Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals AFC Championship Player Props: Top Anytime TD Scorer Bets
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals AFC Championship Player Props: Top Anytime TD Scorer Bets
Welcome to Championship Sunday and we're here to cash more anytime touchdown picks for all of the action! You can either be sad that there are only three games left or you can be happy we have three more chances to cash in more anytime touchdown picks. With the NFL playoffs continuing this Sunday, we have plenty of more opportunities to keep cashing in anytime touchdown winners! With a full season of information to digest we have abundant firepower to back up our anytime touchdown bets. We capped off Wild Card weekend with some good wins and we nailed our banker pick of the weekend and we kept that success rolling through the Divisional Round.
The Kansas City Chiefs host the Cincinnati Bengals at 3:00 pm ET in the AFC Championship game and on Sunday night we have the NFC Championship game. Weather is not expected to be a concern at Arrowhead, as there is no precipitation or wind in the forecast, and temperatures are expected to be near 40 degrees. This is a rematch of a Week 17 game in which the Bengals came out on top 34-31, though that game was in Cincinnati. Same as in that game, this projects as a high-scoring affair. The total is set at 54.5 and I'm confident we can cash all FIVE of our picks Sunday! I've narrowed down the best options for anytime touchdown scorers for you here for the AFC Championship game. When we started this season I stated how the analysis I've done will always support our anytime touchdown picks. We're not just throwing noodles at the wall and seeing if they stick! Let's get to the best anytime touchdown picks for the AFC Championship! Best of luck if you tail!
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AFC Championship Top Anytime TD Bets
Jerick McKinnon (+180)
If McKinnon doesn't come through for us on Sunday we can't even be mad after hitting him at +600 in the Wild Card game to score. NBD. Before you groan that Clyde Edwards-Helaire was back last week and Darrell Williams is returning just hear me out. McKinnon is finally in the role we all expected him to have when he joined the Chiefs last summer. His pass-catching ability and his prowess to avoid tackles have certainly passed the eye test. He has the most pop of any player out of the Chief backfield right now. The Bengals allow a touchdown on 22.6% of red zone carries -- worse than even the Jaguars and the Jets! That's bad "#Analysis". McKinnon has seen 101 of the 147 post-season running back snaps for Kansas City. Last week against the Bills, he out-snapped Clyde Edwards-Helaire by a 50-23 margin and out-touched CEH 15 to 8. Playing in consecutive games with at least 10 carries and six targets is right up our alley for a touchdown this Sunday. If you want more reason here you go. The Chiefs are extremely pass-heavy, they rank second in game-script-adjusted pass rate. They also rank fourth in snaps, third in touchdowns, and sixth in the percentage of touchdowns that are passes. I'll side with the Chiefs pass-catching back to score again at these odds.
Chiefs Defense/Special Teams (+450)
This is my long(er)shot pick for this game. I can't be the only one who watched what the Titans did to this Bengals offensive line last week! Joe Burrow was sacked nine times by Tennessee last week after accumulating an NFL-high 51 sacks during the regular season. The Bengal's offensive line is in trouble against this Chiefs front. Chiefs DT Chris Jones could have a huge game here. He led Kansas City with nine sacks in the regular season and had two against the Bengals in their Week 17 matchup. The Chiefs also brought in Melvin Ingram to improve the pass rush and not to mention Frank Clark. Only three teams scored more defensive touchdowns during the regular season than the Chiefs. I expect them to play with a lead and for Burrow to be under pressure often that can lead to a defensive score in the game for the Chiefs.
Byron Pringle (+210)
We simply can't ignore what Pringle has done this season for the Chiefs. Not only is this one of the best last names in the NFL but he is quickly becoming the best receiving option for Patrick Mahomes not named Kelce or Tyreek Hill. The issue in Chiefs games is always trying to find where the value is. Pringle is just that. He played only 35% of the snaps during Weeks 1-9 and we've seen Pringle's snap share leap to 64% and his target share from 7% (2.7 per game) to 14% (4.9) during his last 10 games! Pringle's usage is up even more over the past month as he has registered seven-plus targets and five-plus receptions in four of his past five games. The Bengals defense allowed 8.1 yards per target which was the 12th highest and a 66% catch rate, the sixth-highest, to wide receivers during the regular season. He has found pay dirt in both of the Chiefs playoff games so far and is becoming a favorite red zone option of Mahomes. Over the Chiefs' two playoff games, Pringle has caught 10 of 14 targets, with three red zone touchdowns. I love our chances this Sunday in a game I see soaring over the 54 point total.
Tee Higgins (+190)
The Chiefs allowed the fourth-most yards after the catch, and 7.2 yards per pass, which is the worst among the four remaining playoff teams. We just saw Gabriel Davis flat-out TORCH this Chiefs secondary last week. The Bengals throw the ball a ton, ranking 10th in game-script-adjusted pass rate during the regular season, but are third over the past eight weeks! The Bengals love to take shots down the field and that's where Higgins comes in. Chase will likely be able to get his still but Higgins will garner more one-on-one matchups that Burrow will look to take advantage of. Tee is capable of huge outputs like Chase. Though he was out-snapped this season by Tyler Boyd he still managed to lead the Bengals in red zone targets this season. Cincinnati has had at least three wide receivers on the field 89% of the time, the league's second-highest rate so we shouldn't be worried about opportunities on Sunday. Chiefs Defensive Coordinator Steve Spagnuolo will likely be creative in trying to slow down Chase which should open the door for Higgins.
Travis Kelce (-110)
Normally I'd never make this pick at these odds but there are just three games left on the season and I think we need all the action we can while we can! The Chiefs ranked sixth in the NFL in touchdowns that were passes this season. Kelce continues to be an absolute monster for the Chiefs, catching six touchdowns in his past five games. For what it's worth, this will be the fourth AFC Championship game in a row hosted by the Chiefs and Kelce has scored in two out of the three. The Bengal's defense allowed the fourth-most catches to Tight Ends this season. Kelce scored from three yards out in the first quarter and came inches from scoring a second touchdown when these two teams faced each other in Week 17. Mahomes has had three consecutive home games with three-plus TD passes and Kelce is my favorite Chief to be on the receiving end of one on Sunday!
AFC Championship Anytime TD Picks
- Jerick McKinnon (+180) (Bet $100 to Win $180)
- Chiefs Defense/Special Teams (+450) (Bet $100 to Win $450)
- Byron Pringle (+210) (Bet $100 to Win $210)
- Tee Higgins (+190) (Bet $100 to Win $190)
- Travis Kelce (-110) (Bet $110 to Win $100)
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