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Although tempting to hit a longshot parlay for the biggest game of the year, player prop expert Josh Gayle is viewing this like any other week. He is eyeing Cooper Kupp and Matthew Stafford in a same-game parlay that the books haven't adjusted to.
ANALYSIS

Los Angeles Rams vs. Cincinnati Bengals Super Bowl 2022 Same-Game Parlay: Trust Matthew Stafford and Cooper Kupp

You know what, it is our last NFL play of the year so we’ll have a little bit of fun and play for 2u. For those that are unfamiliar with what that means, play for twice the amount you would a regular bet you’d make. This specific bet has been an absolute cash show and I don't see that changing in the Super Bowl. Matthew Stafford has thrown for 230+ in 18/20 games this season. Cooper Kupp has 90+ receiving yards also in 18/20 games this season. Two props with 90% hit rates isn't half bad with how sharp Vegas has set these lines for this Sunday.

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Rams vs. Bengals Same-Game Parlay (-145) (Bet $290 to Win $200)

*Odds Available at DraftKings at Time of Publishing*

Matthew Stafford 230+ passing yards

Let's start off with why I'm confident Stafford throws for 230 or more yards. So we see the hit rate which is great but it’s also worth noting that 8 of the last 11 Quarterbacks against Cinincatti threw for that. The teams who didn’t were Tennesee, Broncos, and Raiders and I think it’s safe to say Stafford is a better QB than Tannehill, Bridgewater, and Carr. Additionally, in the two games that Stafford missed this mark one of them was the playoff game against Arizona where the Rams had control of the game throughout the entirety of and had no need to pass in the second half, I don’t see Burrow giving Rams such a massive lead to make that a game script we worry about.

Cooper Kupp 90+ receiving yards

As for Cooper Kupp, we have reason to believe that he should clear his 90+ yards. So we know the hit rate of 18/20 which is nice but let's look at Cincinnati’s defense against top receiving options. In just the playoffs alone we have seen Kelce go for nearly 95 (averages 70.3), Tyreek have an above-average game of 78 yards (averages 72.8) and AJ Brown have 142 yards (averages 66.8). Kupp is as difficult to defend as they come so I don’t envision Apple, Awuzie, or Hilton doing much in terms of slowing him down.

This game will be played in Los Angeles, which will likely lead to some extra Rams fans in the house to help cheer on the home team. The weather as of right now (11 days away) projects to be in the 50’s with minimal wind. Perfect throwing conditions to have us end the season in the win column. This connection has yet to fail us and in a game full of sharp lines made by the oddsmakers I really like the idea of hitting the alternative market to help give us the edge we always look for. Really appreciate y’all reading the football articles this year, lets finish strong on the big game!

Los Angeles Rams vs. Cincinnati Bengals Same-Game Parlay Picks

2-Leg Same-Game Parlay (-145) (Bet $290 to Win $200)

  • Matthew Stafford 230+ passing yards
  • Cooper Kupp 90+ receiving yards

Click Here for Super Bowl Odds

Los Angeles Rams vs. Cincinnati Bengals Line Movement

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Article Author

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Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.

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