NFL Player Props Week 1: Top Anytime TD Scorer Bets
NFL Player Props Week 1: Top Anytime TD Scorer Bets
WE MADE IT! The NFL is finally back. The season opened on Thursday night when the preseason Super Bowl favorites the Buffalo Bills absolutely demolished and quite frankly embarrassed the defending Super Bowl champs, the Los Angeles Rams. We hit just one of our three picks to start the season in Gabe Davis. Even though we’re excited to be back, be patient in Week 1. It’s a long season! We’ll have time to make more informed decisions after the first couple of weeks.
Those of you that don't know anytime touchdown scorer bets have become an unbelievably popular market for NFL betting. The most important play in any football game is the touchdown, it can also be the most profitable if you pick the exact player to score in the game! Many people look for the longshot touchdown scorer each week of the NFL season. Luckily, I've already done all of that research for you here for Week 1! I will also be providing free anytime touchdown picks for every primetime game this season as well as my top touchdown picks on Sundays.
If you didn't see my article for Thursday's Bills vs. Rams game you'll need to know that I will always play this game smart. We're not going to shoot blindly and throw noodles at the wall to see if they stick here just because a player's odds are long. The research I've done will always back up the reasoning behind my anytime touchdown scorer picks. I will rarely bet on a TD scorer at minus odds. My approach typically is 1 unit on bets +150 and up but if it’s below it will be a 2 Unit Bet or a BANKER. That will be specified here within the article.
The good news is, that I've narrowed down the best options for anytime touchdown scorers for you here during Week 1. Let's get to the best anytime touchdown picks for Week 1! Best of luck if you tail!
Even better than my picks is the OddscheckerUS website compares odds from every sportsbook for every NFL game. This includes odds for anytime touchdown scorers and we find where you can get the best price for your bet.
Best Week 1 Anytime TD Bets
Mike Davis (+205) (Bet $100 to Win $205)
With JK Dobbins working his way back from an ACL injury it's seemingly more likely we see a committee backfield in at least Week 1 for the Ravens. John Harbaugh said this week that J.K. Dobbins has a “chance” to play on Sunday meanwhile Lamar Jackson said Dobbins is “weeks away.” In a game they are projected to score at least three touchdowns, I'm confident in backing Davis at these odds. After a disappointing 2021 for the Falcons, I believe Davis can help lead the Ravens backfield until Dobbins and Gus Edwards are back to full strength (likely by Week 4 or 5). The Jets allowed an absurd 23 rushing touchdowns to running backs last season, four more than the next worse team in the entire NFL. Even if Dobbins is active I believe he'll be eased back and Davis will be the beneficiary.
Jarvis Landry (+230) (Bet $100 to Win $230)
One of the most under-appreciated signings this offseason, Juice is set up for success in Week 1. The newest slot receiver for Jameis Winston and the Saints has a tasty matchup with cornerback Dee Alford formerly with the Canadian Football League in 2021. The Falcons boast two stud cornerbacks in AJ Terrell and Casey Hayward Jr. who will be guarding Michael Thomas and first-round pick Chris Olave on the outside majority of the time. Winston will have plenty of time to throw as the Falcons pass rush was non-existent a year ago and with few changes made to improve that. Also, the Falcons allowed the fifth most scores to opposing wide receivers in 2021. Landry doesn't necessarily have a strong prowess to score but of the three Saints receivers in Week 1, he is set up the best to succeed.
Mo-Allie Cox (+310) (Bet $100 to Win $310)
There's always a chance this game turns into the Jonathan Taylor show but with a 6-foot-5, 267-pound frame MAC is one of my favorite sleepers this year at the tight end position. With Matt Ryan under center for the Colts, the passing game should be improved. Based on size alone he dictates a huge mismatch near the goal line. Don't be surprised if he becomes a familiar face in our weekly touchdown picks column. Jack Doyle has retired and in Weeks 16 and 17 with Doyle out Allie-Cox garnered 4 and 5 targets. He even scored against these same Texans in 2021. Lovie Smith the head coach of the Texans loves playing the Tampa 2. This scheme is extremely vulnerable to tight ends and Allie-Cox can capitalize for us. This is projected to be the slowest game in Week 1 but I picture this as a goal-line play action pass with big Mo leaking out to the back of the end zone for an easy cash!
Elijah Mitchell (+130) (Bet $100 to Win $130)
The Bears are projected to be the worst team in the NFL in 2022. They made numerous roster changes coming into this year. The Bears lost many starters across the defensive front seven including defensive tackle Akiem Hicks, nose tackle Eddie Goldman, edge rushers Khalil Mack, Bilal Nichols, and linebacker Danny Trevathan. The Bears are switching to a 4-3 defense leaving the edges most vulnerable against the run. That's where Mitchell found his most success in 2021. He led all running backs with 17 carries of at least 10 yards outside the tackles. The new head coach of the Bears was the defensive coordinator for the Colts last season and Mitchell rushed 18 times for 107 yards and a score in Week 7 versus those Colts. The jury is out on Trey Lance and his passing ability and with the lowest projected total of the week at just 40.5 points Mitchell gives me the most confidence in this matchup.
