TNF Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders Player Props: Can Cole Holcomb, Curtis Samuel Shine?
TNF Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders Player Props: Can Cole Holcomb, Curtis Samuel Shine?
Bears vs. Commanders Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: October 13, 2022
- Game Time: 8:15 pm ET
- Where to Watch: Amazon Prime Video
Bears vs. Commanders Odds
- Spread: Bears (-110), Commanders (-110)
- Total Odds: O/U 37.5 (-110)
- Moneyline Odds: Bears (-110), Commanders (-110)
Click Here for Bears vs Commanders Odds
Bears vs. Commanders Prediction
Cole Holcomb o8.5 Tackles + Assists -133 MGM (Bet $133 to win $100)
While Cole Holcomb might not be known on a national level, he has impressed for Washington this season. The former Tarheel walk-on has cemented himself as an every-down linebacker in Washington's thin rotation. Holcomb tied his career high with 15 tackles last week against Tennessee and should be in store for another big workload tonight. He currently leads the Commanders with 47 tackles this season, ranking 10th in the NFL. I think we are getting some value on this line based on the lack of name recognition.
The reason I like this play so much is similar to why he performed so well last week. Just like the Titans, the Bears are one of the most run-heavy teams in the NFL, and that's exactly where Holcomb comes into play. He looked very decisive on tape last week, impressively attacking Henry one-on-one multiple times with good success. Additionally, I think Holcomb will be asked to cover even less this week, instead operating as somewhat of a spy, in an attempt to keep Justin Fields in the pocket. Whether Holcomb has a good game or not, the volume is undeniable. The Bears are going to continue to run the ball at a very high rate, I expect the linebacker to be very involved in slowing that attack down.
Curtis Samuel 6+ Receptions/Justin Fields 50+ Rush Yards +400 DK (Bet $100 to win $400)
There are a lot of directions you can go for long shots here, but this feels like good value for +400. Curtis Samuel has been Washington's top receiver this season, with a 22% target share, clearing 6+ receptions in 4 of his 5 games this season, with his one miss coming in a 7-target game. The Bears have not faced many tough slot opponents yet, but rookie corner Kyler Gordon has gotten cooked ranking 93rd of 108 in PFF’s coverage grade rankings. The short passing game is essential to keeping Washington's offense moving, with a lackluster offensive line, I expect Samuel to be plenty involved today.
Justin Fields has 47, 52, and 47 rush yards over his last 3 games, and I expect him to be in a similar range once again. He leads the league with a 17% scramble percentage, and a lot of that comes from the offensive line's inability to pass block. While the Washington defense isn't great, their one strength is getting pressure on the quarterback, forcing Fields out of the pocket.