowboys, successfully limiting Dak Prescott and that Dallas offense. Green Bay is coming off essentially two bye weeks, half-heartedly playing the Lions two weeks ago then having the first-round bye last week. 

Overall, I'm feeling very good about doubling up on our money last week from the Niners. San Francisco doesn't have Aaron Rodgers or Davante Adams, but they do have one of the best rushing attacks on paper. While Green Bay has avoided plenty of talented running games this year, they still rate out extremely poorly. 30th in EPA and 28th in DVOA vs. the run game. If Jimmy G can keep the sloppy turnovers to a minimum, not only can this team cover the number, they can win outright. 

Click here for Packers vs. 49ers odds

Davante Adams 100+ Rec Yards @ +104 (Bet $100 to win $104)

Davante Adams to Lead the Game in Receiving Yards @ +100 (Bet $100 to win $100

Adams put up an impressive 12-131-1 vs. 49ers earlier this year. San Francisco has the No. 1 run defense in football, and it’s peaking at the right time. Aaron Jones was able to settle in and almost grabbed 100 yards in their Week 3 matchup. I don’t expect that to happen again. 31, 43, 47, 31, 21, 58 are the rushing HIGHs over the last 6 games against the Niners. Rodgers is gonna have to work.

We’ve seen elite WRs perform against the 49ers recently with Cooper Kupp going for 7-118-1 & AJ Brown putting up 11-145-1. Adams has 48 rec, 618 rec yds, 5 rec TD in 5 games vs. the 49ers in his career, over this number in 4-of-5 games. Additionally, while I normally don't touch “most receiving yard props' ' Davante Adams' number is a whole 40 yards high than the next closest receiver in Deebo Samuel. I'll take that.

Article Author

NFLNBANCAAF

Stuart Durst, also known as @MonotoneFootbal on Twitter, is a writer and sports bettor specializing in the NFL, NBA and CFB. When he’s not writing for OddsChecker, he enjoys playing basketball and talking player props with his community.

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