NFL Championship Sunday Player Props: Top Anytime TD Scorer Bets for Eagles vs. 49ers, Chiefs vs. Bengals
NFL Championship Sunday Player Props: Top Anytime TD Scorer Bets for Eagles vs. 49ers, Chiefs vs. Bengals
Welcome to Championship Sunday! We're back to cash more anytime touchdown picks for all of the action. With the NFL playoffs in full motion, we have just three more games to cash in anytime touchdown winners! With a full season of information to digest, we have plenty of firepower to back up our anytime touchdown bets.
The Philadelphia Eagles will host the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship game this Sunday at 3:00 p.m. ET at Lincoln Financial Field.
Following the NFC championship, the Kansas City Chiefs will host their fifth-straight AFC Championship game against the Cincinnati Bengals this Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
I've narrowed down the best options for anytime touchdown scorers for you here for the NFC and AFC Championship games on Sunday. Let's get to the best anytime touchdown picks! Best of luck if you tail!
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NFL Championship Sunday Top Anytime TD Bets
A.J. Brown (+170) (Bet $100 to Collect $270) Click here for the best odds, available at FanDuel
I picked the Eagles to come out of the NFC, and I still feel that same sentiment. I expected a bully beatdown of my Giants in the Divisional Round last week, and I wouldn't be surprised if the Eagles pulled off another impressive win. The NFC Championship presents the best against the best. It will be a great game, and I've identified a few spots to attack.
A matchup with the 49ers run defense will lead to the Eagles throwing a bit more. Brown is coming off a down game in the blowout win, but I expect a major bounceback this week. He was tied with the third most touchdowns in the NFL this season, and we're getting (+170) people! The 49ers have struggled in the secondary of late, allowing CeeDee Lamb and DK Metcalf to go bananas over the last two weeks. I expect the Eagles to take shots with AJB when he is matched up on the left side of the formation against Deommodore Lenoir. He was in the bottom 10 in yards allowed after the catch by any cornerback in the NFL. Brown has a team-high 46% of end zone targets; for context, tight end Dallas Goedert is at just 8% in this category. Brown is elite, and it will show why the Eagles traded for him during the draft back in April. The 49ers have struggled to create pressure in the playoffs so far, and Brown has a team-high 30% target rate when Hurts has a clean pocket. It's AJB WR1 SZN this Sunday!
Zach Pascal (+1500) (Bet $100 to Collect $1,600) Click here for the best odds, available at PointsBet - .5 Unit
Zach Pascal passed Quez Watkins in route participation last week, up to 41%, and it wasn’t due to the Eagles blowing out the G-Men. Pascal outworked Watkins in the first half running 44% of routes, while Watkins was down to 22%! Pascal had his worst statistical season since he was in the NFL. He scored once during the regular season back in Week 8 on a 34-yard pass from Jalen Hurts. There is little work outside AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Goedert, but at these odds, it's worth a half unit with just 3 games before September. Pascal will work mostly in the slot, and the 49ers defense has sometimes been vulnerable to the slot this season. With the best price available on Watkins at (+800), we're getting a terrific number on Pascal, who clearly doubled the route participation of Watkins a week ago.
Jalen Hurts (+130) (Bet $100 to Collect $230) Click here for the best odds, available at FanDuel
I was on the fence about locking in Hurts, but I'm convinced the Eagles win this game, and I think it's because of Hurts' elite ability to throw and run. I'm not saying he's the NFL equivalent of Michael Jordan just yet, but he is certainly elite. The 49ers are clearly dominant in defending the run but Hurts differs from what they have faced. He scored in 10 of 16 games this season. One important trend that stuck out to me was; in the 8 games with Jalen Hurts that AJ Brown did not score in this season, Hurts scored in 7 of them! Hurts leads the Eagles in attempts inside the 5-yard line with a team-high 42% from in close! The most comparable runner as a quarterback the 49ers have faced is Marcus Mariota, who posted over 50 rushing yards and a touchdown. The Eagles may run plenty of 12-personnel, a scheme the 49ers were worse defending this season. This means only 2 wide receiver sets. So, in this case, this also counters our Pascal longshot if the Eagles decided not to run a slot receiver often. Hurts looked healthy last week, so I expect the Eagles to utilize him often in the run game setting up options and matchups that will help slow Nick Bosa on the edge. It's not the best price on Hurts, but with just three games left this season, I'm fine taking the risk!
Deebo Samuel (+180) (Bet $100 to Collect $280) Click here for the best odds, available at FanDuel
I don't love the way the 49ers offense lines up with the Eagles defense. Specifically, I'm concerned Brock Purdy may struggle. A quarterback's best friend is a running game and with no value on CMC, I think the 49ers will find even more creative ways than usual to get the ball in their most explosive playmakers' hands. Elijah Mitchell has not practiced all week, and I liked the spot for him, but I'm not willing to risk anything on a guy who may be limited at best. Deebo faces a tough matchup as a receiver, but I think he will excel as a runner against the Eagles. The King of YAC gets the Philly defense that has allowed the fourth most yards per carry after contact! Deebo will take a handful of rush attempts from the perimeter, and the Eagles defense allowed 5.77 yards per carry on perimeter runs. The Eagles allowed middle-of-the-pack production to running backs this season. Deebo has 27 rush attempts in 3 playoff games. The 49ers path to success will be to control the run game and the clock to attempt to keep the high-flying Eagles offense on the sideline. I'm firing up Deebo to snatch some chains this Sunday!