Miles Sanders (+160) (Bet $100 to Win $160)
Mile Sanders failed to score a touchdown in 2021. That drought comes to an end in Week 1 in Detroit. Sorry Josh Gayle, but your Lions have a tendency of allowing opposing backfields to go absolutely bonkers. Sanders has been touted as the guy this season for the Eagles. The Eagles averaged the most yards before contact per carry last season and Sanders is set up to breakout in Week 1. The Lions defense allowed the second most touchdowns to running backs in 2021.
DeVonta Smith (+190) (Bet $100 to Win $190)
Smith is another guy who scored in Week1 last season. The Eagles offense is set to explode here in Detroit. While AJ Brown should put his mark on this game, I'm confident that Smith will also contribute to the scoreboard. Smith scored just four times last season but they all came when facing man coverage. The Lions were one of two teams that deployed man coverage more than zone in 2021. He will have excellent matchups against the Lions cornerbacks. The Lions defense allowed 66 deep receptions last season the most in the NFL and Jalen Hurts had the third-highest deep pass rate.
T.J. Hockenson (+210) (Bet $100 to Win $210)
Hockenson has scored a touchdown in Week 1 of each of his first three NFL seasons. The Eagles secondary is extremely strong entering 2022 with Darius Slay and James Bradberry working on the outside and Chauncey Gardner-Johnson now playing safety. Amon-Ra St. Brown and DJ Chark will have their hands full leaving room for Hock to find the end zone in Week 1. The Eagles defense was a tight end haven a year ago when they allowed a tight end to score in 11 of 17 games, giving up the most touchdowns and receptions to the position. In Week 8 last year against the Eagles, Hockenson went for 89 yards on 10 catches. This season he will find paydirt against the Eagles.
Mecole Hardman (+300) (Bet $100 to Win $300)
The Cardinals and Chiefs game projects to be the second-fastest paced game in all of Week 1 behind only the Cowboys and Buccaneers on Sunday night. With pace comes more plays and more opportunities for touchdowns. The Cardinals allowed the most touchdowns to opposing wide receivers in 2021. I think with Hardman being the most familiar face for Mahomes aside from Travis Kelce he has a real chance to step up early here in the 2022 season.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (+250) (Bet $100 to Win $250)
I know what you're thinking, another Kansas City receiver? Well, Mahomes has thrown over 2.5 touchdowns in four straight Week 1's. This matchup is too great for him not to continue that streak. The Chiefs and Cardinals figure to be one of the best of the week. The total currently sits at 54.0 points, and the Chiefs implied team total of 29.5 is the highest of any team in Week 1. MVS is projected to be the Chiefs' number one deep threat wide receiver with the departure of Tyreek Hill. Though I think Juju Smith-Schuster will likely be the favorite target of Mahomes of the new wide receivers, MVS has the best matchup. I just mentioned the Cardinals defense gave up the most touchdowns to wide receivers a year ago, on top of that, they allowed the third most vertical catches. This fits right into this speedy deep threat's wheelhouse. Hopefully, he and Mahomes can connect in Week 1.
AJ Dillon (+175) (Bet $100 to Win $175)
Aaron Jones (+120) (Bet $100 to Win $120) - *BANKER* - 2 Units
Instead of taking a stab at who will be Aaron Rodgers go-to receiver in Week 1, I'm taking these two juggernauts. The Packers offense has averaged an insane 33.3 points per game against Minnesota since 2020. With Davante Adams no longer in town, Aaron Rodgers will have a new favorite guy(s) in the red zone in 2022. The back-to-back MVP Aaron Rodgers has flat-out owned the Vikings secondary. Over the last four regular season games he has thrown for 364 yards and 4 TDs, 291 yards and 3 TDs, 385 yards and 4 TDs, and a casual 282 yards and 2 TDs. With Davante Adams no longer at his disposal, someone will need to step up. I think that someone will be Aaron Jones in the passing game. It's no secret Jones becomes a focal point of the Packers passing game without Davante Adams. Allen Lazard is listed as Doubtful for Week 1 after picking up an injury in practice otherwise he'd be my pick. AJ Dillon scored 3 TDs in the last 4 games, including 2 against the Vikings in Week 17. As the bigger body, Dillon will likely be the goal line back for the Pack.
Week 1 Anytime TD Picks
- Mike Davis (+205) (Bet $100 to Win $205)
- Jarvis Landry (+230) (Bet $100 to Win $230)
- Mo-Allie Cox (+310) (Bet $100 to Win $310)
- Elijah Mitchell (+130) (Bet $100 to Win $130)
- Miles Sanders (+160) (Bet $100 to Win $160)
- DeVonta Smith (+190) (Bet $100 to Win $190)
- T.J. Hockenson (+200) (Bet $100 to Win $200)
- Mecole Hardman (+300) (Bet $100 to Win $300)
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling (+250) (Bet $100 to Win $250)
- AJ Dillon (+175) (Bet $100 to Win $175)
- Aaron Jones (+110) (Bet $100 to Win $110) - *BANKER* - 2 Units
Tom Viera is an experienced betting and fantasy sports writer. Tom brings a vast knowledge of all things NFL, NBA, MLB and soccer to the OddsChecker stable of handicappers.