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NFL handicapper Jason Yamaguchi outlines his top two prop bets for Sunday's game between the Seahawks and the Giants in Week 8.

Seattle Seahawks vs. New York Giants Prediction, Player Prop Picks: Will Kenneth Walker's Workload Increase?

Seahawks vs. Giants Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: Sunday, October 30
  • Game Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • Where to Watch: FOX

Click Here for Seahawks vs Giants Odds

The New York Giants, sitting at 6-1, has been one of the biggest positive surprises of the 2022 NFL season. Despite a roster starved for talent, the Giants have scratched out wins via excellent coaching and opportunistic play. They continue to receive little support from the betting market—they have been underdogs in each of their last three games and will be again against the Seahawks on Sunday.

Seattle, meanwhile, has also wildly outperformed their preseason expectations. Most wrote them off after they traded long-time starter Russell Wilson, to the Broncos, but—boosted by strong quarterback play from Geno Smith and a great run game—the Seahawks have ascended to the top spot in the NFC West with a 4-3 record.

Is either of these teams' winning ways sustainable? Who knows. One thing we do know is that this matchup presents some exciting opportunities for betting. Both the Giants and the Seahawks have been underwhelming from a defensive standpoint, meaning that many offensive players will have the opportunity to produce. So, here are my top two prop picks for Sunday's only game featuring two teams with winning records in Week 8.

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Seahawks vs. Giants Player Prop Predictions

Kenneth Walker III Over 18.5 Carries (-111) (Bet $100 to Collect $189) FanDuel has the best odds, click here to bet

Ever since Rashaad Penny went down with a season-ending ankle injury, Kenneth Walker has been among the most productive running backs in the NFL. In his first two games as the starter, he has carried the ball 21 and 23 times for 97 and 167 yards, respectively. This usage level is noteworthy because it demonstrates the Seahawks' willingness to treat Walker as a bell cow, a running back who receives the lion's share of his team's touches at the position.

Each of Walker's starts, which came against the Cardinals and the Chargers, involved a positive game script for Walker. The Seahawks were leading for the majority of both games, including almost all of both second halves. This was a leading cause of Walker's high carry totals—if the Seahawks had been losing, they would not have run the ball as much. Luckily for Walker, there is a high likelihood that a comparable game script will materialize in Week 8. The Seahawks are 3-point favorites against the Giants, who have a horrendous run defense (fifth-most rush yards allowed per game) and have trailed in most of their games this year. Given the Seahawks' evident trust in Walker and the chance of a positive game script, this total is too low.

Saquon Barkley Over 3.5 Receptions (-147) (Bet $100 to Collect $153) FanDuel has the best odds, click here to bet

Saquon Barkley has had an outstanding season to date, leading the entire NFL in scrimmage yards (99 ahead of second-place Nick Chubb). Barkley has been electric in both the run and pass game, moving the ball efficiently for an offense that is severely lacking in (other) weapons. He has averaged 3.6 receptions per game, which is a high mark for a running back. The number demonstrates the Giants' eagerness to get Saquon the ball in space, especially as a receiver.

Given that average, though, a line of over/under 3.5 receptions with juice shaded towards the over appears to be well-calibrated at first glance. However, I do not think that the line is fully pricing-in Seattle's inability to prevent running backs from gashing them. This season, the Seahawks have allowed the fifth-most receptions and fourth-most receiving yards per game to running backs at 6.3 and 51, respectively. This is a favorable matchup for an explosive talent who's still growing into his own in this new Giants offense—I think there's value on the over for his receptions total.

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Article Author


Jason Yamaguchi is an avid New York sports fan. He has a proven record of providing +EV bets by combining traditional handicapping tactics with advanced statistics. You can follow him on Twitter @TopMoneyPicks to view all of his bets, including NFL, NHL, and MLB picks.


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