Jerick McKinnon (+155) (Bet $100 to Collect $255) Click here for the best odds, available at FanDuel
The Chiefs have adapted a bit on offense this season by going to larger personnel. They played two or more tight ends on 41% of their dropbacks this season, a significant jump from 28% last season! I'm fully expecting them to do more of that this week, particularly with Patrick Mahomes dealing with a high-ankle sprain. More shotgun snaps for Mahomes will lead to more work for McKinnon. Now, if you have been on the touchdown train since last season, you're fully aware of my belief in Jet McKinnon. He is coming off a season-high in snap share, and I expect him to be heavily involved this Sunday. So why the mention of the Chiefs beefing up by having more tight ends? This will allow McKinnon to have one-on-one matchups with the Bengals linebackers out of the backfield instead of staying back to help block for Mahomes. I have little doubt the Bengals will be able to move the ball and keep up with the Chiefs high powered offense. These odds for a guy that scored in six straight games heading into the playoffs? Sign me up and fire up the Jet!
Kadarius Toney (+280) (Bet $100 to Collect $380) Click here for the best odds, available at BetMGM
Mahomes has a poor history facing the Bengals as he is just 1-3 in his career versus Cincinnati, and he has never beaten the Bengals with Joe Burrow. All reports suggest Mahomes is good to go despite the ankle injury, and the number-one offense by DVOA will need him to be if they plan on reaching to Super Bowl this year. Mahomes will look to get rid of the ball quickly to reduce pressure and protect his ankle. I believe in Toney's talent, and there's no denying he is a highlight reel. He is an electric dual-threat weapon and has now had plenty of time to settle into learning the Chiefs playbook and routes. He nearly scored in the Divisional Round. There is a chance Mecole Hardman returns for this game, but I'll still ride a healthy Toney, who the Chiefs clearly want to get the ball in his hands. He has an insane 26% target rate per route run. He will have the best matchup on most snaps when he lines up against Eli Apple. I think Toney will have his chance to embarrass Apple.
Mecole Hardman (+400) (Bet $100 to Collect $500) Click here for the best odds, available at PointsBet .5 Unit
I just mentioned there is a chance Hardman returns for this game. The Chiefs offense is loaded with weapons, but I'll take a shot on Hardman in this spot. Like Toney, Hardman is a dual-threat player with game-breaking ability with the ball in his hands. Mike Hilton will man the slot for the Bengals, and he has been arguably the best at his position this season. I fully expect the Chiefs to attack the perimeter of the Bengals defense that has Eli Apple and Cam Taylor-Britt. Both corners ranked near the bottom in yards allowed per catch. The Bengals allowed 11.7 yards per catch, the most among the remaining four teams. They allowed the highest average depth of target (aDOT) in the NFL. Mahomes ability to scramble and create his patented off-schedule plays may not be available due to the ankle injury, but the Chiefs have one of the best pass-blocking lines in the NFL. I think Mahomes will have his chances to push the ball down the field, unlike what many others believe coming into this game. Hardman has scored in 3 of his last 5 playoff games. He also scored in 3 straight games before missing time due to injury. There is always the risk he plays limited snaps, but I like this matchup too much not to have him in the card. If he doesn't play, this pick will be voided. Knowing how your sportsbook will void players is important before placing a wager like this. I'm firing up Mecole, and you should too.
Tee Higgins (+185) (Bet $100 to Collect $285) Click here for the best odds, available at FanDuel
The Chiefs run a ton of man coverage, but they will also deploy two-high to keep Ja'Marr Chase from taking the top off. Chase has been a beast when he goes up against the Chiefs, but I refuse to get on board the Tee Higgins isn't elite bus. Higgins hasn't produced much over the last month, but I'm comfortable returning to him again here in this spot. The Chiefs allowed the most passing touchdowns in the NFL this season and tied for the second-most allowed to receivers. While vulnerable defending the slot all season, it appears the Chiefs have moved their top corner L'Jarius Sneed to the slot. This will give Higgins one-on-one matchups while Chase is likely doubled. The Bengals are a pass-happy offense; the opportunities will be there for Higgins to get back in the end zone this week. Chase has been the clear target-getter over the last month and a half, but I believe Higgins will be utilized much more frequently and expect the Burrow to get his second-star wideout going early and often.
Tyler Boyd (+310) (Bet $100 to Collect $410) Click here for the best odds, available at DraftKings
The Chiefs allowed touchdowns on 5.3% of passes and 36.4 pass attempts per game. The Chiefs allowed the second-most scores to slot receivers this season and tied for the second-most scores overall to the position, as I mentioned with our Tee Higgins pick. I think it is prudent of us to add Boyd to our board in this game, as the Bengals own the sixth-heaviest pass attack in the NFL. With the Chiefs in two-high coverage, the middle of the field can be occupied by Boyd with zone beaters. I think we see at least Boyd or Higgins in the end zone, which means we will profit from our Bengals picks if they do. Last week, I went with this approach and had no luck, but I expect things to turn around for us this Sunday.
NFC and AFC Championship Anytime TD Picks
- A.J. Brown (+170) (Bet $100 to Collect $270) Click here for the best odds, available at FanDuel
- Zach Pascal (+1500) (Bet $100 to Collect $1,600) Click here for the best odds, available at PointsBet - .5 Unit
- Jalen Hurts (+130) (Bet $100 to Collect $230) Click here for the best odds, available at FanDuel
- Deebo Samuel (+180) (Bet $100 to Collect $280) Click here for the best odds, available at FanDuel
- Jerick McKinnon (+155) (Bet $100 to Collect $255) Click here for the best odds, available at FanDuel
- Kadarius Toney (+280) (Bet $100 to Collect $380) Click here for the best odds, available at BetMGM
- Mecole Hardman (+400) (Bet $100 to Collect $500) Click here for the best odds, available at PointsBet .5 Unit
- Tee Higgins (+185) (Bet $100 to Collect $285) Click here for the best odds, available at FanDuel
- Tyler Boyd (+310) (Bet $100 to Collect $410) Click here for the best odds, available at DraftKings