Commanders vs. Titans Prediction, Player Prop Picks: Will Carson Wentz Bounce Back in Week 5?
Commanders vs. Titans Prediction, Player Prop Picks: Will Carson Wentz Bounce Back in Week 5?
Commanders vs. Titans Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: Sunday, October 9
- Gametime: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Where to Watch: CBS
Click Here for Commanders vs. Titans Odds
Washington Commanders vs. Tennessee Titans Prediction
Tennessee and Washington don't play each other often since they are in different conferences. We have to go back to 2018 for their most recent matchup, where each team had much different personnel. The Titans won 25-16 in 2018 but failed to cover the 12-point spread, while Washington won close contests back in 2014 and 2010.
Neither team has been a world-beater on offense in 2022. Carson Wentz's arrival in D.C. looked promising in Week 1 against Jacksonville, but he's playing behind a bad offensive line and missing key pieces on defense. This has led to the Commanders averaging only 18.3 points per game, ranking 25th in the league. Wentz's passing yards surpassed 300 yards in his first two outings against the Jaguars and Lions, but the Eagles and Cowboys have challenged with some of the best defensive units across the last two weeks.
Washington rookie running back Brian Robinson has already recovered from a gunshot wound and is on track to make his NFL debut against Tennessee at home in Week 5. Will Robinson's presence help the Commanders become a more complete offense in a plus-matchup? Let's explore some of my favorite player prop bets in this rare collision between the Titans and Commanders.
Washington Commanders vs. Tennessee Titans Player Prop Picks
Carson Wentz - Passing Yards Over 237.5 (-115) (Bet $115 to win $100)
Wentz has faced tough defenses in his previous two games but he gets a good opportunity to bounce back against the Titans. Tennessee's pass defense is 29th in the league, surrendering 274 passing yards per game this season. The absence of rookie Jahan Dotson and the potential for Curtis Samuel to miss this game does create some concern, which is why the line has already crept down from 239.5 passing yards. Dyami Brown, Logan Thomas, and Terry McLaurin are going to be heavily involved throughout Washington's game plan against a weak Titans secondary in Week 5. We've seen Wentz shred Jacksonville and Detroit for over 300 yards each, so as long as his offensive line gives him a couple of seconds to set his feet, Wentz should stay busy. The Titans are ranked 19th in run defense, which is marginally better than its secondary. Take the over on Wentz's passing yards prop at -115.
Robert Woods - Receiving Yards Under 52.5 (-115) (Bet $115 to win $100)
Tennessee does not have a prolific receiver in its offense after trading away A.J. Brown on draft night. Robert Woods has been a nice addition, leading the Titans with 167 receiving yards through the first four weeks. Woods had his best performance in a Titans uniform against Las Vegas in Week 3, where he hauled in four receptions for 85 yards. Upon closer inspection, half of this yardage was acquired on one 41-yard reception. Outside of that game, Woods has been relatively quiet, posting finishes of 13 receiving yards, 39 receiving yards, and 30 receiving yards. Yes, the most recent finish included a touchdown, but that's not relevant with this player prop bet. Woods is a nice intermediate route runner but the Titans will likely keep the ball on the ground with Derrick Henry after dominating the Colts with this strategy in Week 4.
Derrick Henry - Rushing Yards Under 85.5 (-115) (Bet $115 to win $100)
This player prop could wind up being a bit of a sweat. Henry has been effective during the Titans' two-game winning streak, rushing for at least 85 rushing yards or more during these outings against the Raiders and Colts. Washington's run defense is ranked 16th, so it's not great but not terrible either. Henry has surpassed 80 rushing yards in three of four games this season, with his best production coming against the Colts last week, finishing with 22 carries for 114 rushing yards and a touchdown. In his last matchup against the Commanders in 2018, Henry finished with 21 carries for 84 rushing yards. Since he's only hit 86 rushing yards once this season and his past matchup went just south at 84 yards, I prefer betting on the consistent trend. This means laying -115 for the Titans' star ball carrier to finish under 85.5 rushing yards.
Titans vs. Commanders Player Prop Picks
- Carson Wentz - Passing Yards Over 239.5 (-115) (Bet $115 to win $100)
- Robert Woods - Receiving Yards Under 52.5 (-115) (Bet $115 to win $100)
- Derrick Henry - Rushing Yards Under 85.5 (-115) (Bet $115 to win $100)
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Article Author
Matt is an avid writer, editor, and researcher. He enjoys analyzing the game within the game which is fantasy sports and sports betting. Music is another constant in his daily life. Matt loves spending time with his wife and three pets. He likes to read, listen to podcasts, and is constantly motivated to create the most accurate and engaging content in the sports betting industry.