Super Bowl 2022 Player Props: Best Anytime TD Scorer Bets
Super Bowl 2022 Player Props: Best Anytime TD Scorer Bets
We are at the final stop on an amazing ride that was the NFL season, Super Bowl LVI. If you've been following my touchdown picks since the start of the season or are just joining, thank you! The NFL season has been incredible and I'm already looking forward to September again! This Super Bowl is going to give us a matchup that almost none of us expected when the season began. Let's cap off a great season with more anytime touchdown scorers for the Super Bowl!
The Cincinnati Bengals were +15000 preseason long shots to reach the Super Bowl, having won an NFL-worst two games in 2019 and then only four games last season. They've made the quickest turnaround from worst record to the Super Bowl in NFL history. The Rams on the other hand were one of just a few teams we believed would represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. Cincinnati was one of five teams that entered the season with at least 100-1 odds. Three of the other four teams hold the top picks in the draft. The Jaguars, Texans, and Lions! It's been an incredible run by the Bengals.
Two weeks of hype until the Super Bowl has had the spotlight on the quarterbacks, and for good reason. Joe Burrow has been phenomenal in the playoffs, and Matthew Stafford has provided exactly what the Rams were looking for when they traded for him. With this being the final game of the season we can take a slightly different approach with our anytime touchdown picks! While it's simple and obvious to say Cooper Kupp will score that's just no fun and there isn't much value at -160 or worse at every book. If you think the Rams will win though it makes sense to parlay a Kupp touchdown and the Rams moneyline to get +120 odds. Otherwise, I have narrowed down the best options for anytime touchdown scorers for you here for the Super Bowl. When we started this season I stated how the analysis I've done will always support our anytime touchdown picks. We're not just throwing noodles at the wall and seeing if they stick! Let's get to the best anytime touchdown picks for the Super Bowl! Best of luck if you tail!
Even better than my picks is the OddscheckerUS website compares odds from every sportsbook for the big game. This includes odds for anytime touchdown scorers and we find where you can get the best price for your bet.
You can find TD scorer odds and complete Super Bowl odds by clicking here
Super Bowl 2022 Best Anytime TD Scorer Bets
Odell Beckham Jr. (+150)
I'm kicking it off with my favorite pick here. If you want to be the smartest person in the room at the Super Bowl party you should make this bet as well. The Rams were eighth in EPA per drive and sixth in touchdowns this season. A league-high 79% of those touchdowns have been passes. Opposite of Cooper Kupp, OBJ has established himself as the Rams' No. 2 wide receiver. Stafford has thrown at least two touchdowns in 79% of his games. OBJ has scored six touchdowns since joining the Rams. Odell had 11 targets for 9 catches and over 100 yards in the NFC Championship. We saw in the Wild Card game against the Cardinals that when in the red zone given 1-on-1 coverage Stafford will give Odell the chance to make a play. Let's cash our top pick early in this one!
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Tee Higgins (+190)
Tee is my favorite pick of any Bengal. Sure Joe Mixon and Ja'Marr Chase have a good chance to score but getting Higgins at these odds is something we can't pass up. Over the last two playoff games, Higgins has reeled in 13 of 19 targets for 199 yards. He's averaging 94.8 yards over his last nine games! Obviously, Jalen Ramsey holds up his end for the Rams secondary during any given week, but at the end of the day, the Rams fielded just the league’s 15th-best defense in PFF coverage grade and were the 20th-ranked group in yards per attempt allowed. The single-best defense in team grade against the run was the Rams this season. The Bengals will be forced to throw. The Rams were bottom four in both catches and yards to wide receivers this season and with Chase to be covered often by Ramsey, we can expect Higgins' huge workload to continue! Tee managed to lead the Bengals in red-zone targets this season. I think we have a great shot at hitting Higgins or our next pick!
Tyler Boyd (+275)
The Bengals should be forced to throw the ball even more often this Sunday because of the Rams' dominance at stopping the run. The Rams tend to play defense with two high safeties to prevent big plays. They've been so strong this year against the run, but the Rams are very vulnerable to short middle passes (29th in DVOA). Cincinnati has had at least three wide receivers on the field 89% of the time, the league's second-highest rate so we shouldn't be worried about opportunities on Sunday. This might sound crazy to you but since Week 11, it's Tyler Boyd -- not Chase, or Tee Higgins, -- who leads the Bengals in red zone routes per game (3.6). Boyd also has an end-zone target in four of his past five games, including the playoffs. In two of the Bengal's three playoff games, he has multiple red-zone targets and an end-zone target. Boyd leads the Bengals in targets and catches between the hashes this season, while the Rams allow the second-highest completion percentage on the season between the hashes! Plus, with tight end C.J. Uzomah either missing this game or likely limited if he is active, there will be even more opportunities in the middle of the field for Boyd and opportunities for him to cash for us!
