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Looking at the best bets on the defensive side of the ball for Super Bowl LVI between the Los Angeles Rams and Cincinnati Bengals.
ANALYSIS

Super Bowl 2022: Best Defensive Props to Bet On

Super Bowl 56 is just around the corner, and there are plenty of articles out there breaking down receiving props, touchdown scorers, coin tosses, and even Gatorade color. I want to break down a few of my favorite props that typically see less love, defensive props.

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Total Sacks by Rams Defense Over 3.5 (+105) (Bet $100 to win $105)

Any football fan who watched the Rams at all this year knows one of their most significant assets is their defensive line. The trio of Aaron Donald, Leonard Floyd, and mid-season addition Von Miller combined for 27 sacks in the regular season. The Rams defense was third overall in the regular season with 50 sacks, averaging about three sacks per game. The Rams had at least three sacks in 10 of their 17 regular-season games, and most of their higher sack games were against teams with bottom-half offensive lines (big shock, I know). That is what the Bengals have.

The Bengals offensive line ranks 20th in PFF grade, and they allowed three or more sacks in 12 of their 17 regular-season games and two of their three playoff games. Injuries didn't help their case, though, as not one member of the offensive line played all 17 games. The Bengals have had to rely on back-ups, and there are still a few lingering injuries for the Super Bowl, which isn't the best situation when facing one of the scariest defensive lines in the NFL.

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Another aspect of this pick is the game script. The Rams are currently favored by four points, and I personally think they will win, which leads to a negative game script. Trailing produces more throws, which produces more drop-backs, which means more opportunities for sacks. The passing game may be relied on heavily for Joe Burrow Sunday, and with their below-average offensive line, I like the Rams' chances to get to him multiple times.

The Titans were able to put up nine sacks on Joe Burrow, and while I doubt he's sacked nine times again, that recent performance by the line makes me very confident the Rams will be able to get Burrow down four times or more. The Bengals will most likely double Donald or Floyd for most of the game, which opens up opportunities for their other line members for sacks. This segues perfectly into my next pick, Von Miller.

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Von Miller to Record a Full Sack - "Yes" (-150)(Bet $150 to win $100)

Von Miller, who was traded mid-season from the Broncos after week seven, has been an excellent addition for the Rams. He had a quiet first few games sack-wise and didn't have a sack in his first four games. Since then, he's had at least one sack in every single game except for the NFC Championship.

It helps that he has Floyd and Donald on the line with him because one is doubled almost all of the time. I don't think this will change for the super bowl, and considering the Bengals struggles on the line, I doubt they can keep Miller contained the entire game. The Rams are projected to get at least three sacks here, and if they do, there's a good chance that Miller records one of them. I would take Donald to get a sack, but his odds are around -200, and the odds on Miller are a lot better. I think they both will get one on the big stage, but Miller is a better bang for your buck in this situation.

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Article Author

NCAABBoxing/MMAMLBNHL

Ben Rajavuori is a handicapper out of Minneapolis, MN. He has been creating sports content for almost four years now and is an expert in all things NFL, MLB, NBA, UFC, and NCAAB. Ben thrives on diving deep into statistics to find the best angle on every bet. You can follow him on Twitter @WeBeatTheSpread.

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