Super Bowl 2022 Passing Props: Will Matthew Stafford Light it Up?

Super Bowl 2022 Passing Props: Will Matthew Stafford Light it Up?

Nobody really expected the Bengals to get to this point at all. They were between +2000 and +5000 to get this point throughout the season and were underdogs in each of their last two games against the Titans and Chiefs and somehow found ways to win.

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Joe Burrow UNDER 278.5 passing yards (-105) (Bet $105 to win $100)

Joe Burrow was the main guy who led them to those wins of course, but he didn't really light it up as he only threw for 250 yards against the Chiefs and 244 yards against the Raiders. Now Burrow is going up against an ELITE Rams pass rush with Aaron Donald, Von Miller, Leonard Floyd, and A'Shawn Robinson.

The Rams were seventh in sack rate this season and we saw the Bengals give up nine sacks to the Titans a few weeks ago. We know the Bengals offensive line has been vulnerable this season and I simply don't see them being able to hold up here against a Rams front seven that has been dominant.

So how does that play into Burrow's passing prop? I think the Bengals are going to have real trouble moving the ball and I foresee the Rams utilizing a more possession strategy on offense. We have already seen McVay in one super bowl vs the Patriots and he was ultra-conservative throughout the whole game. I think The Rams are going to try and sustain long possessions and control the clock which will lead to less opportunities for Burrow and company through the air, so I am going with UNDER 278.5 passing yards at -105 for Burrow in this game.

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Mathew Stafford OVER 283.5 yards (-114) (Bet $114 to win $100)

I did say that I have two passing props I like and now that we've gotten to Burrow's analysis, there is likely only one other guy who will be throwing a pass which is Mathew Stafford. Stafford had a lot of hype around him coming into the season as he finally escaped Detroit to unite with the Rams and they have lived up to all their expectations, but they still have one game left.

Stafford is a gunslinger, always has been and always will. He will make some boneheaded mistakes trying to make a play, but he will also make some incredible passes and big plays for his team as well. In his last two games, he has been brilliant as he has thrown for an average of 352 yards in those games with four passing touchdowns and only one interception.

During the regular season the Bengals did not have a very good pass defense. They ranked 26th in passing yards allowed, 21st in yards allowed per attempt, and 26th in highest completion percentage allowed. In the post season, they played an exceptional second half against the Chiefs to hold down Mahomes, but I don't see that type of half happening again here.

I think Stafford, Kupp, and OBJ are going to have a field day and expect them to be able to throw the ball with ease against an average at best Bengal's secondary. So, my second passing prop that I like for this game is going to be Mathew Stafford OVER 283.5 yards at -114.

Los Angeles Rams vs. Cincinnati Bengals Line Movement