Kendall Blanton (+280)
I wavered here with this pick on possibly going Darrell Henderson at +225 but the Rams backfield is going to be just a bit too muddled for my liking. The undrafted tight end has been with the Rams since 2019 and is set for a major role in the Super Bowl. As of this writing, reports suggest Tyler Higbee will miss this game or at best be limited if he suits up. Blanton has amassed 7 catches on 7 targets in the last two games. He scored in the divisional round against the Buccaneers and when Higbee left the NFC Championship game, Blanton had 5 catches for 57 yards. It was clear Matthew Stafford wasn't shy about looking his way. The Rams keep a tight end on the field often. He played 79% of the snaps last week. The Bengal's defense allowed the third-most yards and fifth-most scores to opposing tight ends. I love our chances with Blanton to find the end zone!
Rams Defense/Special Teams (+600)
This is my longshot anytime touchdown pick for the Super Bowl! Much like the OBJ touchdown pick if you want to continue the run of being the smartest and most cool person in the room at your Super Bowl party this is the way to do that. As I mentioned earlier, the single-best defense in team grade against the run was the Rams this season! They held their opponent under 100 rushing yards on nine separate occasions! Overall, the Bengals ranked 17th and 25th in PFF run-blocking and pass-blocking grades. Only the Texans averaged fewer yards before contact per carry than the Bengals. The Bengals will be forced to drop back and pass. Feeding right into this pick!
So how will this longshot cash? Either a strip-sack fumble return or an interception touchdown is what I expect!
Burrow was sacked an NFL high 51 times in the regular season. Twice in the Wild Card game against the Raiders! 9 Times! 9 TIMES! Against the Titans. He had 5 fumbles in the regular season against some of the best pass rushes in the league. The 49ers, Chargers, Browns, and Raiders are among those. He had 9 fumbles in 10 games as a rookie. Again mostly against some of the best pass rushes in the league in 2020. The Rams had the 7th most Forced Fumbles this season against offenses. Zero returned for touchdowns though. Only the Chargers forced more fumbles on the opposing QB this season. There have only been 6 fumbles returned for a TD in Super Bowl history most recently the Broncos did this in 2016.
Burrow has been great these playoffs but he has thrown an interception in back-to-back games against the Chiefs and Titans. Burrow has thrown at least one interception in 11 of his 19 games (58%) this season, including one each in the past two weeks. The Rams ranked third with 19 INTs during the regular season and have at least one in eight straight games (that includes a total of four in three playoff games). He threw a Pick-6 against the Bears in Week 2 and against the Browns in Week 9. He was tied for the 3rd most INTs this season and only Taylor Heinicke played 16 games had the same number of INTs. Burrow threw over 19% of his passes into tight windows this season which was the 2nd highest rate in the NFL. During the season, Burrow had 12 completions of 50+ yards. That’s more than any quarterback in at least the past 20 seasons. But the Rams were excellent against deep passes (defined by Football Outsiders as 16 yards or more from the line of scrimmage) during the regular season, ranking second in DVOA. For Burrow to connect downfield, he’s going to need time. The battle up front looks like the game’s biggest mismatch as the Rams defensive line will dominate this game!
In Super Bowl history Pick-6’s are a different story than fumbles returned for touchdowns. There have been 13 games with a Pick-6. The Rams scored off an interception in the Wild Card on the worst throw Kyler Murray will have in his career. The Rams defensive line ranks 1st in the NFL in win rate and the Bengals offensive line is ranked 30th! The Rams front-4 led by Aaron Donald, Von Miller, and Leonard Floyd are so good they can drop 7 in coverage and still get pressure on Burrow every play. Let's cash our longshot anytime touchdown pick for the Super Bowl to cap off an amazing season!
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2022 Super Bowl Anytime TD Picks
- Odell Beckham Jr. (+150) (Bet $100 to Win $150)
- Tee Higgins (+190) (Bet $100 to Win $190)
- Tyler Boyd (+275) (Bet $100 to Win $275)
- Kendall Blanton (+280) (Bet $100 to Win $280)
- Rams Defense/Special Teams (+600) (Bet $100 to Win $600)
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