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Matt MacKay is here with his NFL player prop picks for the Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets Week 9 matchup. Come find out his Bills vs. Jets prediction and player prop bets for Sunday.
ANALYSIS

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Prediction, Player Prop Picks: Will Gabe Davis Go Off in Week 9?

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: Sunday, November 6
  • Time: 1:00 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: CBS

Click Here For Jets vs. Bills Odds

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Prediction

The first of two AFC East divisional matchups between the Buffalo Bills and the New York Jets will occur on Sunday in East Rutherford, New Jersey. After an impressive four-game winning streak, the loss of rookie running back Breece Hall has dramatically altered the outlook for the Jets moving forward, as second-year quarterback Zach Wilson is not ready to air it out 35 to 40 times per game. The defense has been a bright spot for the Jets, holding opponents under 20 points, which ranks 11th-lowest in the league.

Josh Allen has been highly successful and productive against the New York Jets during his five years in the league, going 5-1 and winning five consecutive matchups. The Bills can beat teams in numerous ways, using Allen's mobility to design runs and evade pressure in the pocket, creating mismatches that will complicate the scheme deployed by Jets' head coach Robert Saleh on the defensive side of the line of scrimmage.

The AFC East is one of the most competitive divisions in the NFL right now. All four teams are within two games of each other and no one is below .500 in terms of their record. New York is 5-3 and tied with Miami for second-place in the division and they could rally to get a huge win at home against the Bills. Unfortunately for the Jets, the Bills have won their last five games played at MetLife Stadium. New York has only won one of its four home games through eight weeks this season, which doesn't bode well for their ability to win outright and play spoiler.

Keeping Buffalo's dominance in this series in mind, let's jump into a few player prop picks to tail during a Week 9 AFC East matchup.

Want to tail these player props but not sure where to go? Head to our free bets page with $5,000+ of sports betting promos for you to use on the Bills and Jets and get in on the fun by clicking here!

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Player Prop Picks

Josh Allen Under 278.5 Passing Yards (-115) (Bet $100 to Collect $185) Click here for the best odds, available at DraftKings

This is a tough line because the Bills could go up by two or three scores early and coast in the second half like they did last week against Green Bay. Josh Allen lit up the Jets in their first matchup last season with 366 passing yards, but he only threw for 239 yards in their second matchup despite attempting 45 passes. The added help in New York's secondary, notably rookie cornerback Sauce Gardner and the signing of D.J. Reed, have drastically improved the Jets' pass defense in 2022. Allen has only gone under 278 passing yards twice this season, but this game has the makings of a quick start. Even if the Bills struggle early, the Jets' secondary has not allowed any quarterback to surpass 261 passing yards this season. Hammer Allen to finish with 278 or fewer passing yards in a divisional tilt in Week 9.

Zach Wilson Under 0.5 Interceptions (+180) (Bet $100 to Collect $280) - Click here for the best odds, available at FanDuel

This will only be Zach Wilson's second matchup against Buffalo, due to injuries that he sustained in 2021. I'm chasing the value here at +180 for Wilson to improve his decision-making in the pocket against the league's top defense. It's risky, but we've seen Wilson go three consecutive games without an interception prior to Hall's injury during Week 7. The Bills' defense rank inside the top ten in every metric available, so this could backfire, but Wilson has to improve to keep the Jets competitive in Week 9. He's fresh off of a three interception game against New England, but two of those were fixable errors, so expect the Jets to keep Wilson protected with shorter, simpler throws against an opportunistic Buffalo defense. The payout is spectacular at +180 due to last week's struggles, so hammer Wilson to play a turnover-free game.

Gabriel Davis Over 52.5 Receiving Yards (-115) (Bet $100 to Collect $185) - Click here for the best odds, available at FanDuel

Buffalo's big-bodied third-year wideout, Gabe Davis, is a volatile boom-bust option that can deliver huge outings or quietly fade away into the box score. He wasn't utilized enough during his rookie campaign to get a fair assessment, but in 2021, Davis caught all three of his targets for 105 receiving yards against the Jets during their first matchup in the Meadowlands. He drew a whopping 14 targets in Week 18 but only finished with three receptions for 39 yards. Coming off of a disappointing 2/35 stat line on seven targets against Green Bay's talented pass defense in Week 8, Davis should be more efficient with his usage in Week 9. Granted, the Jets' secondary is its strength, but Davis only needs one or two receptions to deliver 53 receiving yards. I'm smashing Davis' over on this prop bet, as the Jets also rank ninth against the run, which is an area Buffalo is trying to improve.

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Player Prop Picks

  • Josh Allen - Passing Yards Under 278.5 (-115)
  • Zach Wilson - Interceptions Under 0.5 (+180)
  • Gabriel Davis - Receiving Yards Over 52.5 (-115)

Article Author

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Matt is an avid writer, editor, and researcher. He enjoys analyzing the game within the game which is fantasy sports and sports betting. Music is another constant in his daily life. Matt loves spending time with his wife and three pets. He likes to read, listen to podcasts, and is constantly motivated to create the most accurate and engaging content in the sports betting industry.

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