Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals AFC Championship Player Prop Picks: Who Better to Trust Than Patrick Mahomes?

Player props expert Josh Gayle knows it’s easy to want to get cute finding a player prop no one has thought of for the AFC Championship. Instead, he's taking the best player's overs for a chance to return to the Super Bowl.
| 4 min read
Share
Share to Facebook
Share to Twitter
Copy Link

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals AFC Championship Player Prop Picks: Who Better to Trust Than Patrick Mahomes?

Patrick Mahomes has shifted another gear in these playoffs. It’s almost like in the regular season he’s just going through the motions and when the games matter most he turns into a magician. In the two playoff games, he has played he is averaging 391 yards and 4 touchdown throws per game. Those are the stats I put up on Madden after my favorite team loses and he’s doing it in real life like it’s nothing. Why wouldn’t we want to put our money on a guy playing some of the best football of his life? 

Click Here for Chiefs vs Bengals AFC Championship Odds

DraftKings logo
Bet $5, Win $280 on Super Bowl LVI
  • Super Bowl LVI Exclusive
  • Bet $5, Get $280 on Bengals or Rams to Win
  • Limited Offer

Claim Now
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
BetMGM logo
Super Bowl LVI: Bet $10, Win $200 If Your Team Scores A TD
  • Bet $10 On Bengals vs Rams
  • Get $200 In Free Bets If Your Team Scores A TD
  • Bonus Paid in Site Credits

Claim Now
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
Fanduel logo
Bet $5, Win $280 CASH on Bengals or Rams to Win Super Bowl LVI
  • Get paid IN CASH
  • Super Bowl Exclusive
  • Limited time offer

Claim Now
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
Caesars Sportsbook logo
Get A $1500 matched Bet on Super Bowl LVI
  • Get up to $1500 matched on Bengal vs Rams
  • Super Bowl Exclusive
  • Promo Code ODDSCZR

Claim Now
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
Betway logo
Super Bowl LVI: Get $250 Risk Free Bet
  • Get a $250 risk-free bet
  • Super Bowl LVI Exclusive
  • New Customers only

CLAIM OFFER
T&Cs
Unibet New Jersey logo
$250 Risk Free Bet
  • Claim A $250 Risk Free Bet
  • Use On Any Sport
  • New Customers Only

Claim Your $250 Now
T&Cs
FOX Bet logo
Risk Free Bet Up To $500
  • Open a new Fox Bet account
  • Deposit up to $500
  • Get your first deposit matched 100%

Claim Your Risk-Free $500
T&Cs
Borgata logo
Bet $20, Get $100 on Any Sport
  • Get $100 When You Bet $20
  • Huge New Customer Exclusive
  • Regular odds boosts

Claim Your $100 Now
T&Cs

Patrick Mahomes 2+ Passing TDs / 250+ yards (-150) (Bet $150 to Win $100)

*Odds Available at DraftKings at Time of Publishing*

Mahomes has achieved 250 yards and 2 touchdowns in 7 straight games. Among those 7 games was also against this same Cincinnati team and he looks more comfortable as a passer now than he even did then. He’s playing so composed and not throwing any ill-advised throws. This is proven as he’s only thrown one interception in his last 5 games. The Bengals haven't given up this combo in quite a while but I view that as irrelevant because comparing Mahomes to mortal humans like Ryan Tannehill isn't an accurate way of assessing what will happen on Sunday.

This AFC Championship game projects to be fun and high scoring, just how we like it. The books project this game at 54.5 with the Chiefs as touchdown favorites. Essentially they see this game at 31-24 Chiefs and if that’s the case I can't imagine Kansas City getting to 31 points through the ground game. When there are fewer games to focus on we see Vegas put out some of the sharpest lines of the year, that’s why it’s the perfect time to address some alternative lines to open up some value and give us an edge.

Lastly, the weather projects to be more than sufficient. For Arrowhead in January, we will definitely take temperatures in the 40’s with barely any wind. All signs point to another offensive explosion from Mahomes and I won’t be that guy wondering why I didn’t take something so obvious. This man has the playoff experience, the great play as of late, and as has already proven he can do it against this team. Don’t let the juice scare you off, this is a good play and we only pay the juice if we lose. I don’t plan to do that.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals AFC Championship Game Line Movement

 logo
Bet $5, Win $100 on the NBA in Virginia
  • Bet $5, Get $100
  • Promo Code WIN100
  • Virginia Sports Betting Exclusive

Claim Your $100 Now
T&Cs
DraftKings logo
Bet $5, Get $150 on the NBA Playoffs
  • NBA Playoff Exclusive
  • 30/1 odds
  • Boosted odds on your team winning!

Claim Your $150 Now
T&Cs
Fanduel logo
$1000 Risk Free Bet
  • Register for a new FanDuel account
  • Deposit up to $1000
  • Get your first deposit matched

Claim Your Risk-Free $1000
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
BetMGM logo
Bet $10, Win $200 If There's A 3-Pointer
  • Deposit $10 into your new BetMGM account
  • Bet $10 on any NBA Moneyline
  • Get $200 if your team scores a three

Claim Your $200 Now
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
Caesars Sportsbook logo
$1100 First Bet Insurance
  • Open a new Caesars Sportsbook account
  • Deposit up to $1100
  • Get your wager insured 100%

Claim Your Insured $1100
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
Unibet New Jersey logo
$250 Risk Free Bet
  • Claim A $250 Risk Free Bet
  • Use On Any Sport
  • New Customers Only

Claim Your $250 Now
T&Cs

ROI 5%
NFLNBAMLB
insightpicks

Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.

Expert Handicappers

View all Handicappers
0Betslip

Almost there!

We are loading your bets, and they will be here in a second.