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In a game with two stars at QB, where do you look for value in rushing props? Two of my favorite props for this game include an over and an under but not for who you may think.
ANALYSIS

Super Bowl 2022 Rushing Props: Who Should You Take?

From a running back perspective, this is one of the more lackluster super bowls in recent memory. The Rams have been mostly a passing team and have gotten it done on the ground by committee with Sony Michel and Cam Akers over the last few weeks.

On the other side, the Bengals have a talented back with Joe Mixon and a competent backup with Samaje Perine. 4 running backs all have a rushing total set for this game but one of my favorite rushing props for this game actually comes from a QB.

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Joe Burrow Over 12.5 Rushing Yards (-114) (Bet $114 to win $100)

I think Joe Burrow is going to be running for his life in this game against a very solid Rams pass rush and we saw that Burrow is capable of tucking the ball and running when needed as he gained 25 yards on five carries vs Kansas City.

Burrow also is not a statue back there like a lot of quarterbacks and possesses some speed and elusiveness. I expect him to be flushed out of the pocket multiple times and Burrow is more than capable of making the Rams pay if their edge rushers aren't disciplined. Another reason I like this over with Burrow is that this is the Superbowl, this is the game where you lay it all on the line. The Bengals have had to work with Burrow on sliding and giving up on plays to avoid hits and to love for the next down, but this is the final game.

There is nothing else to save yourself for and I expect the ultra-competitive Burrow to lay his body on the line if needed. With that being said, one of my favorite rushing props for this game is going to be Joe Burrow OVER 12.5 rushing yards at -114.

Cam Akers UNDER 64.5 yards (-105)(Bet $105 to win $100)

My other favorite rushing prop in this game comes from a more traditional candidate in Cam Akers, the current lead back for the Rams. Akers suffered an Achilles injury earlier in the season and many people did not think he would be back, but he had a very successful recovery and has now carried the ball 54 times over three games for the Rams so far in the playoffs.

While it is good that Akers is back and appears to be healthy, he has not been very explosive or safe with the ball. Akers has carried the ball 54 times for 151 yards with two lost fumbles in their three postseason games. That is an average of 2.8 yards per carry and hasn't broken a single run over 15 yards. Michel has averaged more yards per carry, been more secure with the ball, and was their main back all season so it will not surprise me if Michel takes some carries away from Akers and plays a larger role in this game.

While Akers may be the more talented back with more upside, Michel has built a trust with the guys around this offense and only had 2 lost fumbles the entire season on nearly 230 touches. I expect the Rams to be winning this game for the most part and if the Rams need to chew clock, then I expect them to hand it off to the back with more ball security and right now, that is Sony Michel. With that being said, one of my favorite rushing props for this game is going to be Cam Akers UNDER 64.5 yards at -105.

Los Angeles Rams vs Cincinnati Bengals Line Movement

Article Author

NCAABNBAMLB

Joey has spent the last 6+ years betting on sports with a focus on basketball and baseball. Basketball is his main focus, and not many people know more about mid-major basketball than him. Whether you need advice on a Saturday night primetime game or a Tuesday night back-alley SWAC/MEAC game, Joey is your man.

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