AFC and NFC Championship Player Prop Picks: Back These Three Best Bets
AFC and NFC Championship Player Prop Picks: Back These Three Best Bets
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals AFC Championship Game Line Movement
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Joe Burrow Over 292.5 Passing Yards (-115) (Bet $115 to Win $100)
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I’m shocked this line isn’t over 300 passing yards. Joe Burrow has thrown 300+ yards in 5 of his last 7 games. This includes a 446-passing-yard-performance the last time Burrow faced Kansas City in Week 17. He threw for 348 yards in his effort to eliminate AFC’s #1 seed, the Tennessee Titans last week.
Kansas City’s defense has done a great job keeping opposing QBs under 292.5 passing yards this season. They have allowed just 5 quarterbacks (including playoffs) to surpass that number. The formula to beating the Chiefs is to match their intensity in the passing game. Joe Burrow has already proven he can exceed expectations in important games. There’s no more important game for Burrow than this one.
Ja’Marr Chase Over 89.5 Receiving Yards (-115) (Bet $115 to Win $100)
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The last time Ja’Marr Chase played against this Chiefs’ defense (Week 17), he went nuclear with 11 catches for 266 yards and 3 touchdowns. This game has all the makings of a shootout and you can bet Chase will play a huge role. He has over 100 receiving yards in both the Wildcard and Divisional-round playoff games. Chase now has gone over 100 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 games. He was limited to just 26 yards in a meaningless Week 18 game.
The Kansas City Chiefs haven’t been the greatest against wide receivers this season. They just allowed Gabriel Davis to torch them for 201 yards and 4 touchdowns. The most receiving yards allowed to any wide receiver this post-season. The Chiefs have given up more than 89 receiving yards to a single wideout in each of their last 3 games.
Cam Akers Under 63.5 Rushing Yards (-115) (Bet $115 to Win $100)
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Cam Akers is back from a season-long injury just in time for the playoffs. He’s a tricky player to bet on to hit any overs, simply because he hasn’t had much time to get into a rhythm. The Los Angeles Rams tried their best to lean on Aker last week and it did not help their cause. Akers rushed an amazing 24 times, but it amounted to just 48 yards. He lost 2 fumbles which kept the Buccaneers in the game. I’d expect the Rams to get Sony Michel more involved this week.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has been amazing against running backs. They haven’t allowed a running back to rush for more than 41 yards in the playoffs. In fact, the 49ers haven’t allowed a running back to rush over 60 yards since Week 13. Cam Akers hasn’t topped 55 rushing yards and has averaged just 3.3 yards per carry in the playoffs.
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Nate Hamilton has produced high-quality content for some of the top fantasy football sites including FantasyPros, The Fantasy Footballers, The Game Day, and now OddsChecker! He is a co-author of Amazon's #1 Best Selling "The Fantasy Football Black Book" with Joe Pisapia. He lives on Twitter: @DomiNateFF