Super Bowl 2022 Leading Rusher Prediction: Should We Hammer Sony Michel at +1100?

With hundreds of prop bets available for Super Bowl LVI, there should be some value to be found. Here's a look at an 11/1 play for the game's leading rusher.
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Super Bowl 2022 Leading Rusher Prediction: Should We Hammer Sony Michel at +1100?

It's Super Bowl Sunday and OddsChecker has you guys set with previews of all the best Player Props. Today, I'll be discussing the leading rusher market and who the best option to target is. The great thing about the Super Bowl is all the creative and unique betting opportunities we get, and I think this is a great spot to take advantage off. 

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Super Bowl 2022 Leading Rusher Pick: Sony Michel (+1100) (Bet $100 to Win $1100)

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Let's start off with who it's not gonna be -- Joe Mixon.

Call me scared, but after what the Rams just did to the San Francisco 49ers' rushing attack, I am worried. If there is any team in football you might think is matchup proof on the ground, it's the 49ers, but the Rams did a phenomenal job last game limiting their rushing attack. Leading rusher Elijah Mitchell was held to 11 carries for 20 yards, and even change of pace RB/WR specialist Deebo Samuel only gained 26 yards on 7 carries. 

While the Rams matchup is the biggest reason why I'm fading Joe Mixon, he hasn't been the scariest matchup in this category.  In his first playoff game, he ran for 48 yards, losing to Josh Jacobs with 83. Against the Titans, he ran for 54 yards, losing to D’onta Foreman (66) & Derrick Henry (62). Mixon finally did hit this for the first time against the Chiefs, going for 88 yards on 21 carries. As you can see, hes only one-for-three for the playoffs, and has been incredibly inefficient with his touches, averaging 3.7 yards per tote. 

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Now let's talk about what you’ve all been waiting for, Cam Akers versus Sony Michael. I think this is actually fairly simple. Despite the fairy tale storyline that's gonna be talked about on repeat all week long, Akers has not been great since coming back. 

Aker has posted 13-48-0, 24-48-0, and 17-55-0 so far in the playoffs, including losing two key fumbles against the Buccaneers and even missing time last game due to injury. There are a lot of question marks here, but I'm willing to take a risk on Michel.

Unlike most coaches who have a blind loyalty to their starters, McVay has shown a willingness to ride the hot hand this year and all we would need is a nice start from Michel to get a very good chance at this, not even accounting for the fact that Akers can fumble his way out of this game or get injured.

I think we are getting very nice odds for a shot at Michel once again showing up in the Superbowl.

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ROI 102%

Stuart Durst, also known as @MonotoneFootbal on Twitter, is a writer and sports bettor specializing in the NFL, NBA and CFB. When he’s not writing for OddsChecker, he enjoys playing basketball and talking player props with his community.

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