Super Bowl 2022 Prop Bets: There's Value in Samaje Perine and Kendall Blanton

The Super Bowl LVI prop market is absolutely loaded ahead of the big game. Where can we find some value? Ben Rajavuori takes a look.
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Super Bowl 2022 Prop Bets: There's Value in Samaje Perine and Kendall Blanton

The Super Bowl is undoubtedly the largest bet game globally every year. It's the only time people can bet on Gatorade colors and who will be shown first during the national anthem. This large market is full of props, and I want to break down a few of my favorites for the big game.

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Super Bowl 2022 Best Bets

Samaje Perine O3.5 Rushing Yards (-115) (Bet $115 to Win $100)

I know this pick seems like a stretch, considering how Perine has lived in the shadow of Joe Mixon all year, but there are reasons to back this. Perine saw about 25-30% of the total snap share throughout the season, though most were on 3rd and long passing downs. Still, it's not like Perine spends all game on the bench, and I think this line is so low because the books figure Mixon will take every carry in such a big game.

However, the best way for the Bengals to switch it up and surprise the Rams is by providing different looks in the run game and using Perine. Mixon hasn't had a ton of success in the Bengal's heavy first down rushing attack, and going up against the Rams defensive line; I bet offensive coordinator Brian Callahan will want to give the defense different looks to keep them guessing. Perine had at least one rush attempt in 13 of his 19 games this season, and with a line as low as 3.5, that is certainly feasible to hit on only one carry. However, I would argue Perine could see at least a few carries, even if on 3rd and long where he is most comfortable. Either way, this is a very low line that Perine can hit.

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Kendall Blanton O30.5 Receiving Yards (-115) (Bet $115 to Win $100)

Starting tight end Tyler Higbee was placed on the IR yesterday and will officially miss the Super Bowl. This immediately piqued my interest in Blanton, and at only 30 yards, I love him to pass this number tomorrow. Blanton stepped in after Higbee went out against the Niners and went off for 57 yards on 5 receptions. The Bengals secondary will undoubtedly have their hands full with Kupp and Beckham Jr., which makes me believe they may focus less on the backup. This is partly how he reached 5 receptions without even playing a full game in the NFC Championship game, and I think he has the same opportunity here. Even when Higbee was healthy in the game against the Bucs, Blanton still hauled in two catches for 18 yards, so it's clear his role is increasing in the postseason here, which makes me confident in taking his prop now as the starter.

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Blanton's hands look good, as he's caught 11 of his 14 targets this season, including 7 catches on 7 targets in the postseason. His average has been around 10 yards per catch, meaning we would need three catches for this to cash. Given Stafford's confidence in his after a good performance stepping in cold off the bench in the NFC Championship, and the Rams' use of the tight end, I think he can hit this number on 3-5 catches tomorrow.

Both props here are on two smaller market players, but I love taking advantage of smaller lines in big games, especially the Super Bowl. Since teams have two full weeks of film and so much extra time to prepare, offenses often try to give different looks and spread the ball more. I hope you guys decide to tail and that everyone has a great Super Bowl Sunday. Let's cash these props.

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Ben Rajavuori is a handicapper out of Minneapolis, MN. He has been creating sports content for almost four years now and is an expert in all things NFL, MLB, NBA, UFC, and NCAAB. Ben thrives on diving deep into statistics to find the best angle on every bet. You can follow him on Twitter @WeBeatTheSpread.

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