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The red-hot Ravens are headed to Jacksonville to take on the ice-cold Jaguars this Sunday. Baltimore has won four straight games, while the Jags have dropped six of their last seven. Let's break it down!
ANALYSIS

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Baltimore Ravens Prediction, Player Prop Pick: Can Lamar Jackson Light it Up?

The red-hot Ravens are headed to Jacksonville to take on the ice-cold Jaguars this Sunday. Baltimore has won four straight games, while the Jags have dropped six of their last seven

The Ravens should be able to control the clock and the time-of-possession battle in this one, so look for Lamar Jackson to light it up with his legs against an inferior defense.

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Jaguars vs. Ravens Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date - Sunday, November 27, 2022
  • Game Time - 1:00 p.m. EDT
  • Where - TIAA Bank Field -- Jacksonville, Florida
  • Where to Watch - fuboTV

Click here for Jags vs Ravens odds

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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Baltimore Ravens Prediction

Lamar Jackson 50+ Rushing Yards (-115) Bet $115 to collect $215

Lamar Jackson 70+ Rushing Yards (+235) Bet $100 to collect $335

This bet is a simple one. It's hard to go wrong banking on the best rushing QB of all-time to do what he does best!

Baltimore's offense revolves around Lamar Jackson, which should be no different in a Week 12 matchup in Jacksonville. Aside from his 29 pass attempts per game, Lamar is taking off and running another 9.7 times per game this season, trailing only Justin Fields and Jalen Hurts.

On top of this baseline volume, the Louisville product is as efficient a runner as anyone. His 6.9 yards per rush attempt are third-most among all players, trailing only Taysom Hill and Josh Allen. This has led to a per-game average of over 65 rushing yards per game for Baltimore's superstar, and we only need 50 to profit. And, that's not far off from the 70-yard milestone, which pays out at +235 on FanDuel. This is some tremendous value, especially in a friendly matchup against the Jags.

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Jacksonville ranks 19th in overall rushing defense this season. But, since Week 4, they've become a bottom-10 rushing defense. And, quarterbacks are seeing plenty of rushing volume against the Jags this season. They've faced four quarterbacks who run at least 3.5 times per game, and each of them ran even more than usual against Jacksonville: Patrick Mahomes: 7 Rush Att vs. JAX (avg. 3.8), Russell Wilson: 4 Rush Att vs. JAX (avg. 3.7), Daniel Jones: 11 Rush Att vs. JAX (avg. 7.2), Jalen Hurts: 16 Rush Att vs. JAX (avg. 11.0).

Lamar has 50+ rushing yards in seven of 10 games this season and 70+ in five of 10 games. And, dating back to 2019, he has 50+ yards in 40 of 51 games, good for a 78.4% hit rate. Plus, he totaled at least 70 yards in 24 of those 51 games (basically a coin flip). The volume should be there for Jackson today, so this is nearly impossible to pass on.

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Article Author

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Gray is a massive New York sports fan, and is an NBA & NFL oracle. He’s a passionate writer with a strong background in statistics, and loves putting out player props! You can follow him on Twitter @PropBetGuru.

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