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The Cincinnati Bengals will travel to the Steel City in an AFC North divisional rematch against the Pittsburgh Steelers in the late afternoon window on Sunday. NFL handicapper Matt MacKay is here with his Bengals vs. Steelers prediction.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Pick, Odds: Will Joe Burrow, Bengals Get Revenge?

Joe Burrow finally gets his chance to avenge his five-turnover outing against Pittsburgh after suffering an overtime loss in Week 1. The Cincinnati Bengals have looked very good in recent games, dropping a bad loss to Cleveland on Halloween night, but mounting a thrilling comeback on the road against the Saints, while blowing out Atlanta and Carolina in a variety of different ways on offense. They've responded to adversity well and will need this resiliency on the road against the Steelers in NFL's Week 11.

Pittsburgh has not had a great season thus far but they did get a big 20-10 win over the Saints in Week 10, thanks to the return of former DPOY T.J. Watt. The Steelers forced two turnovers and were busy disrupting Alvin Kamara and Andy Dalton, which Burrow will be very familiar with. Watt suffered his pectoral injury during Pittsburgh's thrilling overtime win back in early September when the Bengals surrendered seven sacks with their newly-built offensive line.

Will the Bengals falter once again facing a healthy T.J. Watt in a hostile road game? Or will Burrow and Joe Mixon lead the way to make a statement in this AFC North rematch? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Sunday's late afternoon divisional showdown between the Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers.

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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: Sunday, November 20
  • Game Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • Where to Watch: CBS

Bengals vs. Steelers Odds

  • Spread: Cincinnati -5 (-110), Pittsburgh +5 (-110)
  • Total Odds: Under 41 (-105), Over 41 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Cincinnati (-295), Pittsburgh (+180)

Click here for the Bengals vs. Steelers odds

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Bengals vs. Steelers Injury Report


Questionable: DT D.J. Reader (Knee), DT Josh Tupou (Calf), CB Mike Hilton (Finger), CB Tre Flowers (Hamstring), DE Sam Hubbard (Finger)

Out: CB Chidobe Awuzie (Knee), WR Ja'Marr Chase (Hip)


Questionable: CB Ahkello Witherspoon (Hamstring)

Out: S Minkah Fitzpatrick (Appendix), CB William Jackson III (Back), K Chris Boswell (Groin)

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction

Divisional games are always exciting, particularly in the final half of the season. Add in the animosity Pittsburgh and Cincinnati have toward each other, and it should be a hard-hitting, physical game dominated in the trenches. Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin came out of the Bye Week with an effective game plan to stop Alvin Kamara and he'll have another one dialed up to contain Mixon after his five-touchdown burst against Carolina in Week 9. Pittsburgh will not have to worry about covering star wideout Ja'Marr Chase, who is dealing with a hip injury that is expected to keep him sidelined until next month. Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd are a nice tandem for Burrow to target, but it may be tough sledding with Watt back in the fold.

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Tomlin also had a game plan ready for the anemic Pittsburgh offense in Week 10, leaning on a mixture of Najee Harris, rookie Jaylen Warren, and rookie wideout George Pickens to create a dynamic backfield. Kenny Pickett has had one of the most difficult schedules to navigate as a rookie after taking over QB1 duties for Mitchell Trubsiky earlier in the year, but he's tough and can make some good throws when given time in the pocket. He'll have some extra help with much of Cincinnati's defense banged up. Cornerback Chidobe Awuzie is out with a knee injury, while several key starters along the Bengals' defensive front are questionable leading up to the game.

The statistics paint a picture of a Pittsburgh offense locked into a bottom-12 offense in nearly every measurable category. However, we saw how that went for Cincinnati when they played Cleveland on the road, resulting in a 19-point loss only a couple of weeks ago. The departure of wideout Chase Claypool at the trade deadline didn't make a negative impact at all against New Orleans, as second-year tight end Pat Freiermuth, Pickens, and Diontae Johnson all saw a spike in target share.

Cincinnati is a good defense against the pass, ranking 12th in the league while limiting opposing offenses to 20.6 points per game, which is the 13th-lowest in the league. The run defense is a different story. Carolina was shut down in Week 9, but before that happened, the Bengals allowed five consecutive games with over 100 rushing yards, including three games surrendering over 150 rushing yards. Expect the Steelers to get creative once again with their offense, distributing carries between their two running backs and getting Pickens involved on more pre-snap motion as a ball carrier.

From a betting standpoint, the Bengals are a profitable team to bet on against the spread, going 6-3 overall and a 3-2 ATS record on the road. Conversely, the Steelers are not the least profitable team for spread betting, going 4-5 overall and 2-3 ATS at home this season. Pittsburgh has covered the spread in four of their last five games against divisional opponents while winning seven of their last eight games as home underdogs. This will likely be the most evenly-matched game between these two opponents. Watt is back, while Chase is out, including several other key defensive pieces that could wind up missing the game on Sunday afternoon.

The Steelers have played three road games in their last five matchups, so getting the home crowd behind them will be hugely beneficial. Furthermore, Pittsburgh's defense excels at stopping the run, while Chase's game-changing talent won't be available for Burrow to target. The turnover margin often dictates the outcome of games. This won't be any different in this matchup, as both defenses forced multiple turnovers that led to Week 10 wins. It's bold, but I believe in the Steelers at home with a resurgent defense going up against an offense without its best weapon. Bet the Steelers' moneyline at +190 and enjoy a healthy payout to wrap up your weekend.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Pick

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Article Author


Matt is an avid writer, editor, and researcher. He enjoys analyzing the game within the game which is fantasy sports and sports betting. Music is another constant in his daily life. Matt loves spending time with his wife and three pets. He likes to read, listen to podcasts, and is constantly motivated to create the most accurate and engaging content in the sports betting industry.


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