2022 NFL Betting Picks: Should You Bank On Lamar Jackson This Season?
2022 NFL Betting Picks: Should You Bank On Lamar Jackson This Season?
Training camp is quickly approaching for teams around the NFL. By the end of next week, every squad will have reported to camp and will be aiming for the start of the season. It's amazing. I've missed football. You've missed football. And most importantly, we've all missed betting on football. Luckily, it's right around the corner.
2022 NFL Prediction - Lamar Jackson Prop Predictions
We'll be locking in a couple of plays on Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson today, as there is some spectacular value on the superstar heading into 2022. After winning the NFL MVP in 2019, Jackson posted a solid 2020 campaign. But, he fell victim to an injury-riddled close to the 2021 season after an MVP-caliber start. I expect him to return to form and have an incredible year, so let's jump into the picks!
2022 NFL Prediction - Lamar Jackson Prop Pick
Lamar Jackson Over 875.5 Rushing Yards (-112) (Bet $112 to win $100)
*Odds Available on FanDuel at Time of Publishing*
Lamar Jackson has rushed for 72.1 yards per game in 49 career starts. Baltimore's offense has entirely revolved around Lamar for the last few years and should continue to do so. In only 11 full games before his ankle injury last season, he had amassed 762 rushing yards, good for 69.3 yards per game. If he plays a full season, Jackson is a lock for 1,000-plus yards on the ground, so there is clearly some injury risk baked into this line.
However, Lamar has been quite durable throughout his four-year career. He has only missed four games (out of a possible 65) due to injury, all coming last year. Including rest and league protocol-related absences, he's still played in 89% of Baltimore's games since 2018. So, if Lamar can start 14 games for the Ravens this season, I love our chances.
The Louisville product has also racked up at least 10 carries in around two-thirds of his starts since taking over the reins from Joe Flacco a few years back. Baltimore's offensive line suffered a ton of injuries last season, as did its backfield. And with a healthier group taking the field for the Ravens, this should take some of the stress off of Jackson, the third most efficient runner in league history.
This play is also available for plus-money at an over/under of 900.5 on DraftKings, which I'm also a big fan of. I would recommend playing the over on Lamar's rushing total up to the 915.5 mark.
2022 NFL Prediction - Lamar Jackson Prop
Lamar Jackson 2022 NFL MVP (+2000) (Bet $100 to win $2000)
*Odds Available on FanDuel at Time of Publishing*
This one's very widely available: you can also get it at 20-1 on DraftKings and BetMGM. This pick builds off of the same logic as the rushing prop ... If Lamar plays a full slate of games, he's going to have an awesome season.
He has a 37-12 career record as a starter. Here are his records in full games throughout his four seasons in the league:
- 2018: 6-1
- 2019: 13-2
- 2020: 11-4
- 2021: 7-4
Now, account for the Ravens beefing up their line play and secondary, and you have an automatic contender as long as their QB remains on the field, which he's historically had no issue with. At 20-1, I love this value and it's undoubtedly worth a sprinkle. And, you receive the added bonus of rooting for Lamar Jackson, which is one of the most fun things a human being can possibly do each and every Sunday.
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