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The Chiefs and Titans meet on Sunday Night Football from Arrowhead Stadium. Ben Rajavuori shares these two player prop picks. Read on to see who he's eyeing.
ANALYSIS

Sunday Night Football Player Prop Picks: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tennessee Titans

The Chiefs and Titans meet on Sunday Night Football from Arrowhead Stadium. With a spread as high as +13.5, there's not much I like on either side here, but there are some interesting props for this game. Let's go through my two favorites.

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Chiefs vs. Titans Start Time and Where to Watch

  • Date: November 6, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:20 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: NBC

Chiefs vs. Titans Odds

  • Spread: Chiefs -13.5 (-107), Titans +13.5 (-107)
  • Total: Over 45.5 (-110), Under 45.5 (-106)
  • Moneyline: Chiefs (-670), Rams (+550)

Click here for the Chiefs vs. Titans odds

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Sunday Night Football Chiefs vs Titans Player Prop Picks

Isiah Pacheco O33.5 Rushing Yards @ -110. Bet $100 to collect $190.

There is a minimal chance the Titans will win this game. With a spread sitting just under two touchdowns, it's safe to say we could see a double-digit lead for the Chiefs tonight. Andy Reid is 20-3 straight up as a coach coming off a bye. This means we should see a healthy dose of Isiah Pacheco tonight.

The Chiefs have won three games by more than one possession this season. In all three of those games, Pacheco passed 33.5 rushing yards with rushing lines of 62, 63, and 43 yards. Clyde Edwards-Helaire has been the primary back this season for the Chiefs, but Pacheco is slowly proving himself as a rookie and looks like he is the better runner at this point. Pacheco is averaging 4.9 yards per carry, while Edwards-Helaire has averaged only 4.4 yards per carry.

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Pacheco has proved in half a season that he is an explosive back that can break off big runs at any time. His carries line is set at 8.5 for tonight, and even if he gets just eight carries, his 4.9 yards per carry average would put him at 39.2 yards. The Titans have a stingy run defense, but a positive game script almost guarantees that Pacheco will get his opportunities in this game, and he has proven himself every time so far. I like the rookie to pass this low line as he has in every other Chiefs win over one possession.

Robert Woods O35.5 Receiving Yards @ -110. Bet $100 to collect $190.

Okay, this one makes no sense. Is it a trap? Maybe, but I'm taking it anyway. We just talked about how the Chiefs will be running in a positive game script, and conversely, the Titans will be forced to throw in a negative game script.

The Titans are thin in the receiving department, as Treylon Burks and Kyle Phillips are on the IR. Robert Woods is already the leading receiver on the Titans, and he should get AT LEAST 8-10 targets in this game. The only reason I can imagine this line is this low is that Malik Willis is predicted to start again.

However, Woods caught both of his targets last week for 26 yards against the Texans. That was the Texans, and the Titans were able to keep the ball on the ground for basically every play of the game. This will be a much different game against the Chiefs. Willis only attempted ten passes against the Texans, and they still won the game. He will have to throw the ball to have a shot in this game, especially considering they will likely be losing for most of it.

Robert Woods has only passed this line in three of his seven games this season, but the Titans are 5-2, and one of the losses was by one point. The only loss by one possession they had, against the Bills, Woods passed this line of 35.5 receiving yards. The Chiefs are allowing 183 yards to wide receivers per game this season, and if the Titans get anywhere near that number, you best believe Woods has at least 36 of those yards. The Chiefs are allowing the third most fantasy points to wide receivers, which is in large part due to positive game scripts and playing prevent defense, but that is likely to be the case again tonight. Woods will pass this number, whether it's Tannehill or Willis under center.

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Article Author

NCAABBoxing/MMAMLBNHL

Ben Rajavuori is a handicapper out of Minneapolis, MN. He has been creating sports content for almost four years now and is an expert in all things NFL, MLB, NBA, UFC, and NCAAB. Ben thrives on diving deep into statistics to find the best angle on every bet. You can follow him on Twitter @WeBeatTheSpread.

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