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Handicapper WeBeatTheSpread is here with NFL TNF player props between the Los Angeles Rams vs. Las Vegas Raiders. Come get his Rams vs. Raiders prediction, player props, and odds.

Rams vs Raiders TNF Expert Picks: Rolling With Mack Hollins, Kyren Williams

The 5-7 Las Vegas Raiders travel to take on the 3-9 defending Super Bowl champion Rams on Thursday night football. The Rams have not lived up to expectations, as their 3-9 record is the worst in history for a defending champion.

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Of course, it has not helped that three of the best players on the team, Matthew Stafford, Cooker Kupp, and Aaron Donald, have been dealing with injuries. Thus, the Rams find themselves as 6.5-point underdogs at home to the Raiders. The Raiders, sitting at 5-7, still have playoff hopes, but they would HAVE to win this game to have a shot at the postseason. For this game, there are two standout props that caught my eye. Check out my prediction below.

Rams vs. Raiders Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: December 8, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:15 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: Prime Video

Click here for Rams vs. Raiders Odds

Rams vs. Raiders Player Prop Picks

1 Unit Pick: Kyren Williams O14.5 Receiving yards @ -112 (Bet $100 to collect $189) Get the best odds, available at DraftKings

With so many question marks on the Rams' side on offense, it's hard to tell where the production will go. Hell, even on the day of the game, no one seems to be sure whether Baker Mayfield is starting or not. In an interview yesterday, Sean McVay said the Rams would use the final games of the season to evaluate the offense for the future season.

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Technically, the Rams could win out and still have a long shot at the playoffs, but their current odds are at 0.1% to make the playoffs, and without Matthew Stafford or Cooper Kupp, it seems like the Rams are happy to focus on the future instead of another run in the playoffs this season. With that being said, it's hard to tell what to expect from the offense tonight. Do players we haven't seen start getting more reps than usual to feel them out for future use? Or will the Rams go all out and try to win this game? Considering it's hours before the game and we don't know the starting quarterback, I find it difficult to read the receiving props for the receivers on the Rams, however, there is a running back that drew my attention.

In four games, Kyren Williams has passed 14 receiving yards in two of them. For a rookie playing his first few games ever, that's pretty good. His production is likely to come through the air than on the ground, considering they have Cam Akers in the backfield as well. Williams was an excellent receiving back at Notre Dame, and his future is bright as a two-way player. He is the better receiver of the two in the backfield at the moment, even though he is young in his career.

Along with that, the Raiders give up receiving yards to running backs at the highest rate in the league. The Raiders are giving up an average of 55.5 receiving yards to running backs per game, and if the Rams get anywhere close to that, it's not likely to come solely from Akers. An educated guess on this game with the state of the current offense for the Rams suggests Akers will get the carries while Williams will get the targets. It also helps his case that Cooker Kupp and Allen Robinson are on the sidelines. This is a low line for someone with a bright future in the organization. I like Williams to pass this line for the third time in five games tonight.

2 Unit Pick: Mack Hollins O45.5 Receiving Yards @ -110 (Bet $100 to collect $191) Get the best odds, available at DraftKings

That brings us to the Raiders. While the Rams are more of a question mark, the Raiders are more solidified, even with the injury questions around Josh Jacobs. As someone with Jacobs on their fantasy team, I was very nervous to see him play last week. Despite being questionable heading into the Chargers game, it appeared as if he was as healthy as ever. Jacobs went off with 144 rushing yards on 26 carries and a touchdown. So much for a suspected calf injury. The worry regarding his status would be the turnaround on a short week, but it looks like Jacobs is expected to play, and his performance on Sunday suggests his injury is not severe enough to affect his performance. Given that, along with the presence of Davante Adams, means the Rams' defense will have their hands full. That will open holes and one-on-one opportunities out wide for Mack Hollins.

Mack Hollins has floated from team to team since being drafted by the Eagles in 2017, and has yet to solidify himself as a strong option in the passing game on a team, that is, until this season. After stints with the Eagles and Dolphins, Hollins has been having the biggest season of his career on the Raiders. His 566 receiving yards through 12 games is over double the yards he has had in any previous season. Having Davante Adams on the team has helped, as Hollins does not have many eyes on him from the defense. That should be the case again tonight. With Josh Jacobs leading the league in rushing yards, and Davante Adams torching secondaries, the Rams will likely double-team Adams and keep guys up front to stop Jacobs.

Jalen Ramsey will be on Adams for most of, if not the entire night. With Aaron Donald missing this game with an injury, the rush defense will be more focused on stopping Jacobs on the line of scrimmage. That means Hollins will have his opportunities for big plays out wide with a backup rookie cornerback on him. Haley is on the IR, and rookie Derion Kendrick will be in his spot. This is a perfect opportunity for Hollins to have a big game. Despite Adams being the deep ball threat, Hollins has averaged the highest ADOT (average depth of target) on the team at 12.3 yards to Adams' 11.3. Hollins' hands have also been reliable, as he only has two recorded drops on 73 targets, which is the lowest on the team for a player over 30 targets.

The Rams' secondary has been much worse this season, partly due to the loss of Von Miller. They rank 27th in passing DVOA, which is a huge drop-off from last season. There have also been injuries, like cornerback Haley, which have not helped. Ramsey has been his usual elite self, but he is only one guy. The other receivers should step up in this game, and I like Hollins to be that guy.

Article Author


Ben Rajavuori is a handicapper out of Minneapolis, MN. He has been creating sports content for almost four years now and is an expert in all things NFL, MLB, NBA, UFC, and NCAAB. Ben thrives on diving deep into statistics to find the best angle on every bet. You can follow him on Twitter @WeBeatTheSpread.


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